Salesforce Stock Has Substantial Upside, Says Mizuho's Moskowitz

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 26, 2026 at 15:48  |  6:15  |  Bloomberg Markets

Summary

  • The AI Paradox in Software: While the market fears AI will disrupt software revenue models (specifically seat-based pricing), Moskowitz argues the opposite: AI drastically reduces the cost of writing code, which is the primary cost center for software companies. This creates an opportunity for significant margin expansion that the market is currently ignoring.
  • Salesforce Specifics: Despite a soft outlook and a price target cut (from $280 to $265), Mizuho remains optimistic. The thesis hinges on "Agent Force" (AI agents) accelerating revenue. Agent Force ARR jumped from $540M to $800M sequentially.
  • Sector Divergence: Growth is not uniform. "Service Cloud" (customer support) and "Sales Cloud" are benefiting from AI agents, while "Marketing and Commerce" clouds remain a "thorn in the side" with decelerating growth expected to continue through 2026.
Trade Ideas
Greg Moskowitz Analyst, Mizuho 0:00
"Agent force... really picked up. It was at 540 million in annualized recurring revenue last quarter. It's now at 800 million." Additionally, the company has authorized a "$50 billion" buyback, signaling they see "uncommon value." The market is selling the stock based on a fear narrative (AI kills seat-based SaaS), but the data shows the new AI product (Agent Force) is compounding rapidly (nearly 50% sequential growth). Combined with a massive buyback floor, the stock is undervalued relative to its future margin potential and expected revenue reacceleration in the second half of the fiscal year. Long CRM as a contrarian play on AI adoption; the "cost" of software production is dropping while the high-value AI agent revenue is ramping up. The "Marketing and Commerce" segments are decelerating and are not expected to pick up in 2026, acting as a drag on overall performance. The "negative narrative" regarding AI disruption may persist for several quarters before the reacceleration is visible in earnings.
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This Bloomberg Markets video, published February 26, 2026, features Greg Moskowitz discussing CRM. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Greg Moskowitz  · Tickers: CRM