Сигналы
11
#857
Альфа-оценка 21.9
Kevin Muir
Ведущий, MacroVoices
Винрейт
36.4%
доходность
-4.6%
Загрузка графиков...
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
10 мая
$133.59
-13.9%
Oil is a no-brainer long because the risk/reward is asymmetric: if Hormuz conflict is resolved, oil may fall ~$10 to the low $80s, but if it worsens, oil could spike $30+ to $120-150. Structural inventory depletion and physical market tightness provide a floor, while the market is overly complacent.
Сырьё
Лонг
25 апр
$94.34
-17.6%
Gold miners may offer a place to hide relative to gold itself, as Newmont's earnings were solid and the group could grind higher even if gold stays in a choppy range.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
11 апр
$437.13
-14.6%
Gold is in a long-term bull market driven by central bank buying, especially the People's Bank of China, which will continue accumulating for years. The recent geopolitical sell-off was a cleansing of speculative positions, creating a buying opportunity. The thesis is not about short-term war premiums but about structural demand from reserve diversification.
Сырьё
Лонг
11 апр
$86.49
-4.1%
Long-dated US Treasuries (30-year) present a compelling risk/reward over a 3-9 month horizon because CTAs are now max short bonds, the economy is facing headwinds from high oil and tight credit conditions, and a recession would trigger a significant bond rally. However, timing is difficult as another leg down is possible if oil spikes further.
Облигации и ставки
Шорт
01 авг
$540.53
-6.2%
The AI and semiconductor bubble has burst, and these stocks will likely behave like silver did after its peak, experiencing a sharp correction followed by a bounce and then a long, slow drift lower.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
20 июн
$56.85
+2.3%
Устойчивое ралли доллара США, вероятно, в конечном итоге спровоцирует событие в формате «ухода от риска» (risk-off), и в условиях «ухода от риска» японская иена должна вырасти как «тихая гавань». Он сохраняет длинную позицию по иене, несмотря на текущую силу доллара, ожидая, что разворот в сторону «ухода от риска» принесет прибыль.
Валюты
Шорт
12 июн
$739.78
-4.4%
The market is extremely overbought, showing clear distribution on hourly charts with every rally sold. Systematic selling triggers (CTAs) sit near 7,300 on the S&P, and an unprecedented wave of IPOs and secondary deals (SpaceX, Google, Meta) is draining cash. The time has come to sell the rips and short the S&P 500.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
25 апр
$87.32
+8.0%
Japan's equity market is a long-term buy-and-forget position, supported by structural reforms, corporate governance improvements, and a semiconductor tailwind. The Nikkei is at 52-week highs and should be held.
Фондовые индексы
Шорт
11 апр
$12.36
-4.9%
The high-yield credit market and BDC space are vulnerable because the really bad credits have moved into private credit, creating a bubble. The public high-yield index has improved in quality but is still priced for perfection and will widen when the economy rolls over. Shorting via BIZD and the high-yield index offers a better risk/reward than shorting equities.
Тематические ETF
Шорт
11 апр
$79.96
+0.6%
The high-yield credit market and BDC space are vulnerable because the really bad credits have moved into private credit, creating a bubble. The public high-yield index has improved in quality but is still priced for perfection and will widen when the economy rolls over. Shorting via BIZD and the high-yield index offers a better risk/reward than shorting equities.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
11 апр
$25.89
+4.2%
Energy stocks remain underowned and undervalued relative to the structural tailwinds from underinvestment, geopolitical supply risks, and the likely persistence of elevated oil prices. Canadian energy is particularly attractive given long-life reserves and potential pipeline developments. The sector is still cheap despite being the best performer over the past year.
Тематические ETF
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У Kevin Muir на Buzzberg отслеживается 11 торговых идей по 11 тикерам с апреля 2026. #857 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: BNO, GDX, GOLD.
