#1078 Alpha Score 6.1

Fernando Ulrich

Financial Commentator, Independent
· tracked since May 2026
1078
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Alpha Score 6.1
Calls
22
Win Rate
33.3%
return
-7.7%
Calls 22 43 Posts tracked · 0.4/day Posted today
Calls
7d 0
30d 11
90d 19
Best Calls
COPPER Long +13.5%
GLD Long +9.5%
STRC Long +7.5%
Worst Calls
SNDK Long -42.1%
000660.KS Long -32.3%
MSFT Short -28.6%
Most Mentioned
BTC ×4
USD/BRL ×3
STRC ×3
Recent Calls
JPY Long 4 days ago
FXY Long 1 week ago
OBTC3.SA Long 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 33% Long 18 Short 4
Win Rate
7d 27%
30d 30%
90d 50%
Average Return -7.7% Long Return -6.9% Short Return -11.5%
Average Return
7d -6.1%
30d -16.4%
90d -9.8%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 10
$80842.60
-21.6%
Bitcoin as war safe haven and AI money
Bitcoin is the only truly decentralized digital asset backed by global liquidity and proof-of-work. It has demonstrated superior performance during geopolitical crises (e.g., the US-Iran conflict) while gold corrected. Furthermore, a survey indicated 70-80% of AI agents prefer Bitcoin as a medium of exchange, reinforcing its role as neutral digital money. These factors support a long-term bullish view on Bitcoin as a safe haven and future AI-driven settlement asset.
Crypto Assets
Long
Jun 20
$88.59
+7.5%
Long STRC, sell-off is temporary
Despite a sharp sell-off in Strategy's preferred stock (STRC), the speaker remains long and does not plan to sell. He argues the sell-off is not a 'death spiral' for Strategy, and the fear is unwarranted. He promises a deeper analysis in a future video but maintains his bullish position.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Jul 18
$92.03
-1.0%
Argentina inflation falling, reforms working
Under President Milei's libertarian reforms, fiscal surplus, monetary control, and exchange rate stability are leading to a sustained decline in inflation, which should continue and support Argentina's economic recovery, making Argentine assets attractive.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jul 18
$368.41
+9.5%
Hedge US debt risk with gold, Bitcoin
To protect against a possible US debt crisis and potential devaluation of the dollar, investors should diversify out of US government bonds and into assets without political interference such as gold and Bitcoin, which can serve as hedges.
Commodities
Long
Jun 25
$1204.00
-24.1%
Memory chip makers win from AI capex
O boom de CAPEX em inteligência artificial está gerando uma divergência clara: os fabricantes de chips e memórias (check receivers) estão capturando todo o investimento e se valorizando fortemente, enquanto as empresas que gastam nessa infraestrutura (check writers) estão sofrendo com aumento de custos e queda nas ações. Micron e Sandisk exemplificam essa dinâmica de alta.
AI Memory
Long
May 05
$1.00
-
Stablecoins are attractive for dollar exposure.
Stablecoins (USDC/USDT) are being rapidly adopted by Brazilians as a digital dollar store of value and medium of exchange, with monthly inflows exceeding $2 billion and cumulative holdings near $60 billion. The trend is driven by convenience, lower costs, transparency, security, and the ability to self-custody, making them an attractive alternative to traditional banking for dollar exposure, despite potential regulatory headwinds like IOF.
Crypto Assets
Long
Aug 02
$57.66
-0.1%
Historic official intervention to strengthen yen.
The Bank of Japan and the US Treasury have intervened aggressively to strengthen the Japanese yen. The US Treasury sold euros to buy yen, the first such direct intervention since 1998, signaling strong official support for a stronger yen. The Treasury Secretary explicitly views the yen as too weak and wants it to appreciate. This coordinated official action creates a powerful tailwind for the yen.
FX & Currencies
Long
Jul 26
$77.72
+13.5%
Copper supply-demand imbalance lifts prices.
Copper may face scarcity due to a supply-demand mismatch driven by the boom in AI and critical minerals demand. When supply falls short, prices tend to rise, supporting a bullish copper thesis.
Commodities
Short
Jul 26
$319.74
-7.4%
AI capex surge makes big tech vulnerable.
Big Tech companies heavily exposed to AI (Google, Microsoft, Tesla) are being penalized by the market because their massive capex spending on data centers, infrastructure, and hardware is consuming cash, leading to negative free cash flow (Google's first ever), rising debt-like commitments, and uncertain returns on investment. The market is repricing the risk of this spending spree.
Hyperscalers
Short
Jul 26
$381.70
-28.6%
AI capex surge makes big tech vulnerable.
Big Tech companies heavily exposed to AI (Google, Microsoft, Tesla) are being penalized by the market because their massive capex spending on data centers, infrastructure, and hardware is consuming cash, leading to negative free cash flow (Google's first ever), rising debt-like commitments, and uncertain returns on investment. The market is repricing the risk of this spending spree.
Hyperscalers
Long
Jul 26
$6.13
+2.9%
OBTC3 trades at discount to net assets.
OBTC3 (Orange BTC) is trading at a discount to its net asset value, making it a great opportunity. Although he is not adding to his position now because he is already heavily invested, he considers it undervalued.
Crypto Treasuries
Short
Jul 26
$313.03
-4.5%
AI capex surge makes big tech vulnerable.
Big Tech companies heavily exposed to AI (Google, Microsoft, Tesla) are being penalized by the market because their massive capex spending on data centers, infrastructure, and hardware is consuming cash, leading to negative free cash flow (Google's first ever), rising debt-like commitments, and uncertain returns on investment. The market is repricing the risk of this spending spree.
Autos & EV
Long
Jul 26
$136.69
-7.2%
Middle East conflict lifts oil prices.
Middle East tensions and continued attacks between the US and Iran show no sign of ending, pushing crude oil prices back above key levels and driving up inflation expectations as well as global yields.
Commodities
Long
Jul 21
$324.92
-7.2%
Conservative hardware play wins AI race.
Apple's conservative approach avoids massive AI capex, preserving high free cash flow and margins, while the market rewards its safety and it benefits from hardware demand for AI models. This positions Apple as a potential winner in the AI race despite lacking its own AI model.
AI Hardware
Long
Jul 18
$88.70
+1.0%
Chinese auto exports surging, BYD benefits
China's monthly auto exports surpassed 1 million units, growing 71% YoY, driven by electric and hybrid vehicles, and is on track to exceed 10 million in 2026, indicating strong competitive momentum for Chinese automakers like BYD.
Autos & EV
Showing 15 of 22 calls · sorted by mentions

Fernando Ulrich has 22 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 22 tickers since May 2026. Win rate 33% across 21 evaluated calls, average return -7.7%. Ranked #1078 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, USD/BRL, STRC.