💥Michael Burry ADVIERTE: “Lo IMPENSABLE esta a PUNTO SUCEDER en Bolsa”|👉Cómo PROTEGERSE
Speakers
Alejandro Estebaranz
— Crypto YouTuber, El Estebaranz
Summary
The host reviews three major warnings from Michael Burry: the threat from cheap Chinese AI models to Western semiconductor stocks, a potential 1987-style crash driven by rampant options speculation, and the prolonged Iran-Orum Strait oil disruption. He explains Burry's bearish put positions on NVIDIA, Micron, Palantir, Tesla, Applied Materials and the semiconductor ETF, and his bullish investments in out-of-favor names: JD.com, Adobe, Zoetis, Fiserv, and Flutter Entertainment. The host also shares his own high-conviction ideas from the True Value fund, including Georgia Capital, EPAM, Dominos Pizza, and gold royalty stocks.
- Michael Burry warns Chinese AI models cheaper and gaining share threaten Western semiconductor demand; he bought puts on NVDA, MU, PLTR, TSLA, AMAT and the semiconductor ETF.
- Burry sees risk of a sudden 1987-style market crash due to record option volumes and forced leveraged buying; he advises raising cash and reducing high-valuation semis.
- Burry's long picks: JD.com (5x ex-cash earnings, buybacks), Adobe (10x earnings, $25B buyback), Zoetis (10x earnings, pet spending dip temporary), Fiserv (7x earnings, payment oligopoly recovery), Flutter (regulation of prediction markets could boost FanDuel).
- Host Alejandro Estebaranz highlights his fund's position in Georgia Capital, a holding company with a fast-growing Georgian bank at a deep discount.
- The host recently bought EPAM at $85-90, betting on IT services AI transformation and cheap valuation (4x EBITDA).
- Dominos Pizza is a fund holding trading at 16x earnings, near multi-year lows, with steady earnings growth.
- Gold royalty companies like Franco-Nevada and Wheaton Precious Metals have outperformed bullion and are recommended as safer long-term gold exposure.
- Iran-Orum Strait oil disruption is cushioned by Chinese import cuts and large global reserves, providing about 3 years of supply buffer, limiting oil price spikes near-term.
Ideas
Chinese AI models threaten semiconductor stocks.
Chinese open-source AI models are 80-90% cheaper than Western ones and have captured 60% market share, threatening demand for expensive Western AI hardware. Michael Burry warns that this will hurt revenues and profits of NVIDIA, Micron, Palantir, Tesla, Applied Materials and the semiconductor sector, and has bought put options on those names and the semiconductor ETF.
Options speculation may trigger 1987-style crash.
The explosion of options trading volume (8x increase) and speculative leverage resembles the 1987 market structure. Massive call buying forces volatility-targeting funds to increase leverage, creating an 'pressure cooker' that could trigger a sudden crash similar to 1987. Michael Burry is holding put options and a short equity position, advising caution, higher cash, and reduced exposure to high-valuation semiconductors.
Adobe cheap with recurring revenue, buybacks.
Michael Burry has bought Adobe at $190-200. The stock is down 57% over five years while earnings per share have more than doubled. Core subscription business (Photoshop, Premiere, Acrobat) is resilient to AI disruption, growing at double digits. The company just announced a $25 billion buyback (~25% of shares), and the stock trades at only 10x earnings, far below its historical 30x and the market average of 23x.
JD.com cheap with cash and buybacks.
Michael Burry is investing in JD.com, the 'Amazon of China'. The company is deeply out of favor, has fallen ~70%, and is consolidating with high volume rotation. Its valuation ex-cash is only 5x earnings, with massive buybacks and dividends yielding 8% annual shareholder return. The business is stabilizing, not declining, and China remains a dynamic, entrepreneurial economy. Burry has a successful track record in Asian equities (e.g., Tencent).
Zoetis cheap on temporary pet spending dip.
Michael Burry is buying Zoetis, the global leader in pet medications. The stock has collapsed 50% due to temporary consumer pressure reducing vet visits, but underlying pet ownership trends remain strong (more pets than children). The business is recurring, and the valuation is at historical lows of 10-11x earnings versus a normal 30x. Even zero growth would likely produce positive returns; any recovery would amplify gains.
Fiserv cheap, payment oligopoly recovering.
Michael Burry is investing in Fiserv, the payment processing oligopoly (43% market share). The stock crashed 60% when Argentina's hyperinflation masked slowing core growth; now that inflation normalizes, the true underlying growth is about 0-2%, disappointing markets. However, the business is essential, margins are high, and a new CEO has guided for recovery to 4-6% growth and $12 EPS. The stock trades at 7x earnings, near all-time lows, with a strong medium-term recovery play.
Flutter gains from prediction market regulation.
Michael Burry bought Flutter Entertainment, but with smaller sizing due to risk. The stock dropped sharply because unregulated prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket) are stealing market share from regulated sports betting platforms like FanDuel. Burry believes regulation is almost certain, which would level the playing field and benefit Flutter. International operations are strong, and valuation has fallen from 30x to 15x earnings. High leverage (4.3x) remains a risk.
EPAM IT services, AI driving growth.
The host recently bought EPAM at an average price of $85-90. EPAM is an IT services company where the AI segment is already 11% of revenue and growing 70-80% annually. Traditional IT services spending is weak due to global uncertainty, but the AI business will soon drive overall growth. The stock is cheap at about 4x EBITDA and 9-10x earnings, well below market averages, offering an asymmetric rebound opportunity.
Georgia Capital cheap with growing economy.
Georgia Capital is a significant position in True Value. It is a holding company invested in Georgia's pro-capitalist, low-tax economy. The main asset is Lion Finance Group, the country's leading bank, growing fast with 60% operating margins. Georgia Capital trades at a discount to net asset value, is buying back shares, and benefits from Georgia's robust, dynamic economic growth despite neighbour risk from Russia.
Domino's Pizza cheap with steady growth.
Domino's Pizza is held in the True Value fund. The business is resilient, recurring, and recession-resistant. Earnings per share continue growing, yet the stock trades at 16-17x earnings, near the lowest in five years and a large discount to its historical 25-35x range. The concern about weight-loss drugs reducing pizza demand has not materialized; the main headwind is temporary consumer income pressure, but the long-term growth and buybacks remain intact.
Gold royalty stocks outperform, safer than bullion.
Gold royalty companies like Franco-Nevada and Wheaton Precious Metals have historically outperformed physical gold while offering lower risk than mining stocks. Over the last 10-20 years, they have delivered high double-digit annualized returns plus dividends. The host suggests that, rather than trading gold directly, a basket of royalty companies is a smarter long-term exposure to gold's drivers.
Up Next
This El Arte de Invertir video, published August 09, 2026, features Alejandro Estebaranz discussing NVDA, MU, PLTR, AMAT, TSLA, SMH, SPY, ADBE, JD, ZTS, FI, FLTR, EPAM, CGEO.L, DPZ, FNV, WPM. 11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers: Alejandro Estebaranz · Tickers: NVDA, MU, PLTR, AMAT, TSLA, SMH, SPY, ADBE, JD, ZTS, FI, FLTR, EPAM, CGEO.L, DPZ, FNV, WPM