‘We’re In Trouble’: Trader Warns Interest Rates to Surge, Destory Stocks | Todd Horwitz
Спикеры
Todd Horwitz
— Основатель, bubbatrading.com
Todd Horwitz breaks down the market reaction to Trump's Iran deal, which pushed stocks, Bitcoin and gold higher. He explains why he stays invested long-term but is waiting for a short trade on equities due to consumer stress and overvaluation. He remains short crude oil, turns bullish on gold and silver after a correction, sees SpaceX IPO as overextended, expects 10-year yields to hit 6%, and believes gasoline prices have peaked.
- Markets rally on Iran peace deal, but Horwitz sees light volume and pending triple witching as reason to avoid new longs.
- He plans to short S&P 500 and NASDAQ, citing consumer debt defaults, job losses, and a fragile K-shaped economy.
- Maintains short crude oil position from $110-115, targeting the $60s due to US supply glut and demand weakness.
- Turns bullish on gold and silver, expecting a bottom at 4056-4100 gold, with upside to 5500-6000 and a silver rebound.
- SpaceX IPO parabolic straight-up move signals a short-term top; he would sell/short and sees a pullback to 160s-170s.
- Forecasts 10-year Treasury yields rising to 6% this year, pressuring bond prices and eventually pushing S&P 500 to 5,500.
- Gasoline pump prices have likely peaked for the year and should only fall from here.
- Reinforces trading discipline: separate investing (stay long quality companies) from trading (wait for high-probability setups).
Идеи
Supply glut, oil heading to $60s.
Already short crude oil since $110-115. Maintains short because of overwhelming US oil supply glut, weak demand, and historical pattern where every Iran deal leads to lower highs and lower lows in crude. Expects oil to trade down into the $60s before year-end.
Weak economy, indices due for sell-off.
US equity indices are overvalued with consumer credit stress, rising defaults, job losses, and a weakening economy. He expects a 5-10% sell-off and is waiting for price action to give a reason to short S&P 500 and NASDAQ, planning to sell into this rally.
Gold and silver bottoms in, rally ahead.
Gold and silver have put in their bottoms after parabolic corrections; gold bottomed around 4056-4100 and can rally back to 5500 or even 6000, while silver took a 50% haircut. Precious metals are his top bullish trades now.
Gasoline prices peaked, set to drop.
Gasoline prices at the pump have likely peaked for the year and will only move lower, reflecting the glut in crude oil, lower demand, and the completed Iran deal bringing supply back online.
SpaceX IPO has moved straight up parabolically from ~148 to 185, with retail euphoria and volume exhaustion. This unsustainable pattern signals a short-term top; he would sell/short and expects a pullback into the 170s-160s.
Yields heading to 6%, bonds lower.
US 10-year Treasury yields are headed significantly higher and could reach 6% before year-end, driven by inflation, a hawkish Fed and rising rate expectations. Higher yields will pressure corporate balance sheets and the economy.
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This The David Lin Report video, published June 15, 2026, features Todd Horwitz discussing WTI, SPY, QQQ, SILVER, GLD, UGA, SPCX, US 10-year Treasury notes. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers: Todd Horwitz · Tickers: WTI, SPY, QQQ, SILVER, GLD, UGA, SPCX, US 10-year Treasury notes