Calls
14
#357
Alpha Score 64.8
Trinh Nguyen
Senior Economist for Emerging Asia, Natixis
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+1.3%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 23
$84.24
+16.0%
South Korea and Taiwan equities are the best performers in Asia and globally because their high exposure to the semiconductor super cycle provides a buffer against the negative energy shock from the Hormuz standoff, while countries without chip buffers suffer from demand destruction and fiscal pressures.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 23
$152.21
+6.0%
South Korea and Taiwan equities are the best performers in Asia and globally because their high exposure to the semiconductor super cycle provides a buffer against the negative energy shock from the Hormuz standoff, while countries without chip buffers suffer from demand destruction and fiscal pressures.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 08
$433.77
-15.1%
Buy gold as de-dollarization demand has limited alternatives (UST remains viable only under specific yield/ratings conditions), but conviction is tempered by gold's negative carry and the structural ceiling on institutional holdings.
Buy gold as de-dollarization demand has limited alternatives (UST remains viable only under specific yield/ratings conditions), but conviction is tempered by gold's negative carry and the structural ceiling on institutional holdings.
Commodities
Short
Apr 24
$24.96
-2.4%
Short Philippines equities; the country lacks chip-sector buffers against the Iran War energy shock and faces supply shortages forcing demand destruction, placing it at the bottom of Asia's K-shaped divergence.
Short Philippines equities; the country lacks chip-sector buffers against the Iran War energy shock and faces supply shortages forcing demand destruction, placing it at the bottom of Asia's K-shaped divergence.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 12
$84.19
+12.3%
Buy Japanese yen exposure (via EWJ as proxy for JPY strength thesis) as author explicitly favors USD/JPY direction implying yen appreciation on dollar weakening. Note: no direct FXY mention but USD/JPY directional call is explicit.
Buy Japanese yen exposure (via EWJ as proxy for JPY strength thesis) as author explicitly favors USD/JPY direction implying yen appreciation on dollar weakening. Note: no direct FXY mention but USD/JPY directional call is explicit.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 12
$106.24
-0.6%
Buy EUR/USD as author explicitly expects longer-term dollar weakening and EUR/USD recovery once the geopolitical safe-haven USD bid unwinds post-conflict.
Buy EUR/USD as author explicitly expects longer-term dollar weakening and EUR/USD recovery once the geopolitical safe-haven USD bid unwinds post-conflict.
FX & Currencies
Long
Mar 12
$57.63
-1.9%
Buy JPY as author explicitly favors USD/JPY direction implying yen appreciation, driven by expected longer-term dollar weakening as geopolitical safe-haven flows into USD reverse.
Buy JPY as author explicitly favors USD/JPY direction implying yen appreciation, driven by expected longer-term dollar weakening as geopolitical safe-haven flows into USD reverse.
FX & Currencies
Long
Mar 12
$118.39
+6.0%
Buy oil as Iran War supply disruptions drive Brent to a projected $90/bbl base case through April, with upside to $119/bbl under a prolonged conflict scenario; supply shock is the explicit catalyst.
Buy oil as Iran War supply disruptions drive Brent to a projected $90/bbl base case through April, with upside to $119/bbl under a prolonged conflict scenario; supply shock is the explicit catalyst.
Commodities
Short
Mar 12
$27.68
-2.4%
Short USD as author explicitly forecasts longer-term dollar weakening driven by safe-haven bid reversal once Iran War geopolitical shock fades, with EUR and JPY as the primary beneficiaries.
Short USD as author explicitly forecasts longer-term dollar weakening driven by safe-haven bid reversal once Iran War geopolitical shock fades, with EUR and JPY as the primary beneficiaries.
FX & Currencies
Short
Mar 06
$63.31
-7.4%
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Equity Indexes
Short
Mar 06
$35.82
+4.8%
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Equity Indexes
Short
Mar 06
$49.99
+2.3%
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Asia and Europe are net oil importers. Trinh Nguyen notes that for Thailand, energy/food/transport is >70% of the CPI basket. India received a temporary waiver for Russian oil, but the structural deficit remains. Higher oil prices act as a tax on consumption for net importers. This leads to higher inflation, currency depreciation against the USD, and lower GDP growth. The "terms of trade" shock is severe for these regions. SHORT/AVOID net importer equities. Subsidies or strategic reserve releases successfully mitigating the price shock.
Equity Indexes
Long
Mar 05
$56.48
+2.5%
Buy oil & gas equities as widening Iran/Middle East conflict has delivered a negative supply shock; key uncertainty is duration of the disruption, but directional bias is clearly long energy.
Buy oil & gas equities as widening Iran/Middle East conflict has delivered a negative supply shock; key uncertainty is duration of the disruption, but directional bias is clearly long energy.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jan 22
$235.82
-2.2%
Buy defense sector as global defense spending rises structurally across Europe, Japan, China, India, and Indonesia, driven by geopolitical pressures discussed at Davos and beyond.
Buy defense sector as global defense spending rises structurally across Europe, Japan, China, India, and Indonesia, driven by geopolitical pressures discussed at Davos and beyond.
Thematic ETFs
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Trinh Nguyen has 14 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 14 tickers since January 2026. Ranked #357 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: EWT, EWY, GOLD.
