Can Alphabet and Micron in the US, and Samsung Electronics and SK hynix in Korea, rise further this year? | Lee Jae-man, Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center

미국의 알파벳·마이크론, 한국의 삼성전자·SK하이닉스...올해도 주가 더 오를 수 있나? | 하나증권 리서치센터 글로벌투자분석실장 이재만 [글로벌 인터뷰]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 18, 2026 at 22:38  |  40:03  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Lee Jaeman — Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center

Summary

The opening segment flagged a bear-steepening rate backdrop, and the main interview with Lee Jae-man, Head of Global Investment Analysis at Hana Securities Research Center, argued that rate cuts are largely over and long-term yields are rising. Lee said US growth is investment-led through reshoring, AI, and power capex, favoring B2B and order-driven companies over consumer-facing names. He presented four-factor investment screens highlighting US stocks such as Alphabet, Micron, IBM, Lam Research, and Applied Materials, and Korean names such as Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries. He also highlighted memory and commodity pricing power, KOSPI upside in the first half, and a possible semiconductor tariff/reshoring event.

  • The show opened with a bear-steepening discussion: policy rates on hold while long-term yields rise and bond prices fall.
  • Lee Jae-man said US growth is driven by investment, reshoring, AI, and power capex rather than consumption.
  • He favors B2B and order-driven industries over consumer-facing companies in this investment-led regime.
  • His four screening factors are low inventory/sales, high FCF/sales, strong investment-to-sales conversion, and high ROIC.
  • The US screen includes Alphabet, Micron, IBM, Lam Research, Applied Materials, and Newmont.
  • The Korean screen includes Samsung Electronics, SK hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, Doosan Enerbility, and others.
  • Memory/DRAM and commodity/materials pricing power may keep leading into the first half.
  • KOSPI could make its yearly high in the first half, with semiconductor tariff news as a near-term event risk.
Ideas
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 4:26
Long-term yields rise, bond prices fall
The Fed and Bank of Korea are holding policy rates while long-term yields rise because US growth is strong, investment-led expansion continues, and rate-cut odds have fallen. This is a bear-steepening regime in which long-term government bond prices decline; he cites US 10-year yields around 4.2% and Korean 10-year yields near 3.5%.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 19:22
Materials pricing power supports commodities
Commodity prices, including gold, silver, and copper, have risen sharply and are creating inflation pressure. In an investment-led economy, raw-material and materials producers with pricing power can pass those commodity prices into earnings, and US leadership is already concentrated in materials and gold-related names; he expects this group to keep leading at least into the first half.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 22:42
Buy capex-ready US B2B companies
With rate cuts ending and long yields rising, the market should reward companies that can and need to invest. His four-factor screen looks for low inventory-to-sales, high free-cash-flow-to-sales, a strong investment-to-sales link, and high ROIC. Among large US names meeting the criteria, he highlights Alphabet, Micron Technology, IBM, Lam Research, Applied Materials, and Newmont; most are B2B/capex-linked rather than consumer-facing.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 33:16
Korean capex-ready B2B firms favored
Applying the same investment-capacity and investment-return screen to Korea, Samsung Electronics and SK hynix score highest, and other names meeting the criteria include Hanwha Aerospace, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, Doosan Enerbility, HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering, POSCO Holdings, Hyundai Rotem, Hyundai AutoEver, Kumho Petrochemical, Mando, HPSP, and Hansol Chemical. The common thread is B2B/capex exposure, which should benefit from an investment-led economy and the rate-hold/rising-long-yield backdrop.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 35:31
KOSPI upside likely in first half
The index is more likely to make its yearly high in the first half than the second half because liquidity is supportive, the economy is not bad, and rising long-term yields can pull in investment. If KOSPI breaks 5,000, the move could be fast.
Lee Jaeman Head of Global Investment Analysis, Hana Securities Research Center 36:22
Tariff resolution could lift semiconductors
The TSMC-related semiconductor tariff and reshoring news may cause short-term volatility, but if the market interprets US investment as a way to avoid tariffs, semiconductors could strengthen after the initial shakeout. He sees the sector stabilizing and rebounding as long as liquidity and the market's semiconductor view do not materially change.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published January 18, 2026, features Lee Jaeman discussing US 10-year Treasury bonds, Korean 10-year Treasury bonds, GLD, SILVER, COPPER, XLB, GOOGL, MU, IBM, LRCX, AMAT, NEM, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 012450.KS, 329180.KS, 034020.KS, 009540.KS, 005490.KS, 064350.KS, 307950.KS, 011780.KS, 204320.KS, 403870.KQ, 014680.KS, EWY, SMH. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Jaeman  · Tickers: US 10-year Treasury bonds, Korean 10-year Treasury bonds, GLD, SILVER, COPPER, XLB, GOOGL, MU, IBM, LRCX, AMAT, NEM, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 012450.KS, 329180.KS, 034020.KS, 009540.KS, 005490.KS, 064350.KS, 307950.KS, 011780.KS, 204320.KS, 403870.KQ, 014680.KS, EWY, SMH