Ideas
Global long-term bond yields are heading higher.
Peter expects a global pull higher in long-term yields. A further rise in Japanese long-term rates can act as a magnet and drag U.S. and European long-term rates higher; European yields are already at multiyear highs even after ECB short-rate cuts. He also sees foreign ownership of U.S. assets/Treasuries as a flow risk if the dollar weakens, which could disrupt demand and add upward pressure on yields.
Dollar weakness will continue and broaden.
Peter thinks dollar weakness will continue and broaden. The yen is one of the cheapest currencies versus the dollar and could reverse higher; the Chinese yuan is at its highest since May 2023 and is rising purposefully, which can give room for the yen and other Asian currencies to rally. Large foreign ownership of U.S. assets means foreigners may hedge or sell dollar holdings, reinforcing the dollar downtrend.
Dollar weakness will continue and broaden.
Peter thinks dollar weakness will continue and broaden. The yen is one of the cheapest currencies versus the dollar and could reverse higher; the Chinese yuan is at its highest since May 2023 and is rising purposefully, which can give room for the yen and other Asian currencies to rally. Large foreign ownership of U.S. assets means foreigners may hedge or sell dollar holdings, reinforcing the dollar downtrend.
Dollar weakness will continue and broaden.
Peter thinks dollar weakness will continue and broaden. The yen is one of the cheapest currencies versus the dollar and could reverse higher; the Chinese yuan is at its highest since May 2023 and is rising purposefully, which can give room for the yen and other Asian currencies to rally. Large foreign ownership of U.S. assets means foreigners may hedge or sell dollar holdings, reinforcing the dollar downtrend.
Oil is underpriced and can rise.
Peter agrees oil is underpriced. He says oil could move from the $60s to $70 or $80, which would complicate inflation and the Fed's job and is part of the broadening commodity bull market.
Agriculture will eventually join commodity bull market.
Peter expects agriculture to eventually join the commodity bull market, adding to the broadening commodity move.
Precious metals and copper need timeout.
Peter says precious metals are very extended and need a time out, and copper looks similarly extended after its run. He is not calling for a bear market, but near-term chasing is unattractive until they consolidate.
Commodity bull market will spread out.
Peter is bullish on a broad commodity bull market and expects it to spread out. Precious metals and copper are extended and may need a time out, but he sees the bull market broadening into oil and eventually agriculture, helped by dollar weakness.
This CNBC video, published January 26, 2026,
features Peter Boockvar
discussing TLT, Japanese government bonds, IGOV, UUP, CNY, FXY, WTI, DBA, GLTR, COPPER, DBC.
8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Peter Boockvar
· Tickers:
TLT,
Japanese government bonds,
IGOV,
UUP,
CNY,
FXY,
WTI,
DBA,
GLTR,
COPPER,
DBC