‘We’re In Trouble’: Trader Warns Interest Rates to Surge, Destory Stocks | Todd Horwitz

Summary

Todd Horwitz breaks down the market reaction to Trump's Iran deal, which pushed stocks, Bitcoin and gold higher. He explains why he stays invested long-term but is waiting for a short trade on equities due to consumer stress and overvaluation. He remains short crude oil, turns bullish on gold and silver after a correction, sees SpaceX IPO as overextended, expects 10-year yields to hit 6%, and believes gasoline prices have peaked.

• Markets rally on Iran peace deal, but Horwitz sees light volume and pending triple witching as reason to avoid new longs.
• He plans to short S&P 500 and NASDAQ, citing consumer debt defaults, job losses, and a fragile K-shaped economy.
• Maintains short crude oil position from $110-115, targeting the $60s due to US supply glut and demand weakness.
• Turns bullish on gold and silver, expecting a bottom at 4056-4100 gold, with upside to 5500-6000 and a silver rebound.
• SpaceX IPO parabolic straight-up move signals a short-term top; he would sell/short and sees a pullback to 160s-170s.
• Forecasts 10-year Treasury yields rising to 6% this year, pressuring bond prices and eventually pushing S&P 500 to 5,500.
• Gasoline pump prices have likely peaked for the year and should only fall from here.
• Reinforces trading discipline: separate investing (stay long quality companies) from trading (wait for high-probability setups).