Calls
64
#254
Alpha Score 75.0
Avi Felman
Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management
Win Rate
53.1%
return
+1.1%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 03
$77774.80
-16.8%
Bitcoin retraced from highs to the $74k-$78k range. Avi states, "This is what you wait for... the risk/reward on this trade is great." The $74k level represents a critical support zone (previous "original buy zone"). The market is currently in a "range" structure; buying at the bottom of the range ($74k) with a stop loss just below allows for a high R/R trade targeting a bounce to $90k-$92k. Buy spot or long perps in the $74k-$78k zone. A sustained break below $74k invalidates the range thesis and signals a deeper bear market.
Bitcoin retraced from highs to the $74k-$78k range. Avi states, "This is what you wait for... the risk/reward on this trade is great." The $74k level represents a critical support zone (previous "original buy zone"). The market is currently in a "range" structure; buying at the bottom of the range ($74k) with a stop loss just below allows for a high R/R trade targeting a bounce to $90k-$92k. Buy spot or long perps in the $74k-$78k zone. A sustained break below $74k invalidates the range thesis and signals a deeper bear market.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 17
$77.21
+29.2%
Avi mentioned Robin Hood (HOOD) trading at $77, with a low of $70, and said it "can easily go back to 120" as crypto recovers. Increased trading activity from crypto rallies drives revenue for HOOD, making it a leveraged play on market recovery. LONG because HOOD is poised to rebound with crypto momentum, offering significant upside from current levels. Crypto rally falters, or HOOD faces competitive or regulatory pressures.
Avi mentioned Robin Hood (HOOD) trading at $77, with a low of $70, and said it "can easily go back to 120" as crypto recovers. Increased trading activity from crypto rallies drives revenue for HOOD, making it a leveraged play on market recovery. LONG because HOOD is poised to rebound with crypto momentum, offering significant upside from current levels. Crypto rally falters, or HOOD faces competitive or regulatory pressures.
Brokers
Long
Mar 10
$46.90
+100.5%
This war gave you a phenomenal entry on Intel. Intel is going to 80 bucks. We're going to be pumping out American chips. Geopolitical conflicts create temporary market dips that offer discounted entries into long-term mega-trends. The US government's mandate to onshore semiconductor manufacturing for national security ensures massive structural support for domestic chipmakers. LONG because transient war fears have temporarily mispriced a company that is central to the US national security and re-industrialization agenda. The company fails to execute on its foundry turnaround strategy or loses further market share to competitors before government subsidies can bridge the gap.
This war gave you a phenomenal entry on Intel. Intel is going to 80 bucks. We're going to be pumping out American chips. Geopolitical conflicts create temporary market dips that offer discounted entries into long-term mega-trends. The US government's mandate to onshore semiconductor manufacturing for national security ensures massive structural support for domestic chipmakers. LONG because transient war fears have temporarily mispriced a company that is central to the US national security and re-industrialization agenda. The company fails to execute on its foundry turnaround strategy or loses further market share to competitors before government subsidies can bridge the gap.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Mar 10
$678.06
+9.5%
I'm very very very bullish on US equities now. I think that money is going to come flooding back in because I think that this war is going to be over very soon. By neutralizing Iran and Venezuela, the US is cutting off China's proxy network and re-establishing unipolar American hegemony. This will cause global capital to flee emerging markets and rotate heavily back into US equities as the premier safe haven and growth engine. LONG because the resolution of the Middle East conflict will solidify US global dominance and trigger massive capital inflows into American markets. The conflict escalates or drags on longer than expected, causing prolonged uncertainty and delayed capital rotation.
I'm very very very bullish on US equities now. I think that money is going to come flooding back in because I think that this war is going to be over very soon. By neutralizing Iran and Venezuela, the US is cutting off China's proxy network and re-establishing unipolar American hegemony. This will cause global capital to flee emerging markets and rotate heavily back into US equities as the premier safe haven and growth engine. LONG because the resolution of the Middle East conflict will solidify US global dominance and trigger massive capital inflows into American markets. The conflict escalates or drags on longer than expected, causing prolonged uncertainty and delayed capital rotation.
Equity Indexes
Long
Feb 23
$53.44
-27.5%
AI growth is currently bottlenecked by physical constraints: data centers, chips, and specifically energy. While software costs collapse, the demand for the physical inputs required to run AI (electricity) will skyrocket. Utilities and energy producers have pricing power. Long energy majors (Exxon, Chevron), Uranium (nuclear resurgence), and Utilities (Constellation Energy) as they provide the critical infrastructure for the AI buildout. A faster-than-expected efficiency in AI compute reducing energy needs.
AI growth is currently bottlenecked by physical constraints: data centers, chips, and specifically energy. While software costs collapse, the demand for the physical inputs required to run AI (electricity) will skyrocket. Utilities and energy producers have pricing power. Long energy majors (Exxon, Chevron), Uranium (nuclear resurgence), and Utilities (Constellation Energy) as they provide the critical infrastructure for the AI buildout. A faster-than-expected efficiency in AI compute reducing energy needs.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 05
$431.00
+24.4%
Zcash has a strong privacy narrative and whales are rotating into it. The privacy-versus-memes theme has held up. Avi would accumulate Zcash on dips toward $400 and is very bullish on it as a trade.
Crypto Assets
Long
Feb 12
$87.20
-16.7%
Avi identifies a "geopolitical mega trend" and notes "Uranium... is going to be very critical to powering the next stage of energy production." The convergence of AI (massive energy demand) and Geopolitics (US isolationism/supply chain security) creates a bottleneck for power and critical minerals. Nuclear (Uranium) and domestic sourcing of Rare Earths are the only viable solutions to power data centers independent of foreign reliance. Long Uranium and Rare Earth miners. Regulatory hurdles for new nuclear plants or environmental pushback on mining.
