Deal Slowdown Weighs on JPMorgan | Open Interest 1/13/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 13, 2026 at 18:20  |  1:27:16  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Anastasia Amoroso — iCapital
Dani Burger — Anchor, Bloomberg Television
Ed Ludlow — Co-Host, Bloomberg Technology
Herman Chan — Head of Asia, CoinDesk
Jason Goldberg — Senior Analyst, Barclays
Stephanie Guild — Chief Investment Officer, Robinhood
Andy Bell — CEO, Ace Handyman Services
Sid Phillip — Aviation Analyst
Katherine — Bloomberg Finance Reporter
Caroline Hyde — Co-Anchor, Bloomberg Tech
Norah Mulinda — Market Reporter, Bloomberg
Matt Miller — Anchor, Bloomberg

Summary

Bloomberg Open Interest covers December CPI, the start of bank earnings with JPMorgan, Delta's cautious 2026 outlook, and a mixed market reaction as investors parse policy risk. Guests discuss AI-driven productivity and earnings, precious-metals strength, retail trading flows, and housing affordability policy. The program also highlights Meta's smart-glasses demand and mortgage-backed securities as policy tailwinds.

  • December CPI came in close to estimates with core at 2.7% year over year; markets saw slightly higher odds of a Fed cut.
  • JPMorgan beat on trading and net interest income but missed investment-banking advisory; its CFO warned a 10% credit-card rate cap would hurt business and consumers.
  • Delta beat Q4 estimates but its 2026 outlook disappointed, with premium demand strong and lower-end travel under pressure.
  • Meta plans to double production of AI Ray-Ban smart glasses and cut Reality Labs jobs as it shifts toward AI wearables.
  • Guests were constructive on US equities, earnings, gold and silver, Lululemon, and tech IPO pipelines for JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley.
  • Investors were wary of Visa and Mastercard amid credit-card rate-cap policy risk, while competition was seen pressuring Charter.
  • Housing affordability proposals included Fannie and Freddie MBS purchases and prepayment penalties, supporting MBS sentiment.
  • Andy Bell said home-improvement demand remains resilient due to stay-put housing and aging in place, with labor the main constraint.
Ideas
Sid Phillip Aviation Analyst 10:56
Weak lower-end consumer hurts Southwest, JetBlue
The K-shaped economy is hurting lower-end travel: high prices and cost-of-living pressures are causing consumers to cancel or delay trips, and that has affected discount carriers like Southwest and JetBlue, while Delta's higher-income customer base is more resilient.
Dani Burger Anchor, Bloomberg Television 12:11
Rate-cut odds favor small caps
Softer CPI raises the chance of a Fed rate cut, which would be good for small caps; the Russell 2000 is more sensitive to financing costs and was already outperforming large-cap futures.
Earnings and AI productivity support US equities
Anastasia expects the earnings season and 2026 to deliver better-than-consensus results: consensus is 8% growth but companies typically beat, potentially reaching about 12%, with margins expanding to 13.9% despite tariffs and layoffs because AI-driven productivity is adding to financial results. She also argues geopolitical and policy risks are not a reason to stay out of equities.
Lower real rates support precious metals
Precious metals are the best hedge for persistent geopolitical and policy flashpoints rather than equities, and gold has been the go-to. With the US labor market weakening and CPI moving closer to 2%, the Fed has scope to cut rates, lowering real interest rates and supporting metals outperformance.
Dani Burger Anchor, Bloomberg Television 32:43
Server CPU demand, production gains lift Intel
KeyBanc upgraded Intel, citing strong server CPU demand that has both Intel and AMD sold out through 2026, with big cloud customers driving the surge and Intel showing clear improvement in chip production.
Dani Burger Anchor, Bloomberg Television 32:43
AI demand gives AMD pricing power
KeyBanc upgraded AMD, citing strong server chip demand and its benefit from fast-growing AI demand, which could give AMD room to raise prices.
Dani Burger Anchor, Bloomberg Television 33:04
Cord-cutting/competition pressure Charter
Wells Fargo downgraded Charter to Sell and cut its price target, saying fiber and fixed wireless are steadily taking share from cable, pressuring growth and cash flow; demand trends are cooling after a strong post-pandemic run and regulatory uncertainty weighs on visibility and confidence.
Herman Chan Head of Asia, CoinDesk 37:02
Tech IPO pipeline favors JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley
The 2026 IPO and M&A pipeline should be robust, especially in technology; JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley have strong tech franchises and are expected to be lead book runners and do well.
Ed Ludlow Co-Host, Bloomberg Technology 40:37
Smart glasses demand supports Meta
Meta's AI-powered Ray-Ban smart glasses have seen surprisingly strong demand; Meta wants to double annual capacity from 10 million to 20 million, potentially 30 million units in 2026. The glasses are becoming a key consumer form factor for Meta AI, with the next step adding an AR display, supporting Meta's AI hardware shift.
Stephanie Guild Chief Investment Officer, Robinhood 51:53
Credit card cap hurts Visa, Mastercard
Investors may try to buy the dip in Visa and Mastercard on the proposed 10% credit card rate cap, but she thinks the cap will impact card activity and reduce credit availability, so it is not a great idea to buy them.
Stephanie Guild Chief Investment Officer, Robinhood 53:31
Lululemon recovery story with new CEO
They started investing in Lululemon because it had negative returns in 2025 and has been recovering; the company lost its way but is coming back with a new CEO, a micro recovery story less dependent on broad consumer or rate moves.
Jason Goldberg Senior Analyst, Barclays 62:45
Strong fundamentals keep JPMorgan outperforming
JPMorgan's Q4 showed solid loan and deposit growth, margin expansion, controlled costs, and benign credit quality, pointing to continued economic expansion into 2026. Investments in technology and AI should improve efficiency, and with strong ROE the shares should continue to outperform.
Andy Bell CEO, Ace Handyman Services 67:44
Stay-put housing fuels home improvement demand
Home services and home improvement demand is resilient and strong: high rates and housing costs create a stay-put economy, first-time buyers are purchasing fixer-uppers, the aging population wants to age in place, and repair and maintenance is becoming a regular budget line item. Labor is the biggest constraint, but demand should persist.
Dani Burger Anchor, Bloomberg Television 79:16
MBS get policy tailwinds, prepayment protection
Ackman's prepayment-penalty proposal would benefit MBS buyers by reducing prepayment risk, and the administration directing Fannie and Freddie to buy $200 billion of mortgage-backed securities provides policy tailwinds and stealth QE for the sector.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 13, 2026, features Sid Phillip, Dani Burger, Anastasia Amoroso, Herman Chan, Ed Ludlow, Stephanie Guild, Jason Goldberg, Andy Bell discussing LUV, JBLU, IWM, SPY, GLD, SILVER, INTC, AMD, CHTR, JPM, MS, META, V, MA, LULU, XHB, mortgage-backed securities. 14 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Sid Phillip, Dani Burger, Anastasia Amoroso, Herman Chan, Ed Ludlow, Stephanie Guild, Jason Goldberg, Andy Bell  · Tickers: LUV, JBLU, IWM, SPY, GLD, SILVER, INTC, AMD, CHTR, JPM, MS, META, V, MA, LULU, XHB, mortgage-backed securities