Iran Says Hormuz Deal With Oman Close, Brent Oil Nears $100 | Daybreak Europe 9/8/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 08, 2026 at 06:43  |  47:01  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Anthony Stevens — Bloomberg Market Producer
Ven — Cross Asset Strategist
Onur — Managing Editor, Middle East and North Africa, Bloomberg
Arthur Mensch — Co-founder & CEO, Mistral AI
Trinh Nguyen — Senior Economist for Emerging Asia, Natixis
Christina — Bloomberg Tech Reporter
Rosalind Mathieson — Head of Content, Blockworks
Neil Campling — Tech/TMT Analyst
Abeer — Anchor, Bloomberg

Summary

Bloomberg Daybreak Europe covers the yen's surge toward its strongest level this year, Brent crude nearing $100 on Middle East tensions and a possible Iran-Oman Hormuz deal, and AI/compute capacity constraints after Mistral's €3 billion raise. Guests highlight copper's record run, divergence in Asian economies under oil pressure, and SAP's struggle to monetize AI. The program also reports on Canada's retaliatory tariffs and Anthropic's IPO positioning.

  • Brent crude nears $100 as Iran says a Strait of Hormuz deal with Oman is close.
  • Yen breaks 155 per dollar, with BOJ rate hike expectations supporting further strength.
  • Copper hits record highs on AI demand, US tariff threats, and China demand.
  • Mistral AI raises €3 billion at over €21 billion valuation with Samsung among backers.
  • Trinh Nguyen sees Asian divergence from oil shock, favoring Indonesia over the Philippines.
  • Canada imposes retaliatory tariffs on US goods; Trump response watched.
  • Anthropic walks away from Decart acquisition ahead of expected IPO.
  • SAP's AI adaptation raises pressure and market skepticism.
Ideas
Anthony Stevens Bloomberg Market Producer 5:06
Copper prices record on AI demand
Record copper prices are being driven by AI demand supercharging the copper space, while President Trump's tariff threats on imported copper have caused a huge drawdown in London inventories and a short squeeze, with an added boost from China's decent building season and strong Chinese exports; copper is also a key macro indicator on Asian economic strength.
Ven Cross Asset Strategist 6:18
Yen move too fast, cross-asset risk
The yen's strengthening will continue because it is deeply undervalued at around negative 20 percent on historical exchange-rate measures, Japan's trade performance has been good, the BOJ is expected to hike rates at a steeper pace than the Fed, JGB yields are attractive, and Japanese capital is being reshored including pension-fund allocation discussions into domestic bonds; the Korean won's rapid appreciation is a precedent.
Onur Managing Editor, Middle East and North Africa, Bloomberg 9:20
Hormuz deal may ease oil supply
Iran says a deal with Oman to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is in final stages; if finalized it would provide a temporary safe route for tankers and should provide some relief for oil markets, but it does not resolve the wider US-Iran conflict or U.S. naval sanctions on Iranian ports, so de-escalation remains uncertain.
Arthur Mensch Co-founder & CEO, Mistral AI 18:14
Compute tight, semis capacity constrained
Compute will remain constrained for a while into 2027, with prices going up because of capacity constraints on logic and memory; ASML, Nvidia, and Samsung are at Mistral's table, tying AI demand further into the semiconductor industry and bringing AI to make the chip sector more efficient.
Trinh Nguyen Senior Economist for Emerging Asia, Natixis 30:24
Yuan room to appreciate on reshoring
The Chinese yuan has room to appreciate because China runs a huge surplus and holds large net foreign assets, exporters are transferring excess foreign exchange onshore, and the PBOC needs to keep onshore investors by creating optimism; however appreciation is capped by weak domestic demand, tight fiscal policy, and the need for exports.
Trinh Nguyen Senior Economist for Emerging Asia, Natixis 31:06
Chinese equities gain, bonds see outflows
Within China, weak rates are likely to keep bond outflows while equities could get momentum, helped by currency appreciation if earnings disappoint and by the PBOC trying to keep investors onshore.
Trinh Nguyen Senior Economist for Emerging Asia, Natixis 31:06
Chinese equities gain, bonds see outflows
Within China, weak rates are likely to keep bond outflows while equities could get momentum, helped by currency appreciation if earnings disappoint and by the PBOC trying to keep investors onshore.
Trinh Nguyen Senior Economist for Emerging Asia, Natixis 33:47
Favor Indonesia, avoid Philippines on oil
Brent near $100 hurts all Asian net oil importers, but the shock creates divergence: countries with offsetting chip/AI-export factors such as Korea, Japan, and China can absorb it, while the Philippines suffers worsening terms of trade, net oil and food deficits, and negative real rates, making investors discriminating; Indonesia is favored because it is hiking 100 basis points and talking friendlier to investors.
Trinh Nguyen Senior Economist for Emerging Asia, Natixis 33:47
Favor Indonesia, avoid Philippines on oil
Brent near $100 hurts all Asian net oil importers, but the shock creates divergence: countries with offsetting chip/AI-export factors such as Korea, Japan, and China can absorb it, while the Philippines suffers worsening terms of trade, net oil and food deficits, and negative real rates, making investors discriminating; Indonesia is favored because it is hiking 100 basis points and talking friendlier to investors.
Christina Bloomberg Tech Reporter 39:35
SAP AI adaptation under investor scrutiny
SAP's CEO says the pressure to adapt to AI is at its highest, and while he believes SAP can still lead if it delivers in the second half, there are early customer questions about value for money and UBS notes SAP is slow in rolling out AI and leaving monetization opportunities on the table; the planned Business AI platform and 400 agents are key to watch.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published September 08, 2026, features Anthony Stevens, Ven, Onur, Arthur Mensch, Trinh Nguyen, Christina discussing COPPER, JPY, BNO, SMH, ASML, NVDA, 005930.KS, CNY, FXI, CBON, EIDO, EPHE, SAP. 10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Anthony Stevens, Ven, Onur, Arthur Mensch, Trinh Nguyen, Christina  · Tickers: COPPER, JPY, BNO, SMH, ASML, NVDA, 005930.KS, CNY, FXI, CBON, EIDO, EPHE, SAP