A market that buys when it rises and sells when it falls; now check trading volume first - Hong Sun-ae, Min Jae-gi, KB Securities PRIME CLUB Team Lead

오를 때 사고 빠질 때 파는 시장…지금은 '거래량'부터 확인하세요ㅣ홍선애, 민재기 KB증권 PRIME CLUB 팀장 [여의도 인사이트]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 17, 2026 at 09:15  |  39:57  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club

Summary

Min Jae-gi, Team Lead at KB Securities PRIME CLUB, argues that the KOSPI is stuck in a range because trading value and deposits have fallen, while sticky long-term US yields and elevated oil prices keep inflation and policy risks alive. He recommends holding some cash into FOMC and US midterm risks, sees Korean semiconductors as range-bound until earnings revisions and macro conditions improve, and screens 2026 leading sectors by operating-profit growth over revenue growth. He also highlights energy and offshore drilling as inflation hedges.

  • KOSPI remains boxed in; a breakout requires five-day average trading value to rise and new money to enter.
  • Long-term US Treasury yields are expected to stay high due term premium, fiscal concerns, foreign demand, and oil inflation.
  • Oil prices may remain unstable until after the US midterms because of Iran-related geopolitics.
  • The speaker advises building a cash buffer on rallies to prepare for FOMC and midterm risks.
  • Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have large profits but stalled estimate momentum and rate-driven valuation caps.
  • Samsung SDI stands out for upward 3Q operating-profit estimate revisions.
  • A 2026 sector screen favors shipbuilding, transformers, semiconductor PCB substrates, and cosmetics where operating profit growth exceeds sales.
  • Energy, especially offshore drilling and oil development, is presented as an inflation hedge.
Ideas
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 2:51
KOSPI range-bound until trading volume breaks out
The KOSPI remains boxed in because trading value and customer deposits have fallen, and the index has repeatedly failed near 7,000-7,500. A durable upside break needs the five-day average trading value to break above its prior downtrend and new money to enter; until then, use rallies to raise some cash and stay conservative.
EWY HIGH
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 6:13
Raise cash into macro event risks
With long-term rates sticky and event risks from FOMC and the US midterms ahead, the speaker advises creating a cash buffer on market rallies rather than staying fully invested.
CASH MED
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 7:59
US long-term yields likely stay elevated
Long-term US Treasury yields are unlikely to fall easily because term premium has risen with concerns about US fiscal credibility, foreign official demand is weakening, oil-related inflation is uncertain, and the failed Clarity bill removed a potential bond-demand catalyst. Around 5% is an uncomfortable level, and yields may simply stay high.
US10Y HIGH
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 8:18
Oil stays elevated before US midterms
Oil prices are likely to stay unstable or elevated because the Iran-related conflict is unlikely to be resolved before the US midterms, keeping inflation pressure and long-term rates under upward pressure. Oil stabilization is a key precondition for a broader equity rally.
WTI MED
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 28:58
Korean chip stocks capped until macro improves
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix earn large absolute profits, but their earnings estimate momentum has stalled since 2Q and high long-term rates are capping valuation multiples. Buybacks support the downside into October, yet a sustained upward move requires oil/rate stabilization and a return of upward earnings revisions; until then, holders may face a frustrating range.
005930.KS 000660.KS HIGH
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 29:16
Samsung SDI gains on estimate upgrades
Samsung SDI's 3Q operating-profit consensus estimate has been revised upward since June after its 2Q results, unlike Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, and this estimate momentum explains its relative stock outperformance. It is a positive earnings-revision setup to monitor.
006400.KS MED
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 35:14
2026 leading sectors with profit leverage
The speaker screens leading sectors by 2026 operating-profit growth exceeding revenue growth. Korean shipbuilding, transformers, semiconductor PCB substrates, and Korean cosmetics are among the sectors whose consensus forecasts still show this favorable profit leverage, so they are candidates to study and allocate to in 4Q and 2026.
Korean shipbuilding sector Semiconductor PCB substrate sector Korean Transformer Sector KORU MED
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 38:38
Energy and offshore drilling hedge inflation
If oil and inflation remain unstable, investors should keep some exposure to inflation hedges. Energy is the representative area, especially offshore drilling and oil & gas development, because oil supply must increase to stabilize prices and these segments historically defended portfolios in inflation periods such as the 1970s.
XOP XLE MED
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This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published September 17, 2026, features Min Jae-gi discussing EWY, CASH, US10Y, WTI, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 006400.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, Semiconductor PCB substrate sector, Korean Transformer Sector, KORU, XOP, XLE. 8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: EWY, CASH, US10Y, WTI, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, 006400.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, Semiconductor PCB substrate sector, Korean Transformer Sector, KORU, XOP, XLE