Tom Lee: Markets are overreacting to the Fed and I would be a dip buyer

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 16, 2026 at 20:17  |  5:47  |  CNBC
Speakers
Tom Lee — Managing Partner & Head of Research, Fundstrat
Dan Greenhaus — Chief Strategist, ICAP

Summary

Tom Lee and Dan Greenhaus joined Closing Bell to discuss the Fed decision and the market's negative reaction. Tom Lee argued the hike was priced in, the economy can handle it, inflation should fade, and investors should buy the dip, especially in beaten-down sectors. Dan Greenhaus said the Fed did not need to hike but a 25-basis-point move is not catastrophic, while flagging weakness outside AI/data-center investment and in construction.

  • Fed hiked and markets sold off; guests debated whether the reaction was overdone.
  • Tom Lee said he would buy the dip because the Fed hike does not derail a strong economy and earnings revisions are still rising.
  • Tom Lee expects temporary inflation effects to fade and core PCE to fall to a two-handle.
  • Tom Lee favors cyclicals, technology, consumer discretionary, and financials if inflation fears ease; he called the financials selloff overdone.
  • Dan Greenhaus said the Fed did not need to hike, but 25 basis points is not a reason to flee.
  • Dan Greenhaus flagged weakness in residential and non-residential construction, worsened by higher rates.
  • Dan Greenhaus noted consumer strength and AI investment's large contribution to GDP growth.
  • Post-headline market moves may be amplified by algos.
Ideas
Tom Lee Managing Partner & Head of Research, Fundstrat 0:50
Buy the dip; Fed overreaction.
The Fed hike was priced in and even an additional 50 basis points should not topple an economy that is strong enough to handle it; earnings revisions are still rising, so the market's negative reaction is an overreaction and the dip should be bought.
Tom Lee Managing Partner & Head of Research, Fundstrat 2:42
Inflation fade lifts cyclicals, tech, discretionary.
If oil does not spike toward $200 and temporary inflation effects fade, core PCE should fall to a two-handle; the beaten-down cyclicals, technology, and consumer discretionary sectors that sold off on inflation-here-for-longer fears should then rally, especially with a surging VIX.
Tom Lee Managing Partner & Head of Research, Fundstrat 3:35
Financials selloff overdone; buy financials.
Financials fell on a reflexive reaction to curve flattening and fear the Fed is trying to engineer a soft landing, but that is not the Fed's view; the Fed believes the economy can handle a 50-basis-point hike, so the selloff in financials is overdone.
Dan Greenhaus Chief Strategist, ICAP 4:05
Higher rates hurt construction ex-data centers.
Outside the data-center buildout, the economy is not gangbusters; residential and non-residential construction are weak, and non-residential construction has been a drag on GDP for eight or nine quarters, with higher interest rates likely to make it worse.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published September 16, 2026, features Tom Lee, Dan Greenhaus discussing SPY, XLK, XLY, XLI, XLF, ITB, Non-residential construction. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Tom Lee, Dan Greenhaus  · Tickers: SPY, XLK, XLY, XLI, XLF, ITB, Non-residential construction