#239
Alpha Score 66.7
bubbleboi
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 23
$66.91
+83.9%
Speaker discloses 25% of portfolio is in Intel calls, doubling down going into earnings — explicit large bullish options position.
Speaker discloses 25% of portfolio is in Intel calls, doubling down going into earnings — explicit large bullish options position.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 29
$1069.96
+50.9%
Speaker discusses paying option spreads to put on 500k of Sandisk options — explicit ongoing position in Sandisk via options on his bullish view (truncated tweet).
Speaker discusses paying option spreads to put on 500k of Sandisk options — explicit ongoing position in Sandisk via options on his bullish view (truncated tweet).
AI/Semi
Short
May 22
$524.74
-2.1%
Short SNPS as hyperscalers eat its IP business, evidenced by a 48% revenue decline in design IP; the AI narrative won't rescue the structural erosion.
Short SNPS as hyperscalers eat its IP business, evidenced by a 48% revenue decline in design IP; the AI narrative won't rescue the structural erosion.
AI/Semi
Short
May 05
$354.06
-42.5%
Speaker stating intent to short AMD into earnings (consistent with AMD puts position confirmed in adjacent tweets).
Speaker stating intent to short AMD into earnings (consistent with AMD puts position confirmed in adjacent tweets).
AI/Semi
Short
Apr 28
$15.34
+5.4%
Speaker pitches short Indian rupee (INR) as the cleanest way to play declining IT services revenue: services trade surplus shrinks, current account deficit widens, weakening INR. Mechanistic FX thesis.
Speaker pitches short Indian rupee (INR) as the cleanest way to play declining IT services revenue: services trade surplus shrinks, current account deficit widens, weakening INR. Mechanistic FX thesis.
Energy
Short
May 22
$379.48
-0.8%
Short Cadence for the same structural headwinds as Synopsys: EDA duopoly broken by in-house teams, China revenue lost, and inflated multiples.
Short Cadence for the same structural headwinds as Synopsys: EDA duopoly broken by in-house teams, China revenue lost, and inflated multiples.
AI/Semi
Long
May 20
$140.92
-2.7%
Speaker explicitly goes long oil, framing it as the only solution to current market conditions, likely expecting a rebound or safe-haven bid.
Speaker explicitly goes long oil, framing it as the only solution to current market conditions, likely expecting a rebound or safe-haven bid.
Energy
Long
May 19
$306.88
+3.6%
Buy Intel, Western Digital, Lumentum, and Astera Labs based on the speaker's claim they are among the most well-positioned companies globally, though no specific catalyst is provided.
Buy Intel, Western Digital, Lumentum, and Astera Labs based on the speaker's claim they are among the most well-positioned companies globally, though no specific catalyst is provided.
AI/Semi
Long
May 19
$946.90
-3.3%
Buy Intel, Western Digital, Lumentum, and Astera Labs based on the speaker's claim they are among the most well-positioned companies globally, though no specific catalyst is provided.
Buy Intel, Western Digital, Lumentum, and Astera Labs based on the speaker's claim they are among the most well-positioned companies globally, though no specific catalyst is provided.
Photonics
Long
May 26
$21.00
+0.4%
Buy UMC as TSMC's migration of 7/6/5nm capacity to advanced nodes frees up lagging-edge market share in structurally growing microcontroller, power, and sensing end-markets where UMC competes directly.
Buy UMC as TSMC's migration of 7/6/5nm capacity to advanced nodes frees up lagging-edge market share in structurally growing microcontroller, power, and sensing end-markets where UMC competes directly.
AI/Semi
Short
May 24
$215.33
+0.6%
Short NVDA based on the bearish signal that Nvidia is not adopting HBF memory technology, potentially ceding competitive ground in AI serving to TPU-based rivals.
Short NVDA based on the bearish signal that Nvidia is not adopting HBF memory technology, potentially ceding competitive ground in AI serving to TPU-based rivals.
AI/Semi
Long
May 22
$73.35
+18.5%
Buy ACMR ahead of an expected IPO catalyst, as the company makes semiconductor cleaning equipment; expansion efforts are currently marginal but the upcoming public listing is the primary thesis.
Buy ACMR ahead of an expected IPO catalyst, as the company makes semiconductor cleaning equipment; expansion efforts are currently marginal but the upcoming public listing is the primary thesis.
AI/Semi
Long
May 22
$213.29
+3.6%
Author explicitly states buying CIEN with a bullish forward view while quoting a position update that mentions CRDO, TER, and INTC without endorsing those trades.
Author explicitly states buying CIEN with a bullish forward view while quoting a position update that mentions CRDO, TER, and INTC without endorsing those trades.
AI/Semi
Short
May 22
$1632.90
+0.1%
Short ASML because the market misprices its growth thesis – capacity can be shifted without new tool purchases, reducing the need for additional ASML machines.
Short ASML because the market misprices its growth thesis – capacity can be shifted without new tool purchases, reducing the need for additional ASML machines.
AI/Semi
Long
May 19
$484.28
+8.7%
Buy Intel, Western Digital, Lumentum, and Astera Labs based on the speaker's claim they are among the most well-positioned companies globally, though no specific catalyst is provided.
Buy Intel, Western Digital, Lumentum, and Astera Labs based on the speaker's claim they are among the most well-positioned companies globally, though no specific catalyst is provided.
AI/Semi
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