US to Control Venezuelan Oil, Samsung Profit Triples | The Asia Trade 1/8/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 08, 2026 at 05:57  |  1:34:45  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Daniel Kim — Head of Korea Research, Macquarie Capital
Masahiro Wakasugi — Senior Industry Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Jochen Hanebeck — CEO, Infineon
Shashank Samant — Senior Vice President, Hitachi
Robert Playter — CEO, Boston Dynamics
Alex Yang — Co-founder, CEO & CFO, Tuya Smart
Vandana Hari — Founder of Vanda Insights
Paul Dobson — Executive Editor, Bloomberg
Avril Hong — Reporter, Bloomberg Markets
Stephen Engle — Chief North Asian Correspondent, Bloomberg
Paul Allen — Reporter, Bloomberg
Joe Mathieu — Host, Bloomberg Radio
Michael Shabun — CEO, AntiGravity

Summary

The program covered Asia's market open, Samsung's record Q4 profit and the AI memory boom, China-Japan trade tensions over chipmaking materials, and CES 2026 themes including physical AI, robotics, power semiconductors, and IoT. Guests were broadly constructive on memory chips, AI infrastructure, and North Asian tech, while oil was seen softening longer term with geopolitical risk premium possible. Other topics included U.S. defense budget and home-builder policy headlines, Venezuelan oil exports, and Chinese AI IPOs.

