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Overweight communication services sector because it is a secular bull sector, with specific likes for growth and yield, and sees future streaming of sports benefiting key players.
"We're in the process of transitioning... from a momentum multiple driven market to an earnings driven market... Other areas of the market are working: Dividend Growth, Value, Small Cap." As the bull market matures (Year 4), price appreciation will no longer come from PE expansion (hype) but from actual earnings delivery. Since Small Caps and Value have lagged, capital will rotate there as they gain earnings credibility. LONG. Focus on Dividend Growth and Small Cap sectors as the market broadens. If rates stay persistently high, Small Caps (which are rate-sensitive) may struggle to finance growth.
"We're in the process of transitioning... from a momentum multiple driven market to an earnings driven market... Other areas of the market are working: Dividend Growth, Value, Small Cap." As the bull market matures (Year 4), price appreciation will no longer come from PE expansion (hype) but from actual earnings delivery. Since Small Caps and Value have lagged, capital will rotate there as they gain earnings credibility. LONG. Focus on Dividend Growth and Small Cap sectors as the market broadens. If rates stay persistently high, Small Caps (which are rate-sensitive) may struggle to finance growth.
As SpaceX and AI companies become more conservative and prepare for public offerings, the play on space is Tesla, which offers a longer-term investment opportunity in the space theme.
Marriott is a consumer discretionary play because the firm loves the brand and the way the company operates, making it a key holding to gain exposure to the sector while avoiding tracking error from Tesla and Amazon.
Fully invested in tech and communication services.
Earnings and fundamentals support staying invested in the market, and we are fully invested in technology and communication services stocks, enjoying the rally.
Google (Alphabet) is a leader in communication services and AI, with smart AI spend, monetization ability, YouTube's size, and as a future sports streaming winner; contrarian buy signal last year.
Overweight financials due to thematic view on big financials and small banks winning, consolidation in super regionals, deregulation, and strong earnings growth.
Private equity and credit unwinding could create demand for small midcap public companies due to liquidity, reporting advantages, and as an alternative to private investments.