#409 Alpha Score 45.3

Ben Horowitz

Co-Founder, Andreessen Horowitz (a16z)
@bhorowitz · tracked since Feb 2026
409
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 45.3
Calls 7 19 Posts tracked · 0.2/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
NVDA long +23.9%
OKLO long +15.8%
TSLA long +8.2%
Worst Calls
AXON long -15.9%
COIN long -4.7%
Most Mentioned
NVDA ×1
TSLA ×1
COIN ×1
Recent Calls
COIN long 4 months ago
OKLO long 4 months ago
CCJ long 4 months ago
Win Rate 71% Long 7 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 57%
30d 57%
90d 71%
Average Return +4.7% Long Return +4.7% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -2.2%
30d +2.2%
90d -0.2%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 03
$582.94
-15.9%
Horowitz describes his work with the Las Vegas Police Department as a proof-of-concept for "American Dynamism." He explicitly mentions deploying "drone programs," "AI cameras," and "Cyber Trucks" (Tesla) to replace dangerous human interactions with technology. He notes crime dropped 50% and shootings dropped 75%. This is a direct endorsement of the "Tech-Enabled Policing" thesis. As municipalities see these stats (efficiency up, liability down), they will buy hardware and software to replicate Vegas. AXON dominates police cameras/drones; PLTR dominates law enforcement data analytics; TSLA provides the specific vehicle cited. LONG. This is a secular shift in municipal spending from labor (officers) to capital (tech). Municipal budget constraints or political backlash against "surveillance states."
Horowitz describes his work with the Las Vegas Police Department as a proof-of-concept for "American Dynamism." He explicitly mentions deploying "drone programs," "AI cameras," and "Cyber Trucks" (Tesla) to replace dangerous human interactions with technology. He notes crime dropped 50% and shootings dropped 75%. This is a direct endorsement of the "Tech-Enabled Policing" thesis. As municipalities see these stats (efficiency up, liability down), they will buy hardware and software to replicate Vegas. AXON dominates police cameras/drones; PLTR dominates law enforcement data analytics; TSLA provides the specific vehicle cited. LONG. This is a secular shift in municipal spending from labor (officers) to capital (tech). Municipal budget constraints or political backlash against "surveillance states."
NatSec
Long
Feb 03
$117.40
+2.5%
Horowitz argues that policy solutions to climate change (emissions targets) have failed, but "if you build a really safe nuclear efficient or nuclear fusion facility... that would have a big effect." a16z's thesis is "American Dynamism"—solving physical problems with hard tech. As AI power demands skyrocket (see previous thesis), the only carbon-free baseload power that scales is nuclear. This benefits uranium miners (CCJ) and next-gen SMR companies (OKLO, which is backed by Sam Altman and fits the Silicon Valley nuclear thesis). LONG. AI is the demand shock; Nuclear is the only supply answer. Regulatory hurdles (NRC) and long construction timelines.
Horowitz argues that policy solutions to climate change (emissions targets) have failed, but "if you build a really safe nuclear efficient or nuclear fusion facility... that would have a big effect." a16z's thesis is "American Dynamism"—solving physical problems with hard tech. As AI power demands skyrocket (see previous thesis), the only carbon-free baseload power that scales is nuclear. This benefits uranium miners (CCJ) and next-gen SMR companies (OKLO, which is backed by Sam Altman and fits the Silicon Valley nuclear thesis). LONG. AI is the demand shock; Nuclear is the only supply answer. Regulatory hurdles (NRC) and long construction timelines.
Energy
Long
Feb 03
$182.48
-4.7%
Horowitz highlights Coinbase as one of the firm's major successes and discusses how crypto allowed people with little capital to gain wealth (democratization of finance). He speaks fondly of the sector's resilience. a16z remains the largest institutional backer of crypto. Horowitz's commentary suggests continued political and capital support for the ecosystem. Coinbase is the primary regulated proxy for US institutional crypto adoption. LONG. Regulatory hostility (though Horowitz notes the environment is improving).
Horowitz highlights Coinbase as one of the firm's major successes and discusses how crypto allowed people with little capital to gain wealth (democratization of finance). He speaks fondly of the sector's resilience. a16z remains the largest institutional backer of crypto. Horowitz's commentary suggests continued political and capital support for the ecosystem. Coinbase is the primary regulated proxy for US institutional crypto adoption. LONG. Regulatory hostility (though Horowitz notes the environment is improving).
Fintech
Long
Feb 03
$179.86
+23.9%
Horowitz states that the "laws of physics" for company building have changed: "If you have the data and you have enough GPUs, you can solve damn near anything." He also praises Jensen Huang (Nvidia CEO) as a "timeless" leader who never had to change his company's identity to stay relevant. Horowitz confirms that capital is now directly fungible for intelligence via compute. This implies that demand for GPUs is not just for training, but is becoming the primary input for *all* problem-solving in the economy. The "money + GPUs" formula guarantees sustained CapEx from hyperscalers and startups. LONG. The most influential VC in the valley is telling founders that GPUs are the new labor force. Export controls (Horowitz mentions the Biden admin almost banned GPU sales without approval) or energy bottlenecks.
