Stephen Schork discusses the physical oil market's tightness due to logistics and vessel economics, arguing that crude oil prices will remain high despite an Iran peace deal headline. He also downplays the likelihood of US gasoline reaching $5 a gallon, predicting prices will stay elevated but not spike.
- Schork says the Iran peace deal is premature and the physical market has not yet adjusted.
- Crude oil prices are expected to stay higher longer due to vessel shortages and transit delays.
- US crude inventories are high but logistics constraints keep the market tight.
- Gasoline prices are unlikely to hit $5, but will remain high near $4.55 through Memorial Day.
- The market's demand is returning with summer driving season, supporting oil bids.
- Retail gasoline prices follow a 'rockets and feathers' pattern, with slow declines.