Сигналы
17
#957
Альфа-оценка 25.0
Ven Ram
Репортер/стратег Markets Live, Bloomberg
Винрейт
35.3%
доходность
-1.5%
Загрузка графиков...
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Шорт
30 апр
$85.81
+4.6%
The path of least resistance for US Treasury yields is higher because the Fed is underpricing the risk of having to raise rates due to the energy shock, and the market is still not pricing in a sufficiently hawkish Fed. Therefore, long-duration bonds should decline.
Облигации и ставки
Шорт
04 авг
$58.14
+1.4%
The yen is unlikely to strengthen sustainably because the Bank of Japan is keeping rates artificially low. Intervention cannot fix the fundamental problem, so the yen is headed for further depreciation.
Валюты
Лонг
23 фев
$481.28
-17.5%
Gold is up nearly 1% on trade uncertainty and the threat of a US military strike on Iran. Gold is benefiting from a dual tailwind: 1) Haven demand due to Middle East war risk, and 2) A weakening US Dollar caused by the Supreme Court limiting Trump's economic leverage. Momentum is strong (up 6% in 4 sessions). LONG Gold as a hedge against geopolitical escalation and dollar debasement. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough in Geneva talks or a de-escalation in rhetoric.
Gold is up nearly 1% on trade uncertainty and the threat of a US military strike on Iran. Gold is benefiting from a dual tailwind: 1) Haven demand due to Middle East war risk, and 2) A weakening US Dollar caused by the Supreme Court limiting Trump's economic leverage. Momentum is strong (up 6% in 4 sessions). LONG Gold as a hedge against geopolitical escalation and dollar debasement. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough in Geneva talks or a de-escalation in rhetoric.
Сырьё
Шорт
26 июн
$369.50
-7.5%
Gold, like Bitcoin, has been caught in the same vicious rotational play after its earlier frenzy. By calculation, gold is now trading as if the US CPI index were already at 2030 levels, leaving a lot of air underneath. In the short term gold will be tested and is likely to fall to 2,800 or even 2,600 levels.
Сырьё
Шорт
17 июн
$94.52
+2.5%
ФРС не может снизить ставки, поскольку экономика США демонстрирует устойчивый рост выше тренда, а инфляция остается высокой в течение длительного времени. Рынки недооценивают этот инфляционный скачок и не осознают риск того, что председатель Уорш сократит прогнозные показатели и точечную диаграмму (dot plot), создав менее «голубиную» ФРС в стиле Гринспена. Доходность десятилетних облигаций ниже 4,50% не отражает этот «ястребиный» риск.
Облигации и ставки
Шорт
26 мая
$749.75
-1.6%
U.S. equity markets, particularly the S&P 500, are overripe for a correction because they have run up too much and froth is considerable relative to fair value.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
26 авг
$82.10
-0.5%
The current Treasury rally is supported for now by tumbling oil prices and Scott Bessent's buyback announcement, which took out market shorts; the short-term sentiment is real even if longer-term risks remain.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
26 авг
$49.17
-2.0%
Europe and the UK look compelling on valuations, with UK and European equity earnings yields near 6%, UK P/E below historical averages, and elevated equity risk premiums over bond yields; regardless of Nvidia's result, Europe works either as a semiconductor/tech catch-up play or as a defensive diversification away from stretched US tech.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
26 авг
$92.96
-2.4%
Europe and the UK look compelling on valuations, with UK and European equity earnings yields near 6%, UK P/E below historical averages, and elevated equity risk premiums over bond yields; regardless of Nvidia's result, Europe works either as a semiconductor/tech catch-up play or as a defensive diversification away from stretched US tech.
Фондовые индексы
Шорт
21 авг
$27.91
-1.3%
Treasury debt buyback plans are just tinkering at the margins; without meaningful deficit reduction they will not assuage investors, and fiscal indiscipline combined with unchecked inflation is driving dollar depreciation.
Валюты
Лонг
03 авг
$58.57
-2.1%
The Bank of Japan needs to raise rates at a faster pace because it is behind the curve in fighting inflation. Once the BOJ shows intent to push real rates into positive territory, the yen will strengthen far more than intervention alone can achieve.
Валюты
Шорт
31 июл
$164.11
-6.5%
The Korean market's rebound is temporary and positional; the market behaves like a casino, the AI story is overpriced, and more compression is coming in the weeks and months ahead.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
26 июн
$731.20
+4.2%
US stocks will decouple from the brutal meltdown in South Korea. The Korean selloff is mainly about two names (Samsung and SK Hynix) and the immense leverage in single-stock ETFs, making it an idiosyncratic problem that should not drag US equities lower for long.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
25 июн
$67.01
+0.6%
A rotational trade out of overextended chip stocks into banks will continue, supported by the Federal Reserve's stress test results, dividend increases, and banks' year-to-date underperformance.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
19 мая
$83.41
-1.9%
At current 30-year yield levels near 2007 highs, long-dated US Treasuries represent bargain levels because yields are unlikely to persist over the life of the bond, so investors should scale into duration.
Облигации и ставки
Показано 15 из 17 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям
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У Ven Ram на Buzzberg отслеживается 17 торговых идей по 13 тикерам с февраля 2026. винрейт 35% по 17 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность -1.5%. #957 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: TLT, FXY, GOLD.