Horowitz states that the "laws of physics" for company building have changed: "If you have the data and you have enough GPUs, you can solve damn near anything." He also praises Jensen Huang (Nvidia CEO) as a "timeless" leader who never had to change his company's identity to stay relevant. Horowitz confirms that capital is now directly fungible for intelligence via compute. This implies that demand for GPUs is not just for training, but is becoming the primary input for *all* problem-solving in the economy. The "money + GPUs" formula guarantees sustained CapEx from hyperscalers and startups. LONG. The most influential VC in the valley is telling founders that GPUs are the new labor force. Export controls (Horowitz mentions the Biden admin almost banned GPU sales without approval) or energy bottlenecks.
AI/Semi
Long
Feb 03
$62.91
+15.8%
Horowitz argues that policy solutions to climate change (emissions targets) have failed, but "if you build a really safe nuclear efficient or nuclear fusion facility... that would have a big effect." a16z's thesis is "American Dynamism"—solving physical problems with hard tech. As AI power demands skyrocket (see previous thesis), the only carbon-free baseload power that scales is nuclear. This benefits uranium miners (CCJ) and next-gen SMR companies (OKLO, which is backed by Sam Altman and fits the Silicon Valley nuclear thesis). LONG. AI is the demand shock; Nuclear is the only supply answer. Regulatory hurdles (NRC) and long construction timelines.
Horowitz argues that policy solutions to climate change (emissions targets) have failed, but "if you build a really safe nuclear efficient or nuclear fusion facility... that would have a big effect." a16z's thesis is "American Dynamism"—solving physical problems with hard tech. As AI power demands skyrocket (see previous thesis), the only carbon-free baseload power that scales is nuclear. This benefits uranium miners (CCJ) and next-gen SMR companies (OKLO, which is backed by Sam Altman and fits the Silicon Valley nuclear thesis). LONG. AI is the demand shock; Nuclear is the only supply answer. Regulatory hurdles (NRC) and long construction timelines.
Energy
Long
Feb 03
$147.45
+3.3%
Horowitz describes his work with the Las Vegas Police Department as a proof-of-concept for "American Dynamism." He explicitly mentions deploying "drone programs," "AI cameras," and "Cyber Trucks" (Tesla) to replace dangerous human interactions with technology. He notes crime dropped 50% and shootings dropped 75%. This is a direct endorsement of the "Tech-Enabled Policing" thesis. As municipalities see these stats (efficiency up, liability down), they will buy hardware and software to replicate Vegas. AXON dominates police cameras/drones; PLTR dominates law enforcement data analytics; TSLA provides the specific vehicle cited. LONG. This is a secular shift in municipal spending from labor (officers) to capital (tech). Municipal budget constraints or political backlash against "surveillance states."
Horowitz describes his work with the Las Vegas Police Department as a proof-of-concept for "American Dynamism." He explicitly mentions deploying "drone programs," "AI cameras," and "Cyber Trucks" (Tesla) to replace dangerous human interactions with technology. He notes crime dropped 50% and shootings dropped 75%. This is a direct endorsement of the "Tech-Enabled Policing" thesis. As municipalities see these stats (efficiency up, liability down), they will buy hardware and software to replicate Vegas. AXON dominates police cameras/drones; PLTR dominates law enforcement data analytics; TSLA provides the specific vehicle cited. LONG. This is a secular shift in municipal spending from labor (officers) to capital (tech). Municipal budget constraints or political backlash against "surveillance states."
AI/Semi
Long
Feb 03
$391.29
+8.2%
Horowitz describes his work with the Las Vegas Police Department as a proof-of-concept for "American Dynamism." He explicitly mentions deploying "drone programs," "AI cameras," and "Cyber Trucks" (Tesla) to replace dangerous human interactions with technology. He notes crime dropped 50% and shootings dropped 75%. This is a direct endorsement of the "Tech-Enabled Policing" thesis. As municipalities see these stats (efficiency up, liability down), they will buy hardware and software to replicate Vegas. AXON dominates police cameras/drones; PLTR dominates law enforcement data analytics; TSLA provides the specific vehicle cited. LONG. This is a secular shift in municipal spending from labor (officers) to capital (tech). Municipal budget constraints or political backlash against "surveillance states."
Horowitz describes his work with the Las Vegas Police Department as a proof-of-concept for "American Dynamism." He explicitly mentions deploying "drone programs," "AI cameras," and "Cyber Trucks" (Tesla) to replace dangerous human interactions with technology. He notes crime dropped 50% and shootings dropped 75%. This is a direct endorsement of the "Tech-Enabled Policing" thesis. As municipalities see these stats (efficiency up, liability down), they will buy hardware and software to replicate Vegas. AXON dominates police cameras/drones; PLTR dominates law enforcement data analytics; TSLA provides the specific vehicle cited. LONG. This is a secular shift in municipal spending from labor (officers) to capital (tech). Municipal budget constraints or political backlash against "surveillance states."
Consumer
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