Calls
14
#459
Alpha Score 64.1
Michael Contopoulos
Director of Fixed Income, Richard Bernstein Advisors
Win Rate
64.3%
return
+3.9%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 20
$63.06
+5.3%
Earnings estimate revision ratios remain strong globally, including in emerging markets. The economy entered the conflict from a healthy position, and earnings are delivering. There is a broadening of market leadership beyond just U.S. tech.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 13
$85.97
+14.0%
We maintain overweight positions in cyclical international markets, emerging markets ex China, and U.S. sectors like industrials, energy, and materials, based on the view that the macro outlook hasn't significantly deteriorated and these positions will benefit if the Middle East conflict resolves, as the landscape from January and February could reemerge.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 13
$52.16
-0.1%
We maintain overweight positions in cyclical international markets, emerging markets ex China, and U.S. sectors like industrials, energy, and materials, based on the view that the macro outlook hasn't significantly deteriorated and these positions will benefit if the Middle East conflict resolves, as the landscape from January and February could reemerge.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 13
$172.75
+0.1%
We maintain overweight positions in cyclical international markets, emerging markets ex China, and U.S. sectors like industrials, energy, and materials, based on the view that the macro outlook hasn't significantly deteriorated and these positions will benefit if the Middle East conflict resolves, as the landscape from January and February could reemerge.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Feb 26
$92.48
+3.1%
"Profit growth throughout the world is quite strong... I'd rather own an area of the market that is growing earnings from 2% to 5% to 10% than own something with 12% steady state [US Tech]." The US market is priced for perfection with declining growth rates. International markets (Europe, Japan, EM ex-China) are seeing *accelerating* earnings growth and trade at cheaper valuations. The "Great Rotation" is driven by a search for accelerating fundamentals, not just value. LONG International Equities (specifically Europe, Japan, and EM ex-China). A sudden resurgence in US Tech earnings growth or a global recession dampening cyclical recovery.
"Profit growth throughout the world is quite strong... I'd rather own an area of the market that is growing earnings from 2% to 5% to 10% than own something with 12% steady state [US Tech]." The US market is priced for perfection with declining growth rates. International markets (Europe, Japan, EM ex-China) are seeing *accelerating* earnings growth and trade at cheaper valuations. The "Great Rotation" is driven by a search for accelerating fundamentals, not just value. LONG International Equities (specifically Europe, Japan, and EM ex-China). A sudden resurgence in US Tech earnings growth or a global recession dampening cyclical recovery.
Equity Indexes
Long
Aug 13
$77.91
-1.4%
International equities offer a compelling trifecta of strong valuations, easier liquidity from central banks, and accelerated earnings growth, making them attractive as capital is scarcer there compared to the US.
Equity Indexes
Short
Jul 23
$738.69
-3.1%
The AI capex boom resembles the late-1990s internet buildout, with massive spending on data centers and infrastructure assuming peak innovation, while utilization is unknown and returns may not justify the investment. The market is only starting to price this risk, and the current selloff could be more sustainable.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jun 24
$32.36
+9.3%
Capital has been concentrating in US tech and chips, but the global economy is resilient with accelerating earnings growth in Europe, Japan, emerging markets, and China. Markets should broaden, with client allocations moving from chips to the rest of the world's equities.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jun 24
$86.95
+4.3%
Capital has been concentrating in US tech and chips, but the global economy is resilient with accelerating earnings growth in Europe, Japan, emerging markets, and China. Markets should broaden, with client allocations moving from chips to the rest of the world's equities.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 20
$150.21
+6.2%
Earnings estimate revision ratios remain strong globally, including in emerging markets. The economy entered the conflict from a healthy position, and earnings are delivering. There is a broadening of market leadership beyond just U.S. tech.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 13
$57.04
+13.7%
We maintain overweight positions in cyclical international markets, emerging markets ex China, and U.S. sectors like industrials, energy, and materials, based on the view that the macro outlook hasn't significantly deteriorated and these positions will benefit if the Middle East conflict resolves, as the landscape from January and February could reemerge.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 02
$110.10
-0.0%
Contopoulos advises investors to be "Overweight shorter-duration assets, companies that pay dividends, value." With the 10-Year yield rising (prices falling) due to war-induced inflation, long-duration assets get crushed. Short duration (SHV) removes interest rate risk. Dividend growers (VIG) provide equity exposure with a cash-flow buffer that acts as an inflation hedge, unlike speculative growth stocks which rely on distant future cash flows. LONG Short-Duration Cash & Dividend Growth. Yields plummeting (bond rally) would cause short-duration cash to underperform long-duration bonds.
Contopoulos advises investors to be "Overweight shorter-duration assets, companies that pay dividends, value." With the 10-Year yield rising (prices falling) due to war-induced inflation, long-duration assets get crushed. Short duration (SHV) removes interest rate risk. Dividend growers (VIG) provide equity exposure with a cash-flow buffer that acts as an inflation hedge, unlike speculative growth stocks which rely on distant future cash flows. LONG Short-Duration Cash & Dividend Growth. Yields plummeting (bond rally) would cause short-duration cash to underperform long-duration bonds.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Mar 02
$227.15
+6.1%
Contopoulos advises investors to be "Overweight shorter-duration assets, companies that pay dividends, value." With the 10-Year yield rising (prices falling) due to war-induced inflation, long-duration assets get crushed. Short duration (SHV) removes interest rate risk. Dividend growers (VIG) provide equity exposure with a cash-flow buffer that acts as an inflation hedge, unlike speculative growth stocks which rely on distant future cash flows. LONG Short-Duration Cash & Dividend Growth. Yields plummeting (bond rally) would cause short-duration cash to underperform long-duration bonds.
Contopoulos advises investors to be "Overweight shorter-duration assets, companies that pay dividends, value." With the 10-Year yield rising (prices falling) due to war-induced inflation, long-duration assets get crushed. Short duration (SHV) removes interest rate risk. Dividend growers (VIG) provide equity exposure with a cash-flow buffer that acts as an inflation hedge, unlike speculative growth stocks which rely on distant future cash flows. LONG Short-Duration Cash & Dividend Growth. Yields plummeting (bond rally) would cause short-duration cash to underperform long-duration bonds.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Feb 26
$44.56
-2.5%
"Profit growth throughout the world is quite strong... I'd rather own an area of the market that is growing earnings from 2% to 5% to 10% than own something with 12% steady state [US Tech]." The US market is priced for perfection with declining growth rates. International markets (Europe, Japan, EM ex-China) are seeing *accelerating* earnings growth and trade at cheaper valuations. The "Great Rotation" is driven by a search for accelerating fundamentals, not just value. LONG International Equities (specifically Europe, Japan, and EM ex-China). A sudden resurgence in US Tech earnings growth or a global recession dampening cyclical recovery.
"Profit growth throughout the world is quite strong... I'd rather own an area of the market that is growing earnings from 2% to 5% to 10% than own something with 12% steady state [US Tech]." The US market is priced for perfection with declining growth rates. International markets (Europe, Japan, EM ex-China) are seeing *accelerating* earnings growth and trade at cheaper valuations. The "Great Rotation" is driven by a search for accelerating fundamentals, not just value. LONG International Equities (specifically Europe, Japan, and EM ex-China). A sudden resurgence in US Tech earnings growth or a global recession dampening cyclical recovery.
Equity Indexes
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Michael Contopoulos has 14 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 14 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #459 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: EMXC, XLI, EEM.
