|
Feb 18
|
|
$204.81
$204.81
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
Volodymyr Zelenskiy
President of Ukraine
|
"He cannot let go of the very idea of war... in reality he is a slave to war." Zelenskiy argues that the aggressor is psychologically incapable of de-escalation. If the war is driven by an existential obsession rather than rational geopolitical goals, the conflict will be prolonged. A "forever war" scenario necessitates sustained and increasing defense spending by NATO and Western allies to support Ukraine and replenish depleted stockpiles. LONG. The thesis supports a secular bull market for defense contractors and aerospace firms. A sudden, unexpected diplomatic breakthrough or regime change in Russia could lead to a rapid de-rating of the defense sector. |
Bloomberg Markets
Zelenskiy Says He Cannot Imagine Putin Withou...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$204.81
$204.81
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
Thread Guy
Crypto influencer, independent
|
The speaker points out that "out of 100 things made in the military, there's like 80 that the process is traced back to China" and cites Raytheon (RTX) admitting the US cannot decouple from China. The "Bits to Atoms" thesis implies that the last 30 years of software prosperity masked a hollowing out of US industrial capacity. To compete with China, the US must aggressively re-industrialize and secure military supply chains, leading to massive capex in domestic defense and manufacturing. LONG US Defense and Industrials as the beneficiaries of the forced "re-onshoring" and "Bits to Atoms" transition. Supply chain shocks if China cuts off exports before the US can rebuild capacity. |
Thread Guy
It's Time To Start Chinamaxxing..
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$204.81
$204.81
-0.0%
|
LONG
|
Raja Krishnamoorthi
Congressman (D-IL), Member of House Intelligence Committee & China Select Committee
|
"When you show weakness and you lower your deterrence, then you invite aggression... I'm more concerned about the Chinese Communist Party and their economic, military, and technological aggression." While the immediate focus is Iran, the Congressman's broader thesis is that the US is under-resourced in the Indo-Pacific. This bipartisan pressure (from Intel/China committees) supports sustained long-term defense spending, particularly for naval and aerial assets (Raytheon, Lockheed) required for dual-theater deterrence. Long Defense (ITA) as global instability (Middle East + China) acts as a tailwind for the sector. Budget sequestration or diversion of funds due to the government shutdown. |
Bloomberg Markets
Will Congress Be Warned If Trump Attacks Iran...
|
|
Feb 18
|
|
$204.81
$204.81
-0.0%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
RTX Corporation (RTX) Presents at Citi's Glob...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$203.50
$204.81
+0.6%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
Leidos Holdings Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, R...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$203.50
$204.81
+0.6%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
RTX Weighs New Defense Contract And Vietjet D...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$203.50
$204.81
+0.6%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
RTX's Collins Aerospace named a Crystal Cabin...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$203.50
$204.81
+0.6%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
RTX's Raytheon to accelerate domestic supply ...
|
|
Feb 16
|
|
$200.06
$204.81
+2.4%
|
LONG
|
Oliver Crook
Chief European Correspondent, Bloomberg
|
Allies have pledged $35 billion in new military aid to Ukraine, specifically targeting "Air Defenses" and Patriot systems. RTX (Raytheon) manufactures the Patriot system. A $35B injection focused on air defense directly translates to order book growth for the prime contractors manufacturing these interceptors and batteries. LONG Defense primes, specifically those exposed to air defense systems. Geopolitical de-escalation or funding delays. |
Bloomberg Markets
AI 'Scare Trade' Takes Hold; Talabat FY Earni...
|
|
Feb 14
|
|
$200.06
$204.81
+2.4%
|
LONG
|
Michael
Guest / Geopolitical Analyst
|
The speaker explicitly states, "I think we're going to do it again [strike Iran]... I think he was going to hit like Israel wants to do ballistic missile sites." He adds that Trump wants "something that's going to be measurable." A US-led military strike on Iran, specifically targeting ballistic missile sites and the IRGC, creates two immediate market reactions: * Kinetic Warfare: Increased demand for munitions and missile defense systems benefits US defense primes (ITA, RTX, LMT). * Geopolitical Risk Premium: Conflict in the Persian Gulf threatens the Strait of Hormuz, necessitating a risk premium on Oil (WTI, XLE) and driving capital into safe-haven assets like Gold (GLD). LONG Defense, Energy, and Gold as a hedge against imminent escalation in the Middle East. De-escalation or a diplomatic breakthrough would rapidly unwind the war premium in oil and gold. |
Bloomberg Markets
Is Trump Gearing Up to Strike Iran Again?
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$200.06
$204.81
+2.4%
|
LONG
|
Gitanas Nausėda
President of Lithuania
|
The speaker confirms that US battalion rotations in Lithuania will be "prolonged for one and half, two years" and explicitly states that even if a peace deal is signed, Russia's "imperialistic ambitions... will be alive." The market often assumes a Ukraine peace deal = sell defense stocks. The speaker refutes this, arguing that the "peace" will require *higher* deterrence on the Eastern Flank (Lithuania/Poland). A frozen conflict or uneasy peace necessitates permanent militarization of the border, securing long-term contracts for US defense primes. LONG US Defense contractors as the "insurance policy" for European stability. A sudden, comprehensive détente between the US and Russia that includes demilitarization clauses (highly unlikely). |
Bloomberg Markets
Ukraine Needs US to End War, Lithuania's Lead...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$200.06
$204.81
+2.4%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
1 Cash-Producing Stock with Promising Prospec...
|
|
Feb 13
|
|
$200.06
$204.81
+2.4%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
Is It Too Late To Consider RTX (RTX) After A ...
|
|
Feb 12
|
|
$201.14
$204.81
+1.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
Defense Stocks Surged 100% Since Trump's Tari...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$196.51
$204.81
+4.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
El Paso Airport Closure Shows the Direction o...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$196.51
$204.81
+4.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
What the Options Market Tells Us About RTX
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$196.51
$204.81
+4.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
RTX's Raytheon's non-kinetic Coyote variant d...
|
|
Feb 11
|
|
$196.51
$204.81
+4.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RTX
RTX Corporation: The Aerospace Cash Powerhous...
|