LIVE: Nvidia ATH! Stocks are SOARING.. USA vs Iran Stalemate
Speakers
Thread Guy
— Crypto influencer, independent
Summary
The stream covers Nvidia's ATH breakout, the Poet-Marvell deal collapse, OpenAI's revised exclusivity with Microsoft (benefiting Amazon), oil supply concerns, and a deep dive into semiconductor manufacturing (ASML). The speaker expresses bullish views on Nvidia, Amazon, Take-Two, Bloom Energy, oil, and ASML, while being bearish on crypto (especially Solana and ETH) and warning against Poet.
- Nvidia breaks out to all-time highs after 200-day consolidation.
- Poet Technologies loses Marvell deal, stock drops 50%+; CEO owns negligible shares.
- Amazon emerges as the biggest winner from OpenAI's multi-cloud deal.
- Take-Two recommended as a catalyst trade ahead of GTA 6.
- Oil price upside thesis based on Strait of Hormuz disruption and inventory draws.
- ASML highlighted as a monopoly in EUV lithography machines.
- Crypto market is unattractive; Solana and ETH seen as most vulnerable to further downside.
- Bloom Energy touted as a 'monster' stock with strong growth.
Ideas
Bloom Energy is a monster stock.
Bloom Energy is a 'monster' stock, endorsed by Chris Camilo as his second favorite. The company has strong growth prospects in the energy sector, particularly as a supplier for chip fabs and power-hungry data centers.
Take Two catalyst from GTA 6.
Take-Two Interactive (Rockstar Games) offers a clean catalyst trade ahead of GTA 6 release. The chart looks good and the company has a strong upcoming product cycle that the market is not fully pricing in.
Oil higher due to supply disruption.
Oil prices are set to go higher due to a structural supply shortage. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed, tanker traffic has collapsed, and global onshore inventory draws have begun. The market is not pricing in the severity of the disruption.
Avoid Poet due to governance issues.
Poet Technologies is a stock to avoid after a catastrophic deal cancellation with Marvel, a CEO who owns only $55K of stock, and allegations of paying influencers to promote the stock. The company has no revenue and a single customer concentration risk that has blown up.
Amazon biggest winner from OpenAI deal.
Amazon is the biggest winner from the revised OpenAI deal, as OpenAI can now use multiple cloud providers including AWS, ending Microsoft's exclusivity. This opens a significant new revenue stream for Amazon's cloud business.
Nvidia at ATH breakout, long.
Nvidia has broken out of a 200+ day consolidation to an all-time high, and the speaker explicitly stated he longed Nvidia. The breakout is convincing and the stock continues to move higher after hours, indicating strong momentum.
ASML monopoly on EUV machines.
ASML is the only company in the world that makes the extreme ultraviolet lithography machines required to produce the most advanced semiconductors. Despite being a critical bottleneck, its market cap seems undervalued relative to its monopoly and the AI-driven demand surge.
Ether likely to leg down.
Ethereum is also likely to leg down, following Solana. The overall crypto environment is unattractive and ETH has no clear catalyst.
Solana likely to leg down.
Solana is the most likely crypto to leg down, given weak momentum and lack of new buyers. The speaker remains uninterested in crypto and expects further downside for Solana.
