Andy Constan 5.0 302 ideas

Founder, Damped Spring Advisors
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Per mention Per thesis
ⓘ Each mention is one idea
After 1 day
49%winrate
+0.2% avg
97W / 100L · 197/79 ideas
After 1 week
42%winrate
-0.2% avg
82W / 112L · 194/79 ideas
After 1 month
65%winrate
+3.0% avg
102W / 56L · 158/81 ideas
After 3 months
60%winrate
+3.7% avg
25W / 17L · 42/80 ideas
 winrate (30d)  ·  W / L  ·  14 positions (30d)
Avg: —
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
QQQ SHORT $658.06 Apr 24
CAR SHORT $637.72 Apr 22
IBIT LONG $44.08 Apr 17
VEA LONG $69.60 Apr 17
USO SHORT 124.08 JPY Apr 14
IGV LONG 79.95 EUR Apr 14
STRC LONG $100.01 Apr 13
SMH SHORT $439.00 Apr 10
VIX SHORT $33.86 Apr 07
VXX SHORT $35.03 Apr 07
USO LONG 137.92 JPY Apr 03
SPY SHORT $654.01 Apr 01
BTC LONG $66981.70 Mar 31
SPY LONG $633.34 Mar 27
By sector
ETF
163 ideas +-0.0%
Stock
85 ideas +3.5%
Crypto
21 ideas +3.0%
Commodity
20 ideas +20.4%
index
6 ideas +10.7%
currency
4 ideas
sector
2 ideas -35.7%
unresolved
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
SPY 61 ideas
48% W -0.2%
MSTR 36 ideas
64% W +3.5%
TLT 30 ideas
64% W +0.1%
BTC 21 ideas
70% W +3.0%
USO 14 ideas
75% W +0.7%
Best and worst calls
The tweet reports YTD performance vs SPY but provides no trade recommendation or entry/exit.
SPY MED Apr 24, 16:16
"beating SPY by 300bp with much lower vol"
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 24, 2026 at 16:16
Founder, Damped Spring Advisors
Short CLZ6 (crude oil futures) based on a bearish macro outlook for oil, as part of a broader alpha trade with a patient time horizon.
USO MED Apr 24, 16:10
"Have plenty of time for my max bearish equities/bearish CLZ6 alpha trade to pay off."
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 24, 2026 at 16:10
Founder, Damped Spring Advisors
Short SPX over the next 2-6 months as a preferred bearish bet relative to other developed market indices, with SOXX overextension dismissed as a day-trading noise.
SPX HIGH Apr 24, 14:51
"I prefer to be short SPX vs being short dm equity indices."
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 24, 2026 at 14:51
Founder, Damped Spring Advisors
Short SPY as part of a relative value pair expecting US to underperform developed ex-US markets.
SPY MED Apr 24, 14:50
"I want to be short SPX vs VEA."
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 24, 2026 at 14:50
Founder, Damped Spring Advisors
Long VEA as part of a relative value pair, betting on developed ex-US outperformance versus the US.
VEA MED Apr 24, 14:50
"I want to be short SPX vs VEA."
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 24, 2026 at 14:50
Founder, Damped Spring Advisors
Short the tech sector via QQQ as a directional bet against current tech valuations or momentum.
QQQ MED Apr 24, 14:46
"I want to be short tech here."
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 24, 2026 at 14:46
Founder, Damped Spring Advisors
Short SPY (S&P 500) using an unspecified strategy to maintain a bearish position on the index.
SPY MED Apr 24, 12:50
"A way to stick with the short SPX."
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 24, 2026 at 12:50
Founder, Damped Spring Advisors
Short CAR based on relative overvaluation vs. SPX, with the author signaling patience as short-squeeze momentum fades.
CAR MED Apr 23, 15:49
"7133 SPX is to $CAR at 700. As $CAR at 240 is to SPX at ?"
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 23, 2026 at 15:49
Short GLD because large fiscal stimulus in Southeast Asia without bond market support creates a negative environment for gold prices.
GLD MED Apr 22, 21:30
"Gold does badly"
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 22, 2026 at 21:30
Short TLT as large fiscal stimulus in Southeast Asia without corresponding bond market support is expected to pressure bond prices.
TLT MED Apr 22, 21:30
"bonds do badly"
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 22, 2026 at 21:30
Avoid CAR due to a bearish signal from the company moving its earnings release date earlier, which the author interprets negatively for the stock.
CAR MED Apr 22, 20:27
"$Car bumped its earnings release up to 4/29. Not bullish"
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 22, 2026 at 20:27
Short CAR as the gamma squeeze is ending, with the company expected to fill demand, leading to a price decline. The author is maintaining a short position despite being underwater.
CAR HIGH Apr 22, 16:39
"I'm still underwater on my Degen short from Monday."
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 22, 2026 at 16:39
Long MSTR because at 1.25x NAV, the company can cheaply raise USD reserves via an ATM common share offering to fund convertible put dates and restore dividend coverage to 24 months.
MSTR HIGH Apr 21, 22:03
"At 1.25MNAV there's a perfect way to do that cheaply. ATM common share selling. It's a no brainer $MSTR"
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 21, 2026 at 22:03
Avoid long-term Treasury bonds until after the Quarterly Refunding Announcement on May 4-6, 2026, due to potential market volatility or policy changes stemming from the event.
TLT MED Apr 21, 12:50
"can't touch bonds until QRA on 5/4-5/6"
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 21, 2026 at 12:50
Short CAR as the current gamma squeeze is expected to end this week once the company fills all the outstanding demand.
CAR HIGH Apr 20, 19:41
"Gamma squeezes end when the company fills all the demand. Should be a this week imho."
𝕏 @dampedspring ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 20, 2026 at 19:41
Andy Constan (Founder, Damped Spring Advisors) | 302 trade ideas tracked | SPY, MSTR, TLT, BTC, USO | Twitter | Buzzberg