January 19 Pre-Market: New York Stocks Fall, Micron Jumps 7%; Reviewing Domestic 3x Leveraged ETFs to Stabilize FX

[1월19일 #장시작전] 뉴욕증시 하락,마이크론 7%급등 / 환율 잡으려 국내 3배 레버리지 ETF 검토
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 19, 2026 at 00:23  |  2:57:31  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Choi Chang-gyu — Director, NH Investment & Securities
Hwang Yoo-hyun — Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club

Summary

Choi Chang-gyu reviewed the January 16 US session and ETF flows, highlighting Micron's insider-driven surge, AI power demand, small-cap broadening, TSMC's strong capex outlook, and Korean dividend and KOSPI 200 themes. Hwang Yu-hyeon discussed Magnificent Seven divergence, regional banks and Russell 2000 strength, Micron and TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and the split between semiconductor hardware and AI software. Lee Joo-hyun covered tariff risks, Nvidia H200 China delays, memory shortages, obesity drugs, Alteogen, robots, nuclear power, autos, and aerospace. Min Jae-ki focused on rate risk, SK hynix and Micron, power infrastructure, Novo Nordisk, uranium, defense, Korean Air, low-PBR names, and the KOSPI's path toward 5,000.

  • US markets were mixed, while Micron surged on insider buying and memory strength.
  • Fed chair uncertainty and higher long-term yields were treated as key macro risks.
  • AI power demand supported grid equipment, nuclear, SMR, and neo-cloud data-center themes.
  • Korean market momentum remained strong, led by semiconductors, robots, nuclear, autos, and biotech.
  • Tariff threats over Greenland and semiconductor investment demands added external uncertainty.
  • Nvidia's H200 China customs delay was flagged as a near-term watch item.
  • Novo Nordisk's oral obesity drug data lifted obesity-related biotech sentiment.
  • Min Jae-ki saw SK hynix earnings and power infrastructure as important upcoming catalysts.
Ideas
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 4:48
Small caps benefit from growth broadening
US economic growth forecasts are being revised upward, and the benefits are broadening from mega-cap technology names to small and mid-caps, as shown by Russell 2000 outperformance versus the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 6:14
Power generators face margin compression risk
Constellation Energy and Vistra fell sharply because efforts to stabilize electricity prices or increase long-term fixed-rate contracts could compress margins for power generation companies.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 6:38
Grid equipment demand is unavoidable
Grid expansion and new power equipment investment are unavoidable as AI data-center electricity demand rises, benefiting equipment suppliers such as GE Vernova and Eaton.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 6:51
SMRs benefit from data-center power demand
Nuclear SMR companies such as Oklo and NuScale gained as investors looked for scalable power supply solutions for AI data centers.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 7:29
Micron insider buying supports memory cycle
Micron jumped on news of insider buying, and the move supports the memory, AI server, HBM, and DDR5 earnings-improvement thesis, with positive read-through for Korean memory names.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 8:08
Neo-clouds gain versus hyperscalers
Distributed and mid-sized AI data-center operators such as CoreWeave, Cipher Mining, and IREN outperformed hyperscalers because they face less power-cost and capex pressure from the PJM electricity issue.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 12:05
S&P 500 remains upward-biased
US economic growth forecasts keep rising, and ETF flows into VOO and SPY reflect a strong belief that the S&P 500 will not break down.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 12:18
Short-term Treasuries attractive at high rates
With long-term Treasury yields rising and overall rates high, investors are buying short-term US Treasuries such as SGOV and comparable Korean ultra-short bond ETFs.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 13:26
Long-duration Treasuries lose appeal
Investors sold TLT and TMF because US long-term rates have not fallen as expected, making long-duration Treasury exposure less attractive.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 15:35
Walmart gains Nasdaq-100 inclusion
Walmart has strong price momentum and is being added to the Nasdaq-100 on January 20, which should create passive buying demand.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 19:05
Passive flows favor expensive large caps
Passive and ETF flows are market-cap weighted, so rising large caps keep getting larger weights while cheap smaller names get smaller weights; the speaker advocates buying expensive large caps more aggressively and avoiding cheap individual stocks.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 22:31
Dividend separate-taxation stocks offer rotation
