Bitcoin Above $100k, Is Alt Season Here?

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 21, 2025 at 18:15  |  49:46  |  1000x Podcast
Speakers
Avi Felman — Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management
Jonah Van Bourg — Head of Trading, Cumberland / ex-Vitol

Summary

The hosts discuss Bitcoin breaking above $100k and all-time highs, driven by crypto capital-markets product proliferation, institutional demand, and fiscal overspending. They debate near-term leverage and funding risks while remaining constructive on BTC, and they argue alt season is returning through revenue-generating crypto projects. They also cover gold as a macro-freakout hedge, Israel/Iran and oil risk, and token-specific ideas including Syrup, Launchcoin, Monero, Worldcoin shorts, and Grass skepticism.

  • Bitcoin trades above $100k and hosts expect further upside despite crowded leverage.
  • Crypto capital-markets product expansion and fiscal spending are cited as bullish BTC drivers.
  • Altcoin season is discussed, with preference for revenue-generating protocols and real businesses.
  • Gold is favored as diversification and a macro-freakout hedge.
  • Israel/Iran and Strait of Hormuz risk is discussed, but oil is seen in a tight range and not pricing a real threat.
  • Token-specific ideas include Syrup, Launchcoin, Monero, Worldcoin shorts, and Grass revenue skepticism.
  • Near-term funding and open-interest caution suggests buying dips and avoiding leverage.
Ideas
Avi Felman Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management 1:21
Bitcoin higher on capital-markets and fiscal demand
Bitcoin has decoupled from languishing equities and is pushing above $100k with little euphoria. Avi expects $120k reasonably soon, driven by a proliferation of crypto capital-markets products and institutional demand, plus fiscal overspending/no fiscal sanity in Washington. He argues BTC is a hedge against government overspending, dollar debasement and fixed-income weakness, and that continued outperformance will become a self-fulfilling institutional allocation narrative.
Jonah Van Bourg Head of Trading, Cumberland / ex-Vitol 1:32
Bitcoin to push higher despite crowded leverage
Jonah is tactically cautious because 25k BTC of open interest was added and funding is expensive, showing crowded leveraged longs. He expects a possible 5-10% liquidation flush toward $97k and advises not chasing or going all-in; he would buy a 5% drop, and traders could trim 15-20% and rebuy 5-10% lower to reduce cost basis.
Avi Felman Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management 21:52
Syrup has ridiculous P/E, very bullish
Avi says the Syrup token they had highlighted is up 50% since last week and has a ridiculous price-to-earnings ratio relative to the rest of the market; he is very bullish on it.
Avi Felman Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management 26:09
Gold reallocation as macro/fiscal hedge
Avi is reallocating to gold, selling some equities and scaling back into gold after its selloff from about $3,500 to $3,000. He likes the diversification and thinks gold benefits from the same fiscal and macro overspending environment.
Jonah Van Bourg Head of Trading, Cumberland / ex-Vitol 26:50
Gold outperforms in macro freakout
Jonah agrees with diversifying into gold because gold outperforms Bitcoin in a global macro freakout, such as a serious Israel/Iran escalation or Strait of Hormuz shutdown. In a stimulus scenario both gold and Bitcoin rip with Bitcoin leading, but in a macro freakout gold outperforms everything.
Avi Felman Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management 34:55
Short Worldcoin every 20-30% rally
Avi says Worldcoin is not going up and should be shorted every time it rallies 20-30%. He previously flagged the 125-130 zone, it traded there, and the short worked again.
Avi Felman Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management 36:15
Grass skeptical but watch revenue confirmation
Avi is skeptical on Grass because real revenues are undisclosed and likely weak despite the founder citing mid-eight-figure revenue; he sees the chart as a risky levered-Bitcoin-like move. However, the weekly chart has broken out of a diagonal downtrend and Grass fits the revenue-generating protocol and alt-season mold, so he holds only a small position and wants to monitor revenue confirmation.
Avi Felman Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management 38:56
Altcoins bullish on real revenue businesses
Avi is more bullish on altcoins because public-market demand for weird but real revenue-generating products shows there is appetite for real businesses in crypto. He thinks this can cause fast re-ratings, with some names potentially 3x-ing in three months or becoming tenbaggers.
Jonah Van Bourg Head of Trading, Cumberland / ex-Vitol 39:50
Alt season favors revenue-generating small caps
Jonah thinks it is alt season again, even if short-lived, and is looking for sub-$1B FDV tokens with good narratives and actual revenue; he frames Launchcoin as an example of this setup.
Jonah Van Bourg Head of Trading, Cumberland / ex-Vitol 39:53
Launchcoin low-FDV launchpad can melt higher
Jonah is bullish on Launchcoin, an institutional-grade pump.fun/Kickstarter-style launchpad. After launching its platform, the token went from $20m to $270m FDV; it generated $15m in fees and $3.25m revenue in its first week, trades at roughly 4x P/E, and the platform launch reduced rug risk. He thinks it can melt higher.
Avi Felman Principal, GoldenTree Asset Management 47:47
Monero worth $20B as private Bitcoin
Avi is giga-bullish Monero, calling it a $6.4B private Swiss bank in your pocket and what Bitcoin was meant to be. He thinks it is worth at least $20B and owns a decent amount.
Up Next

This 1000x Podcast video, published May 21, 2025, features Avi Felman, Jonah Van Bourg discussing BTC, SYRUP, GLD, WLD, GRASS, ALTCOINS, LAUNCHCOIN, XMR. 11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Avi Felman, Jonah Van Bourg  · Tickers: BTC, SYRUP, GLD, WLD, GRASS, ALTCOINS, LAUNCHCOIN, XMR