[Highlight] This crisis should be viewed aggressively | Park Se-ik Senior Managing Director & Chesley Head of Learning & Dr. So Hyeon-cheol [Byeoljubujeon / 26.08.08.Sat]

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 09, 2026 at 08:39  |  1:01:19  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist
Choi Ho — Vice President

Summary

Park Se-ik urges buying Korean equities aggressively during the early September dip, viewing the ongoing correction as an opportunity. Choi Ho presents a detailed bullish thesis on US solar beneficiaries OCI Holdings and Hanwha Solutions, driven by tariffs and AI data center mandates. Taeband adds a bullish call on the Korean battery/ESS basket and shares a market timing model using Kiwoom Securities and foreign futures.

  • Park Se-ik sees the current correction ending with a W-shaped recovery and calls for aggressive buying on September weakness, focusing on leadership sectors.
  • US tariffs (Section 232) effectively ban Chinese polysilicon, creating a massive opportunity for Korean suppliers OCI Holdings and Hanwha Solutions.
  • Detailed analysis shows OCI Holdings can capture ~25% of the 130–170 trillion KRW US solar market with healthy polysilicon margins, and the stock has 30–40% upside with further potential on capacity expansion.
  • Hanwha Solutions (Q Cells) avoids tariffs via US-based factories and can take ~20% of the US module market, benefiting from IRA subsidies and AI data center solar mandates.
  • AI data centers are pivoting to solar+ESS for 60% of new power, with state-level mandates enforcing 80%+ clean energy, underlining the scale of the solar theme.
  • Taeband argues the same US supply chain decoupling logic applies to Korean battery/ESS stocks, urging a basket approach and noting early foreign accumulation.
  • A proprietary market timing tool using Kiwoom Securities weekly trend and KOSPI foreign futures can guide entry/exit, currently in a cautious watch phase.
  • A rejected US-Japan currency coordination thesis and a too-weak Samsung SDI turnaround note were not included as standalone ideas.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 1:00
Aggressively buy KOSPI during September dip.
The current market correction is not a risk to be managed but an aggressive buying opportunity. The KOSPI is forming a W-shaped bottom with a higher right hip, and the early September dip, around the FOMC meeting and Chuseok, will be a temporary supply headwind. Investors should focus on identifying the strongest sectors during this correction as they will lead the next leg up, and attack the market aggressively during this window.
Choi Ho Vice President 3:18
Long OCI Holdings, solar polysilicon monopoly.
OCI Holdings is a major non-Chinese producer of polysilicon, benefiting directly from US tariffs (Section 232) that effectively ban Chinese polysilicon imports, the minimum import price rule, and FEOC restrictions. With AI data centers mandated to use 80%+ clean energy, and big tech committing to solar+ESS for 60% of new data center power, US annual solar installations are set to grow to 40–45 GW. OCI Holdings can capture ~25% of this market, with polysilicon margins of $12.5–15/kg on a production cost of ~$7–7.5/kg. Based on capacity of 35,000 tons (expandable to 70,000+ tons), the stock has at least 30–40% upside potential from current levels, with a base case fair value of ~357,000 KRW and further upside if expansion to 100 GW tons materializes.
Choi Ho Vice President 3:18
Long Hanwha Solutions, US solar winner.
Hanwha Solutions (Q Cells) stands to benefit from US solar policy because it operates US-based solar module factories, avoiding the 15% tariff on Korean polysilicon and getting exemptions under Section 232. With Chinese competitors removed, it can capture about 20% of the US solar module market. The AI data center solar buildout and IRA/AMPC subsidies could add trillions of KRW in additional profit. The company is expected to see significant growth in its US solar module and infrastructure business.
Buy Korean battery/ESS basket now.
Korean battery and ESS stocks are set to benefit from the same US policy trend of decoupling from China. The US is increasingly blocking Chinese battery raw materials and components, forcing a shift to non-Chinese supply chains, similar to what happened in solar. While Chinese LFP cathodes are extremely cheap, the US will not allow them, creating a large opportunity for Korean battery material makers with non-China sourced lithium, phosphate, and other inputs. Foreign investors have already started slowly accumulating beaten-down battery stocks like Samsung SDI. The whole basket (solar + battery/ESS) should be owned, as they are moving together and both are policy beneficiaries.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published August 09, 2026, features Park Se-ik, Choi Ho, Taeband discussing KS, 456040.KS, 009830.KS, LIT. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik, Choi Ho, Taeband  · Tickers: KS, 456040.KS, 009830.KS, LIT