Korean dividend income separate-taxation candidates, including holdings and financial companies, should be watched as ETF issuers launch related dividend products and as investors consider rotation out of crowded semiconductor and AI hardware trades.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 25:15
TSMC confirms strong AI investment cycle
TSMC reported strong 4Q results, guided 2026 revenue growth above 30%, raised AI growth expectations, and plans aggressive capex near $56 billion, reinforcing that the AI cycle remains strong.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 26:50
TSMC capex benefits semiconductor supply chain
TSMC's aggressive capex and confidence in AI growth should benefit front-end semiconductor equipment, materials, and packaging companies in the AI supply chain.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 32:28
Korea Zinc benefits from silver rally
Korea Zinc is attracting attention because it produces silver as a byproduct of zinc, and silver prices are rallying sharply along with gold and copper.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 33:47
Steel ETFs gain on industrial metals
As commodity strength spreads from gold and silver into industrial metals such as copper, aluminum, zinc, and tungsten, steel and materials ETFs with high Korea Zinc exposure are a useful way to play the theme.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 34:28
KOSPI 200 is Samsung-Hynix proxy
Buying KOSPI 200 ETFs such as TIGER 200 is effectively buying Samsung Electronics and SK hynix exposure, and foreign spot buying plus futures premium suggest the Korean market's upward momentum remains strong.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 37:44
Korean humanoid robots have data edge
The Korean humanoid robot industry is attractive because manufacturing-based conglomerates such as Hyundai Motor can deploy robots in real worksites and accumulate learning data, and retail investors are buying the related ETF.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 52:21
Alphabet leads Magnificent Seven
Alphabet is the clear leader among the Magnificent Seven, with institutional investors ranking it the most preferred mega-cap and its price trend diverging positively from Microsoft and other mega-caps.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 54:10
Regional banks support Russell 2000
Regional bank earnings from PNC and M&T beat expectations, and because regional banks are closely tied to small and mid-sized US companies, the Russell 2000 should continue outperforming the S&P 500.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 60:27
TSMC validates semiconductor strength
TSMC's strong results, 30% sales growth guidance, and continued capex confirm AI investment is healthy, which supports the broader semiconductor sector.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 60:27
TSMC validates semiconductor strength
Semiconductor hardware ETFs like SOXX are strongly outperforming software ETFs like IGV because AI agents threaten traditional software business models, including Salesforce, Palantir, and Intuit.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 60:57
Micron insider buying signals upcycle
Micron rose after a large insider purchase near historic highs, which suggests confidence in a longer memory upcycle.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 61:38
Samsung Electronics consolidation supports upside
The speaker has been holding Samsung Electronics in his managed wrap and views the recent trend consolidation as a continuation setup for large-cap Korean equities.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 63:17
Hyundai AutoEver has strongest trend
Hyundai AutoEver has the strongest uptrend among large caps, and large Korean stocks can sustain powerful moves when trend and earnings align.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 67:43
Semis outperform software on AI threat
Semiconductor hardware ETFs like SOXX are strongly outperforming software ETFs like IGV because AI agents threaten traditional software business models, including Salesforce, Palantir, and Intuit.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 76:01
Tariff-avoiding Korean sectors favored
If US-Europe tariff tensions over Greenland persist, Korean market money should favor tariff-avoiding sectors such as shipbuilding, defense, nuclear power, entertainment/content, power equipment, and domestic-focused holdings and financials.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 82:29
Nvidia China H200 delays persist
Nvidia's H200 sales to China are being delayed because China's customs is not clearing shipments, prompting PCB suppliers to pause related production, which creates near-term disappointment though guidance has not yet changed.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 85:49
DRAM shortage persists through this year
Memory demand remains strong while supply cannot keep up, and Micron's acquisition of a PSMC fab for about KRW 2.6 trillion to convert it to DRAM should allow faster capacity additions, keeping the DRAM shortage in place through this year and benefiting Micron's equipment suppliers.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 89:21