Avi identifies a "geopolitical mega trend" and notes "Uranium... is going to be very critical to powering the next stage of energy production." The convergence of AI (massive energy demand) and Geopolitics (US isolationism/supply chain security) creates a bottleneck for power and critical minerals. Nuclear (Uranium) and domestic sourcing of Rare Earths are the only viable solutions to power data centers independent of foreign reliance. Long Uranium and Rare Earth miners. Regulatory hurdles for new nuclear plants or environmental pushback on mining.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 29
$965.51
-12.7%
The memory supercycle is driven by a severe DRAM supply-demand gap (Goldman: most severe in 15 years). Contract prices surged 95% and could rise 130% by end of 2026. Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung are direct beneficiaries.
AI Memory
Long
May 29
$371.52
-9.9%
Zcash has been rallying on the privacy/uncensorable-currency thesis, but Monero is the actually-used asset that has lagged. Rotate gains from Zcash into Monero for relative outperformance.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 17
$41.23
+46.1%
Avi stated "we've been hyperlook bulls" and highlighted Hyperliquid's unique ability to trade oil on weekends when traditional markets are closed. This advantage attracts retail traders and could drive adoption, especially with institutional interest pending regulatory whitelisting. LONG because Hyperliquid has a competitive edge in 24/7 trading, potential for growth, and could reach $150-200 in value. Regulatory hurdles delay institutional access, or competitors emerge with similar offerings.
Avi stated "we've been hyperlook bulls" and highlighted Hyperliquid's unique ability to trade oil on weekends when traditional markets are closed. This advantage attracts retail traders and could drive adoption, especially with institutional interest pending regulatory whitelisting. LONG because Hyperliquid has a competitive edge in 24/7 trading, potential for growth, and could reach $150-200 in value. Regulatory hurdles delay institutional access, or competitors emerge with similar offerings.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 10
$608.60
+14.0%
I'm very very very bullish on US equities now. I think that money is going to come flooding back in because I think that this war is going to be over very soon. By neutralizing Iran and Venezuela, the US is cutting off China's proxy network and re-establishing unipolar American hegemony. This will cause global capital to flee emerging markets and rotate heavily back into US equities as the premier safe haven and growth engine. LONG because the resolution of the Middle East conflict will solidify US global dominance and trigger massive capital inflows into American markets. The conflict escalates or drags on longer than expected, causing prolonged uncertainty and delayed capital rotation.
I'm very very very bullish on US equities now. I think that money is going to come flooding back in because I think that this war is going to be over very soon. By neutralizing Iran and Venezuela, the US is cutting off China's proxy network and re-establishing unipolar American hegemony. This will cause global capital to flee emerging markets and rotate heavily back into US equities as the premier safe haven and growth engine. LONG because the resolution of the Middle East conflict will solidify US global dominance and trigger massive capital inflows into American markets. The conflict escalates or drags on longer than expected, causing prolonged uncertainty and delayed capital rotation.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 03
$2006.46
-7.4%
The author is rotating out of energy into crypto and uranium assets to recover portfolio losses.
Crypto Assets
Long
Feb 17
$639.29
+0.1%
"The revenues that were going to those companies [SaaS] are going to be absorbed into savings from Google... profit go up." Large tech companies are vertically integrated "Exxon Mobiles of compute." They have the capital to build internal software replacements using AI, cutting out third-party SaaS vendors. This reduces OpEx and increases margins for the Hyperscalers, making them the ultimate beneficiaries of the AI productivity boom. Long Mega Cap Tech as they capture the value previously leaked to SaaS vendors. Regulatory breakup risks or a failure of AI to deliver actual coding productivity gains.
"The revenues that were going to those companies [SaaS] are going to be absorbed into savings from Google... profit go up." Large tech companies are vertically integrated "Exxon Mobiles of compute." They have the capital to build internal software replacements using AI, cutting out third-party SaaS vendors. This reduces OpEx and increases margins for the Hyperscalers, making them the ultimate beneficiaries of the AI productivity boom. Long Mega Cap Tech as they capture the value previously leaked to SaaS vendors. Regulatory breakup risks or a failure of AI to deliver actual coding productivity gains.
Hyperscalers
Long
Feb 12
$309.00
+12.1%
Avi states, "Capital concentration is the name of the game... Mag 7... going to outperform all other tech companies." While skeptics cite high Capex as a negative, this spending builds an insurmountable moat. The massive productivity gains and infrastructure ownership (data centers) will accrue astronomical capital to these incumbents before any regulatory or AGI-level disruption occurs. Long the incumbents. The "underperformance" due to Capex fears has already played out. Regulatory breakup or a faster-than-expected shift to AGI that breaks the current corporate model.
Avi states, "Capital concentration is the name of the game... Mag 7... going to outperform all other tech companies." While skeptics cite high Capex as a negative, this spending builds an insurmountable moat. The massive productivity gains and infrastructure ownership (data centers) will accrue astronomical capital to these incumbents before any regulatory or AGI-level disruption occurs. Long the incumbents. The "underperformance" due to Capex fears has already played out. Regulatory breakup or a faster-than-expected shift to AGI that breaks the current corporate model.
Hyperscalers
Long
Jun 19
$36.86
+8.1%
AI is finally being applied to physical products and drug discovery, not just software. The FDA under RFK is becoming much more accommodating, as shown by the full U-turn on gene therapy. Avi bought ARKG (ARK Genomic Revolution ETF) with 3% of his portfolio and plans to increase exposure to genomics and biotech as this megatrend plays out.
Thematic ETFs
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Avi Felman has 64 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 60 tickers since January 2026. Win rate 53% across 64 evaluated calls, average return +1.1%. Ranked #254 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, HOOD, INTC.
