Crude oil prices will decline quickly because the futures curve is in substantial backwardation, the UAE has left OPEC, global producers will ramp up supply, and the U.S. is at record production with continued pumping. The supply shock from the Iran blockade is transient, and energy inflation will reverse.
Soybean prices will spike due to an expected El Niño weather pattern that historically leads to very high prices, suggesting China should accelerate purchases from the U.S.