Ideas
No broad alt season this cycle.
There will be no broad alt season this cycle because there are too many coins and not enough capital to lift everything; the market has become more efficient and rewards research, so gains will be sector-based rather than a broad alt beta rally.
Bitcoin technical selloff is buying opportunity.
The recent selloff is a technical, not fundamental, selloff; crypto fundamentals remain strong, and Bitcoin has held the middle of its range despite a sharp Nasdaq and Nvidia drop. Technical selloffs are good entry points, so he is bullish even though it is not a screaming buy after the rebound.
Buy equities on DeepSeek overreaction.
DeepSeek does not justify a market selloff because cheaper AI compute expands AI demand and use cases rather than reducing the need for AI; the selloff is an overreaction and a great buying opportunity, so he used cash to buy equities.
Nvidia short-term bearish on data-center risk.
If DeepSeek is real, near-term data center spend could slow, which is short-term bearish for Nvidia; he is skeptical of DeepSeek's claims but sees this as a near-term risk to NVDA.
Cheaper AI bullish for S&P 500.
Cheaper AI from DeepSeek is bullish for the rest of the S&P 500: if AI becomes cheaper, more applications and demand will emerge, and lower cost expands volume, making it massively bullish for equities outside the AI infrastructure spend trade.
AI altcoin season coming later this year.
Fully expects an AI altcoin season later this year; the catalyst will be AI agents crossing into mainstream usage, with token-related activities, games, and gambling inside agents or terminals driving demand, and tokenomics translating into an AI-focused crypto mania.
Short SUI after 50-day break.
SUI broke its 50-day moving average and bounced, which he previously said would be the setup to short; SUI looks vulnerable and the bounce is a good short opportunity.
Long XRP, short ETH still works.
The relative trade long XRP and short ETH remains good because XRP has been a standout while ETH has been weak; he is a bit more nervous about the ETH short now but still favors the pair.
Long XRP, short ETH still works.
The relative trade long XRP and short ETH remains good because XRP has been a standout while ETH has been weak; he is a bit more nervous about the ETH short now but still favors the pair.
Short ETH; sell every pop.
ETH lacks real leadership, the Ethereum Foundation is a joke, Vitalik has checked out, and it will lose its ETF exclusivity as XRP, Solana, and possibly Litecoin ETFs launch; mainnet is awkward and outdated. The trend is down, so sell every pop and short ETH on up days.
Buy Bitcoin on sovereign reserve adoption.
The mere discussion of a US strategic Bitcoin reserve and Trump's stated refusal to sell US BTC holdings will prompt early-adopter countries and US states to front-run with their own reserves; Russia, Canada, Brazil, Chile, and states like Texas are already considering it, creating sovereign/state demand. Core crypto portfolios should therefore be mostly Bitcoin because alts are diluted.
Avoid alts; core should be Bitcoin.
Alts are structurally diluted and no altcoin has consistently outperformed Bitcoin over long periods; the only reason to own alts is if you have a smaller portfolio and are gunning for the moon. Otherwise, core crypto exposure should be mostly Bitcoin.
Long AI crypto leaders and agents.
Higher Bitcoin should bleed into certain sector leaders, especially AI crypto leaders and certain AI agents; there is a lot of innovation in the sector that people are sleeping on, though it is scary to buy now and he is already maxed out on AI.
Old-school meme coins are toast.
Old-school meme coins are toast; the random meme coins that people got excited about last summer, such as Whiff, Popcat, and Mei, will go to zero because their communities are depressed and lack staying power. Doge and Trump might perform, but most random memes are not durable.
Select meme coins with strong communities.
There will still be meme coins that do well, but it depends on the community: how involved and outrageous the community is. He looks for communities with good vibes despite the meme coin depression and may allocate to them; Trump is a possible candidate.
Bear Chain launch hurts L1s, favors Solana.
Bear Chain's launch could be a liquidity suck that pulls TVL from other L1s, making the SUI short especially good because SUI is the only new sexy L1; in general, sell anything that isn't Solana because Solana has potential ETF tailwinds and should benefit from the rotation.
Bear Chain launch hurts L1s, favors Solana.
Bear Chain's launch could be a liquidity suck that pulls TVL from other L1s, making the SUI short especially good because SUI is the only new sexy L1; in general, sell anything that isn't Solana because Solana has potential ETF tailwinds and should benefit from the rotation.
Buy Bear Chain only below $3B.
Bear Chain is not an interesting trade to him unless the valuation is attractive; if it launches below a $3B FDV he would probably buy, but above $3B he would not touch it.
Long revenue protocols, short L1s.
In the new regulatory environment, crypto projects that generate real revenue will figure out how to pass it back to token holders via buybacks, yield, or dividends because they no longer fear the SEC shutting them down for being securities. He is bullish on this and plans to build a basket of the highest revenue-generating projects like Jito, Jupiter, Uniswap, and Maker while shorting L1s such as Optimism, Arbitrum, Avalanche, and Polkadot.
Long revenue protocols, short L1s.
In the new regulatory environment, crypto projects that generate real revenue will figure out how to pass it back to token holders via buybacks, yield, or dividends because they no longer fear the SEC shutting them down for being securities. He is bullish on this and plans to build a basket of the highest revenue-generating projects like Jito, Jupiter, Uniswap, and Maker while shorting L1s such as Optimism, Arbitrum, Avalanche, and Polkadot.
Short Trump coin to zero.
Trump coin will inevitably go to zero as meme coin communities tire out; he thinks it is a phenomenal short over a multi-year horizon unless Trump becomes God emperor, which he assigns an 18% probability.
This 1000x Podcast video, published January 28, 2025,
features Jonah Van Bourg, Avi Felman
discussing ALTCOINS, BTC, Equities, NVDA, SPY, AI-SECTOR, SUI, XRP, ETH, AI agent tokens, WIF, POPCAT, MEI, Select meme coins, SOL, BERA, JTO, JUP, UNI, SKY, OP, ARB, AVAX, DOT, TRUMP.
21 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Jonah Van Bourg,
Avi Felman
· Tickers:
ALTCOINS,
BTC,
Equities,
NVDA,
SPY,
AI-SECTOR,
SUI,
XRP,
ETH,
AI agent tokens,
WIF,
POPCAT,
MEI,
Select meme coins,
SOL,
BERA,
JTO,
JUP,
UNI,
SKY,
OP,
ARB,
AVAX,
DOT,
TRUMP
