Trading Bitcoin Cycles With Willy Woo

Summary

Willy Woo discusses Bitcoin cycle behavior, arguing that most cycle gains occur in short two-week bursts and that traders should stay invested to avoid missing late-stage parabolic moves. He says the bull market is late in time but may still be early in price because BTC is less than double its 2021 peak. The ultimate cycle top depends on global liquidity/M2 and the timing of a coming business-cycle downturn; if the downturn arrives early, he would consider trimming around $140k-$160k, while a later downturn could lead to much higher targets.

• Willy Woo says Bitcoin cycle gains are concentrated in roughly two-week windows.
• He warns that trading in and out during a bull market risks missing the biggest moves.
• BTC at $118k is less than double its 2021 peak, so price-wise the cycle may still be early.
• He views cycle tops as unstable and says price-target models should not be given strong credence.
• The ultimate BTC target depends on global liquidity/M2 and the timing of a business-cycle downturn.
• If the downturn arrives early, he suggests considering profit-taking around $140k-$160k.
• If the downturn arrives later, he says BTC targets could go much higher.
• Host Jonah Van Bourg asks about commodity-style late-cycle moves and price targets.