Bloomberg Surveillance 8/17/2026

Смотреть на YouTube ↗  |  17 августа 2026, 15:03  |  2:24:18  |  Bloomberg Markets
Спикеры
Lori Calvasina — Руководитель отдела стратегии на рынке акций США, RBC Capital Markets
Sonja Marten — Главный экономист, DZ Bank
Chris Harvey — CIBC
CJ Muse — Старший управляющий директор по анализу акций полупроводниковой отрасли, Cantor Fitzgerald
Stephen Major — Глобальный макро-советник, Tradition Dubai
Darrell Cronk — Директор по инвестициям, Wells Fargo
Matt Kennedy — Старший стратег, Renaissance Capital
Dana Telsey — CEO и главный исследователь, Telsey Advisory Group
Abby Yoder — JPMorgan
Neil Dutta — Renaissance Macro (цитируется)
Ed Mills — Raymond James
The episode covers the ongoing resilience of the US consumer and equity markets despite looming geopolitical risks and a shifting macro landscape. Analysts discuss the insatiable capital demands of the AI boom, highlighted by Anthropic's surging revenue and hyperscalers tapping debt markets. Meanwhile, bond markets face pressure from rising term premiums, sticky inflation, and expanding fiscal deficits globally. - US equities maintain momentum following a market correction that cleared out overbought conditions. - The AI sector continues to see massive capital investment and strong revenue growth ahead of potential mega IPOs. - Target and off-price retailers are adapting to consumer trade-down behavior with new strategies and store expansions. - The Bank of Japan struggles to control rising bond yields and support the Yen amid expansionary fiscal policy. - Long-end US Treasury yields face upward pressure from sticky inflation and growing fiscal risk premiums. - Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain elevated, though oil markets have largely looked through the risks.
Идеи
Lori Calvasina Руководитель отдела стратегии на рынке акций США, RBC Capital Markets 4:27
US equities face no immediate upside impediments.
The recent market correction cleared out overbought momentum and de-risked hedge fund portfolios, resetting expectations and making it a time to be greedy in the short term as the path of least resistance is higher.
Lori Calvasina Руководитель отдела стратегии на рынке акций США, RBC Capital Markets 10:39
The AI growth story remains very strong.
The AI trade is back in vogue and continues to show a lot of underlying fundamental strength, independent of broader market sentiment or IPO supply concerns.
Sonja Marten Главный экономист, DZ Bank 31:20
Dovish BOJ hikes cannot reverse Yen weakness.
The Bank of Japan has a history of delivering dovish rate hikes, and combined with expansionary fiscal policy and disappointing growth, it will be very difficult to turn the Yen around even with intervention.
Sonja Marten Главный экономист, DZ Bank 32:50
The BOJ cannot control rising bond yields.
The Bank of Japan is running out of options to control the bond market, and with expansionary fiscal policy, managing yields is slipping out of their control.
CJ Muse Старший управляющий директор по анализу акций полупроводниковой отрасли, Cantor Fitzgerald 80:17
Nvidia's new financing platform creates another moat.
Nvidia is too cheap given that compute is sold out through 2027 and the company is creating a multi-trillion dollar financing platform that will provide a new competitive moat by offering the lowest cost of debt financing for GPUs.
Stephen Major Глобальный макро-советник, Tradition Dubai 94:35
Fiscal concerns weaken demand for long bonds.
Long-dated US Treasuries face weak demand due to a lack of fiscal rigor, rising risk premiums, and competition for capital from high-quality corporate issuers, making yields north of 5% unattractive.
Darrell Cronk Директор по инвестициям, Wells Fargo 100:40
The US yield curve will steepen further.
Slower global economic growth and underappreciated inflation will force the yield curve to steepen further, potentially widening the 2s10s spread back toward 75 basis points.
Darrell Cronk Директор по инвестициям, Wells Fargo 102:50
Long-end Treasury yields will continue to rise.
The market is underappreciating sticky inflation and rising term premiums, which will cause long-end Treasury yields to rise concurrently with the short end.
Matt Kennedy Старший стратег, Renaissance Capital 114:25
The AI market supports multiple massive IPOs.
The AI market is large enough to support multiple massive players like Anthropic and OpenAI, offering investors a chance to spread their bets across high-quality, sticky enterprise revenue streams once they go public.
Dana Telsey CEO и главный исследователь, Telsey Advisory Group 129:46
Target's transformation strategy is reviving the brand.
Target is executing a transformation strategy that enhances customer experience, leverages AI, recaptures merchandising muscle, and remodels stores, bringing the magic back to the brand.
Dana Telsey CEO и главный исследователь, Telsey Advisory Group 131:05
Off-price retailers benefit from consumer trade-downs.
Off-price retailers are benefiting from consumer trade-down behavior, while also expanding store footprints, enhancing product assortments, and diversifying categories like home goods.
Abby Yoder JPMorgan 138:38
Hyperscaler spending drives massive semiconductor revenue growth.
The AI infrastructure buildout remains incredibly strong, with hyperscalers reporting massive increases in AI-related revenue and contracted backlogs, directly benefiting semiconductor stocks.
Далее

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 17, 2026, features Lori Calvasina, Sonja Marten, CJ Muse, Stephen Major, Darrell Cronk, Matt Kennedy, Dana Telsey, Abby Yoder discussing SPY, AI basket, JPY, JGBS, NVDA, US30Y, 2s10s yield curve, 10-year US Treasuries, ANTHROPIC, OPENAI, TGT, ROST, BURL, TJX, SMH. 12 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lori Calvasina, Sonja Marten, CJ Muse, Stephen Major, Darrell Cronk, Matt Kennedy, Dana Telsey, Abby Yoder  · Tickers: SPY, AI basket, JPY, JGBS, NVDA, US30Y, 2s10s yield curve, 10-year US Treasuries, ANTHROPIC, OPENAI, TGT, ROST, BURL, TJX, SMH