Oral Wegovy launch beats expectations
Novo Nordisk's oral Wegovy launch showed better-than-expected early prescription data, with first-week prescriptions double Mounjaro's launch, supporting the obesity-treatment franchise and oral GLP-1 platform.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 90:48
Korean biotech gains on license-out hope
Korean biotech and pharma should benefit from Alteogen's expected license-out, oral obesity reformulation momentum, and the sector's relative tariff insulation.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 90:48
Korean biotech gains on license-out hope
Alteogen's vice president said a license-out could come as early as this week and the company is negotiating with about ten parties; if the deal is large, platform and biotech stocks could rally.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 93:24
Aerospace defense momentum continues
Aerospace and defense momentum continues, supported by US defense orders, geopolitical tensions, and the upcoming Artemis manned flyby, while Korean aerospace names also have government launch-vehicle and reusable-rocket catalysts.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 96:45
Buy Samsung and SK hynix dips
Lutnick's warning that memory makers must invest in the US or face 100% tariffs creates new uncertainty for Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, but the speaker expects any tariff-driven dip to be a buying opportunity because semiconductor fundamentals remain strong.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 101:10
Oral obesity theme benefits Korean stocks
Positive oral Wegovy data and the shifting obesity-treatment market toward pills should benefit Korean oral obesity treatment and reformulation companies such as Sam Chun Dang Pharm, Ildong Pharmaceutical, and Peptron.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 102:02
Korean robot theme remains strong
The Korean humanoid robot theme is broad and strong, with latecomers and companies having clear value-chain exposure to Atlas or Rainbow Robotics parts, such as SPG and Neuromeka, moving sharply higher.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 106:06
Nuclear power needed for data centers
Nuclear and power infrastructure are attractive because data centers need reliable power, renewables alone are insufficient, US nuclear stocks are strong, and Korea has both domestic and export nuclear opportunities.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 114:07
Auto parts benefit from Hyundai strength
Hyundai Motor and Kia at new highs should lift Korean auto parts suppliers, and names such as Mando, Hwashin, and Seoyeon are cheap and entering a second-stage uptrend.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 116:37
PCB substrates rebound with semis
Korean PCB and substrate names such as Daeduk Electronics and Korea Circuit are rebounding with semiconductor momentum, and Daeduk Electronics is testing a breakout after pulling back.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 118:09
Nara Space is a new-listing watch
Nara Space, a newly listed aerospace name with low float, could trade well when the market is weak, but it has overhead resistance and needs confirmation.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 120:34
Hyundai and Kia still undervalued
Hyundai Motor and Kia remain undervalued even after strong gains, and a new robot-related re-rating color could drive them toward historic new highs.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 125:50
Korean aerospace defense names benefit
Korean aerospace and defense names such as Korea Aerospace Industries, Hanwha Systems, and Hanwha Aerospace can benefit from government launch-vehicle projects, reusable rocket development, and broader defense momentum.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 136:30
US 10-year yield breakout is warning
The US 10-year Treasury yield broke above 4.2%, a level the speaker had flagged as a market warning line, as Kevin Warsh's chances for Fed chair rose and hawkish policy risk increased; dollar strength is also a risk for emerging markets.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 145:58
SK hynix earnings to lift targets
SK hynix reports 4Q earnings on January 29, and expectations for strong results should push analyst targets above KRW 1 million after the conference call.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 146:40
Micron insider buying signals upside
Micron's insider purchase at a historic high is a strong signal that management sees further upside in memory fundamentals.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 149:21
Power equipment benefits from data centers
Trump's push for big tech to build its own power plants should benefit gas turbines, HRSG/heat-recovery boilers, and power infrastructure; US names include GE Vernova and Eaton, and Korean beneficiaries include Doosan Enerbility, KEPCO E&C, and Hyundai E&C.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 152:23
Novo Nordisk catalysts drive recovery