  • Samsung Q4 profit tripled on AI memory demand; analysts see a structural memory upcycle.
  • China escalated trade pressure on Japan with an anti-dumping probe into dichlorosilane.
  • CES interviews highlighted humanoid robots, AI power bottlenecks, data-center cooling, and IoT AI.
  • Macquarie remains bullish on Samsung and memory; Bloomberg Intelligence sees equipment demand from capacity expansion.
  • Oil outlook base case is softer prices, but Iran and Middle East tensions could add risk premium.
  • Asian equities and North Asian tech were favored on favorable macro and rate-cut expectations.
  • U.S. policy headlines included a defense budget increase, contractor restrictions, and a ban on institutional home buying.
  • Chinese AI IPOs and drone and robotics startup activity drew attention in Hong Kong and at CES.
Ideas
Stephen Engle Chief North Asian Correspondent, Bloomberg 7:30
China probe pressures Japan chip materials.
China's anti-dumping probe into dichlorosilane, a key chipmaking material where Japan is the global leader, is an escalation in the China-Japan trade dispute and is pressuring Japanese producers such as Shin-Etsu Chemical and Mitsubishi Chemical.
Masahiro Wakasugi Senior Industry Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 13:34
AI memory demand is structural.
Samsung's strong Q4 is likely to be matched by SK Hynix and other memory makers because AI-driven memory demand is a structural increase, especially as workloads shift from training to inference. The memory upcycle should benefit the whole memory sector, including SK Hynix.
Masahiro Wakasugi Senior Industry Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 13:53
Memory capacity plans lift chip equipment.
Memory makers will have to increase capacity to catch up with strong AI-driven demand, which should drive strong demand for chipmaking equipment going forward.
Robert Playter CEO, Boston Dynamics 16:10
Humanoids are entering mass production.
Boston Dynamics is moving from research to mass production of Atlas, with real commercial deployments already generating revenue. It plans to build 200 to 300 robots initially, scale with Hyundai to 10,000 to 30,000 units per year by 2028, and reach tens of thousands annually by 2030, driven by labor shortages, demographics, and AI simulation and reinforcement learning breakthroughs.
Robert Playter CEO, Boston Dynamics 16:35
Hyundai scales Atlas production.
Hyundai is both a producer and consumer of Boston Dynamics' Atlas: it can help mass-produce the robot and use it in its own software-defined factories to improve flexibility and productivity. Hyundai will build a dedicated mass-manufacturing plant with capacity of 10,000 to 30,000 units per year by 2028, making it a key beneficiary of the robotics scale-up.
Robert Playter CEO, Boston Dynamics 21:36
Tesla well placed in humanoids.
Tesla is a serious competitor in humanoids with impressive work; like Boston Dynamics, it benefits from having an internal consumer for its robots in automotive factories, which is a natural fit and gives it a strong position.
Daniel Kim Head of Korea Research, Macquarie Capital 25:41
Samsung is cheapest AI memory play.
Samsung's preliminary Q4 profit was the highest for any 3M company, and the best is yet to come: a structural memory shortage should keep memory prices strong through 2026, drive more than 100 trillion won of net profit this year, and extend the memory upcycle for two to three years. Samsung trades around 10 times P/E, making it one of the cheapest AI tech supply-chain investments; price target 240,000.
Shashank Samant Senior Vice President, Hitachi 36:08
Hitachi gains from physical AI.
Hitachi is positioning itself as a core AI infrastructure provider through EdgeMax and physical AI, with essential exposure to three of five AI stack layers: energy, chip manufacturing equipment, and storage. It is also a consumer of AI, sees data-center cooling moving to liquid and immersion, and expects China, the Americas, and Europe to drive growth while Japan remains the base; management is confident about reaching 50% of sales from digital and IoT.
Shashank Samant Senior Vice President, Hitachi 37:23
Cooling shifts to liquid immersion.
Hitachi expects the cooling device business to evolve from water cooling toward liquid cooling and immersion cooling, a long-term innovation area as data-center power densities rise.
Jochen Hanebeck CEO, Infineon 42:02
AI racks need more power semis.
Power delivery is becoming a bottleneck for AI compute, and the power semiconductor bill of materials per rack should rise from $15,000 in the current generation to $100,000 by 2030, creating a strong structural growth driver for power semiconductors.
Jochen Hanebeck CEO, Infineon 42:11
Infineon AI revenue to double.
Infineon tripled AI revenue last year and targets doubling it again this year; the business is capacity-limited, not demand-limited. AI is now 10% of group revenue and should grow further as power semiconductor content rises, while weak automotive and EV demand frees capacity for AI.
Paul Dobson Executive Editor, Bloomberg 51:41
Favorable macro supports Asia tech.
The global macro backdrop is favorable for Asia: rates are coming down, bond demand is healthy, funding conditions are good, and the global economy has held up better than expected despite tariffs and geopolitics. He is positive on Asia, particularly North Asia, and thinks technology can continue to lead, while geopolitics may intensify tech competition and boost technology companies.
Avril Hong Reporter, Bloomberg Markets 70:50
Asian defense names benefit from budget.
President Trump's request for a 50% increase in the U.S. defense budget to $1.5 trillion is driving Asian defense names higher and helping them buck the weaker regional trend.
Paul Allen Reporter, Bloomberg 72:26
Copper and nickel demand intact.
The recent pullback in copper and nickel looks like profit-taking after large run-ups, and the longer-term demand picture for both remains intact. For nickel, Indonesia, the world's largest producer, has flagged plans to trim production to better balance supply and demand.
Vandana Hari Founder of Vanda Insights 74:21
Oil prices keep softening.
Global oil demand growth is decelerating and oil prices are likely to continue softening. Venezuela's huge reserves will take years or decades to develop, political stability is uncertain, and oil majors will be cautious about billions of dollars of investment.
Alex Yang Co-founder, CEO & CFO, Tuya Smart 85:50
Tuya sees double-digit growth.
Tuya Smart expects double-digit growth in 2026 as more hardware categories adopt AI, expanding its addressable market. It sees its share price as undervalued and is repurchasing up to 10% of shares while still investing enough in R&D and new innovations.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 08, 2026, features Stephen Engle, Masahiro Wakasugi, Robert Playter, Daniel Kim, Shashank Samant, Jochen Hanebeck, Paul Dobson, Avril Hong, Paul Allen, Vandana Hari, Alex Yang discussing SHECY, 4188.T, DRAM, 000660.KS, SOXX, Humanoid robotics, 005380.KS, TSLA, 005930.KS, 6501.T, Data center liquid cooling, Power semiconductors, IFX.DE, AAXJ, North Asia technology, ITA, COPPER, NICKEL, WTI, TUYA. 16 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Stephen Engle, Masahiro Wakasugi, Robert Playter, Daniel Kim, Shashank Samant, Jochen Hanebeck, Paul Dobson, Avril Hong, Paul Allen, Vandana Hari, Alex Yang  · Tickers: SHECY, 4188.T, DRAM, 000660.KS, SOXX, Humanoid robotics, 005380.KS, TSLA, 005930.KS, 6501.T, Data center liquid cooling, Power semiconductors, IFX.DE, AAXJ, North Asia technology, ITA, COPPER, NICKEL, WTI, TUYA