Yields are trending higher across G7 bond markets due to rising inflation and reduced central bank buying, and the trend remains in play, making higher yields (lower bond prices) likely ahead.
The Fed cannot significantly hike in the face of higher inflation, the dollar remains expensive versus major currencies, and U.S. fiscal dynamics are concerning, so a structural short on the U.S. dollar is warranted.
Higher energy and input costs from a structural bullish environment for commodities, including oil, lead to higher inflation, creating persistent upward pressure on bond yields.
Higher energy and input costs from a structural bullish environment for commodities, including oil, lead to higher inflation, creating persistent upward pressure on bond yields.