dampedspring 5.0 264 ideas
After 1 day
53%winrate
+0.3% avg
88W / 78L · 166/195 ideas
After 1 week
44%winrate
-0.1% avg
74W / 95L · 169/195 ideas
After 1 month
62%winrate
+4.3% avg
70W / 42L · 112/195 ideas
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
By sector
ETF
139 ideas
-0.5%
Stock
75 ideas
+4.6%
Commodity
21 ideas
+22.2%
Crypto
16 ideas
+3.6%
index
6 ideas
+10.7%
currency
5 ideas
sector
2 ideas
-35.7%
Top tickers (by frequency)
SPY
54 ideas
56% W
+0.1%
MSTR
32 ideas
61% W
+4.8%
TLT
28 ideas
50% W
-0.1%
BTC
16 ideas
71% W
+3.6%
USO
11 ideas
50% W
+0.0%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
SILVER LONG
+50.3%
1. THE FACT: Precious metals are "mooning" not due to industrial uses or short squeezes, but because the Fed decided to ...
Dec 27
WTI LONG
+44.3%
Andy Constan (@dampedspring)
Direction was mixed but the trade was clearly long CL and VIX futures
Andy Constan (@dampe...
Mar 05
PURR LONG
+39.4%
The author recommends buying PURR at a specific price level of ~$3, believing this will represent a capitulation bottom ...
Feb 23
Worst calls
MTPLF LONG
-42.9%
1. THE FACT: @dampedspring mentioned "tax loss harvesting and bid the close on 12/31." They then stated "$MTPLF trading ...
Jan 14
BETA LONG
-35.7%
1. THE FACT: "Always Own Beta" is dampedspring's key advice. Going short or long based on valuations is not alpha.
2. TH...
Jan 05
PURR SHORT
-32.2%
The trade is to short $PURR with an expectation it will fall below $2, based on skepticism towards a promoter who is hyp...
Feb 19
Avoid crypto assets as they lack fundamental earnings and the primary macro tailwind of money printing has ended.
BTC
HIGH
Apr 16, 16:00
Monitor the 99.05 breakeven level post ex-dividend to determine if dividend capture selling pressure will subside.
STRC
MED
Apr 16, 15:59
Short oil due to a fundamental divergence between future oil price expectations and current equity market pricing in the post-war reality.
USO
HIGH
Apr 15, 21:41
Short equities because positive post-war outcomes are already fully priced in, leaving asymmetric downside risk.
SPY
HIGH
Apr 15, 21:41
Sell S&P 500 longs and buy put options, as the speaker's macro investment process identifies the ~7000 level (presumably on a major index like SPX) as a point of excessive valuation requiring a defensive shift. The action is based on a defined process, not market timing.
SPY
HIGH
Apr 15, 21:16
Short crude oil to finance alpha puts, establishing a highly convex payoff structure that profits from directional movement and only loses if oil stagnates over a two-month period.
USO
HIGH
Apr 15, 20:48
Short broad equities based on maximum bearish portfolio positioning, while monitoring risks like collapsing oil prices or new stimulus that could invalidate the thesis.
SPY
MED
Apr 15, 20:34
Short the broad equity market (SPY) due to sustained high oil prices, lack of major fiscal stimulus, adverse Treasury issuance dynamics, and potential for AI spending to disappoint relative to high expectations.
SPY
HIGH
Apr 14, 21:03
Short December crude oil futures to hedge against a potential cratering in the oil market that would render existing put options worthless.
USO
HIGH
Apr 14, 20:54
Initiate maximum short exposure to US equities via two- and six-month put spreads as part of a broader tactical shift to raise cash and reduce beta.
SPY
HIGH
Apr 14, 20:27
Buy the dip in software stocks following a sharp morning selloff, capitalizing on intraday weakness despite unusual price action.
IGV
MED
Apr 14, 18:08
Go long Apple as a defensive safe haven due to its massive cash generation capabilities.
AAPL
MED
Apr 14, 16:15
Buy STRC at par to capture dividend value, targeting a sell above the ex-dividend breakeven price of 99.06.
STRC
HIGH
Apr 14, 14:00
Avoid using MicroStrategy as a leveraged Bitcoin vehicle because its 11.5% cost of leverage significantly exceeds its zero income generation, making the structure fundamentally non-accretive.
MSTR
HIGH
Apr 14, 13:01
Sell or short MicroStrategy due to its current premium to net asset value, presenting a favorable exit opportunity for existing shareholders.
MSTR
MED
Apr 14, 11:33