The Polihali Dam project in Lesotho is critical for securing water supply for Johannesburg, South Africa, which currently sources ~60% of its water from Lesotho.
The new dam is nearly 20% larger than the existing Katse Dam and is being built higher in the mountains to capture more runoff, with water delivery projected for 2028.
Water sales generate about $300 million in annual royalties for Lesotho, a strategic revenue stream for a country with a ~$2 billion economy dependent on textiles and diamonds.
South Africa faces urgent domestic risk due to aging, overstrained water infrastructure in Johannesburg (Gauteng province), increasing the political pressure for the Polihali project.
The project is reportedly halfway complete but faces acknowledged delays due to a "myriad of issues," including potential contractor performance problems.
The Lesotho Natural Resources Minister cautions that more infrastructure alone is not a solution unless South Africa improves upstream catchment management to ensure sustainable water supply.
For Lesotho, the project is a bid for economic sovereignty and energy independence, aiming to expand hydropower and add floating solar to become a net exporter of renewable energy.
The project is financially backed by China and represents a significant geopolitical and economic development for the region.