An AI data center needs 5,000 tons of copper, copper prices have started to skyrocket / The commodity ETF you should buy now is 'this'. l Author Lee Seok-jin

An AI data center needs 5000 tons of copper, copper prices have started to skyrocket. / The commodity ETF you should buy now is 'this'. l Author Lee Seok-jin
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 25, 2026 at 05:00  |  25:18  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Lee Seok-jin — Adjunct Professor, Korea Financial Training Institute, Author

Summary

Author Lee Seok-jin discusses commodity investing in an era of geopolitical resource wars, explaining how money flows into energy and industrial metals, the critical role of contango/backwardation for returns, and specific plays in oil and copper. He outlines short-term oil spike strategies using Korean oil distributors and upstream producers, argues long-term US energy stocks offer better value than direct oil, highlights copper's AI-driven demand, and recommends broad diversified resource ETFs over narrow lithium/rare earth plays.

  • Geopolitical conflicts and US-China resource wars are driving funds into commodity markets, particularly energy and industrial metals.
  • Contango and backwardation significantly impact returns from commodity futures, making them essential to understand for investors.
  • During oil supply shocks, upstream oil producers and direct oil investment outperform; in Korea, oil distribution stocks like Heunggu Seokyu spike sharply.
  • Long-term, US S&P energy sector stocks provide more rational value with stable earnings and dividends than direct oil price bets.
  • Copper is benefiting from AI data center construction demand, sulfuric acid-related supply issues, and strategic stockpiling, making copper companies attractive.
  • Lithium and rare earth thematic ETFs are considered too speculative; instead, broad diversified resource equity ETFs with large miners and refiners are preferred.
  • Overall, resource equities are viewed as value plays supported by resource nationalism and supply-side constraints.
Ideas
Lee Seok-jin Adjunct Professor, Korea Financial Training Institute, Author 8:21
Oil producers win in supply shock.
When oil spikes due to geopolitical supply shocks, upstream oil producers and direct oil investment become more favorable than downstream refiners, as they directly benefit from rising crude prices.
USO XOP MED
Lee Seok-jin Adjunct Professor, Korea Financial Training Institute, Author 8:48
Korean oil distributors spike on war oil.
In the Korean stock market, when oil prices surge due to wartime geopolitical risks, oil distribution companies such as Heunggu Seokyu and Jungang Seokyu exhibit far higher correlation with oil prices than refining companies, making them attractive short-term theme trades, though they must be exited quickly as the moves tend to revert.
024060.KQ Jungang Seokyu MED
Lee Seok-jin Adjunct Professor, Korea Financial Training Institute, Author 9:22
US energy stocks beat oil long-term.
Long-term direct oil price investment delivers limited returns as crude fluctuates in a range; instead, US S&P energy sector companies provide stable earnings, dividends, and have steadily risen over five years, making them a more rational long-term value play.
XLE MED
Lee Seok-jin Adjunct Professor, Korea Financial Training Institute, Author 13:46
Copper stocks benefit from AI demand.
Copper demand is propelled by AI data center construction (each hyper-scaler needs ~5,000 tons), supply constraints including US-China trade war, sulfuric acid shortages, and increased strategic stockpiling; although data centers still only account for 2-3% of total demand, the growth trajectory and supply-side fears create a bullish narrative for copper-related companies, which can pass on costs and expand profits under Trump's resource-conflict environment.
COPX HIGH
Lee Seok-jin Adjunct Professor, Korea Financial Training Institute, Author 23:00
Broad resource ETFs beat thematic ones.
Lithium and rare earth thematic ETFs are dominated by small pure-play firms and have a strong theme-driven character unsuited for long-term holding; instead, investors should choose broad-based resource equity ETFs that hold diversified large mining, refining, and energy companies, which offer a more rational, value-oriented long-term approach.
Lithium and rare earth thematic ETFs MED
Lee Seok-jin Adjunct Professor, Korea Financial Training Institute, Author 23:00
Broad resource ETFs beat thematic ones.
Lithium and rare earth thematic ETFs are dominated by small pure-play firms and have a strong theme-driven character unsuited for long-term holding; instead, investors should choose broad-based resource equity ETFs that hold diversified large mining, refining, and energy companies, which offer a more rational, value-oriented long-term approach.
Broad diversified resource equity ETF MED
Up Next
10:02
Why Jesse Pollak Isn't Upset About Brian Armstrong's Memecoin Miss or Robinhood Chain's Gains
Unchained (Chopping Block) · Jul 25
12:49
Does an Escaped AI Model Prove No Sandbox Is Safe? - Uneasy Money
Unchained (Chopping Block) · Jul 25
25:00
Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix... Super-large boon explodes at AI Summit / The real peak for semiconductors comes 'at this time'. | Director Lee Ju-yeon
815 Money Talk (815머니톡) · Jul 25
41:17
Chairman Choi Tae-won's Reason for Lowering 'Memory Margin Rate' | Vincent Hana Securities Analyst [Weekend Interview]
3PRO TV (삼프로TV) · Jul 25
22:22
Jensen Loves Open Source, Bubble Boi Shares Alpha, and I Have Fun Onchain
Thread Guy · Jul 25

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published July 25, 2026, features Lee Seok-jin discussing USO, XOP, 024060.KQ, Jungang Seokyu, XLE, COPX, Lithium and rare earth thematic ETFs, Broad diversified resource equity ETF. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Seok-jin  · Tickers: USO, XOP, 024060.KQ, Jungang Seokyu, XLE, COPX, Lithium and rare earth thematic ETFs, Broad diversified resource equity ETF