Novo Nordisk has positive catalysts from UK high-dose approval and strong oral Wegovy sales, and the stock has recovered its 200-day moving average from a low PBR band.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 155:50
Uranium nuclear fuel names strong
US nuclear-related stocks are broadly strong, and uranium/nuclear fuel names such as Centrus Energy and Cameco, which owns a Westinghouse stake, are attractive within the nuclear value chain.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 156:33
Defense and drone demand remains firm
US defense stocks are strong, with Kratos at new highs and AeroVironment near a breakout, as drone and defense demand remains firm.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 157:18
Korean Air is a defense re-rating
Korean Air's edge is defense, specifically the CCA unmanned combat aircraft program, while passenger and cargo are merely stable; the stock is re-rating from a low base.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 158:13
LG Electronics can re-rate
LG Electronics is a low-PBR large cap that can re-rate sharply if it gains a new growth color, similar to how Hyundai Motor rerated with robotics.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 160:33
Hyosung group momentum and value
Hyosung received a long-awaited target price increase, and its affiliates such as Hyosung TNC and Hyosung Heavy Industries have strong momentum; the group also has treasury-share appeal.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 161:03
GC Biopharma benefits from flu
GC Biopharma has relatively little valuation burden among Korean pharma names and should benefit as flu patient numbers rise again.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 165:40
Rare earth magnet theme gains attention
Rare-earth and magnet-related issues between Japan and China are bringing attention back to Korea Zinc and magnet/rare-earth names such as NovaTech and Union Materials.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 166:56
Hyundai group gains robot re-rating
Hyundai Motor is rerating like POSCO Holdings did when it gained a lithium/battery color in 2022-23; now the Hyundai group has a robot and low-PBR value angle, driving a strong move.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 167:59
Robot theme momentum remains broad
The robot theme remains broad and strong, with Neuromeka and SPG tripling from prior bases and momentum rotating among many robot-related names.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 170:59
KOSPI can reach 5000 in Q1
The speaker has been expecting the KOSPI to reach 5,000 within the first quarter, and the market's resilience despite external risks supports that view.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 19, 2026, features Choi Chang-gyu, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Min Jae-gi discussing IWM, CEG, VST, GEV, ETN, OKLO, SMR, MU, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, CRWV, CIFR, IREN, VOO, SGOV, TIGER Ultra-Short Bond ETF, TLT, TMF, WMT, QQQ, SPY, 005490.KS, 003550.KS, 267250.KS, 138930.KS, 175330.KS, 002790.KS, 032830.KS, 000810.KS, 323410.KS, 005940.KS, 029780.KS, 316140.KS, 016360.KS, 071050.KS, TSM, SMH, 010130.KS, 117680.KS, 139240.KS, 102110.KS, KOSPI 200, TIGER Humanoid Robot Industry ETF, GOOGL, SOXX, 307950.KS, IGV, Korean shipbuilding sector, Korean defense sector, Korean nuclear power sector, Korean entertainment/content sector, Korean Power Equipment Sector, Korean holdings/financials, NVDA, Semiconductor equipment suppliers, NVO, Korean Biotech/Pharma Sector, 196170.KQ, ITA, 000250.KQ, 249420.KS, 087010.KQ, 277810.KQ, 058610.KQ, 348340.KQ, 034020.KS, 015760.KS, 000720.KS, 204320.KS, 010690.KS, Seoyeon, 353200.KS, 007810.KS, Nara Space, 005380.KS, 000270.KS, 047810.KS, 272210.KS, 012450.KS, ^TNX, DXY, 052690.KS, LEU, CCJ, KTOS, AVAV, 003490.KS, 066570.KS, 004800.KS, 298050.KS, 298040.KS, 006280.KS, NovaTech, 047400.KQ, ^KS11. 57 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Choi Chang-gyu, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: IWM, CEG, VST, GEV, ETN, OKLO, SMR, MU, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, CRWV, CIFR, IREN, VOO, SGOV, TIGER Ultra-Short Bond ETF, TLT, TMF, WMT, QQQ, SPY, 005490.KS, 003550.KS, 267250.KS, 138930.KS, 175330.KS, 002790.KS, 032830.KS, 000810.KS, 323410.KS, 005940.KS, 029780.KS, 316140.KS, 016360.KS, 071050.KS, TSM, SMH, 010130.KS, 117680.KS, 139240.KS, 102110.KS, KOSPI 200, TIGER Humanoid Robot Industry ETF, GOOGL, SOXX, 307950.KS, IGV, Korean shipbuilding sector, Korean defense sector, Korean nuclear power sector, Korean entertainment/content sector, Korean Power Equipment Sector, Korean holdings/financials, NVDA, Semiconductor equipment suppliers, NVO, Korean Biotech/Pharma Sector, 196170.KQ, ITA, 000250.KQ, 249420.KS, 087010.KQ, 277810.KQ, 058610.KQ, 348340.KQ, 034020.KS, 015760.KS, 000720.KS, 204320.KS, 010690.KS, Seoyeon, 353200.KS, 007810.KS, Nara Space, 005380.KS, 000270.KS, 047810.KS, 272210.KS, 012450.KS, ^TNX, DXY, 052690.KS, LEU, CCJ, KTOS, AVAV, 003490.KS, 066570.KS, 004800.KS, 298050.KS, 298040.KS, 006280.KS, NovaTech, 047400.KQ, ^KS11