Bloomberg Surveillance 8/13/2026

Смотреть на YouTube ↗  |  13 августа 2026, 15:00  |  2:24:21  |  Bloomberg Markets
Спикеры
Max Kettner — Главный стратег по мультиактивным портфелям, HSBC
Wayne Sanders — Старший аналитик оборонного сектора, Bloomberg Intelligence
Angelo Zino — Старший аналитик по акциям, CFRA Research
Robert Kaplan — Заместитель председателя, Goldman Sachs; бывший президент ФРБ Далласа
Erica Najarian — Аналитик финансового сектора, UBS
Brad Rogoff — Barclays
Liz Young Thomas — Глава инвестиционной стратегии, SoFi
Francisco Blanch — Глава отдела глобальных исследований сырьевых товаров и деривативов, Bank of America
Stephen Parker — Руководитель направления консультационных решений, J.P. Morgan Private Bank
Nela Richardson — Главный экономист, ADP
Peter Navarro — Старший советник по торговле и производству (советник Трампа)
Lydia Mashburn Newman — American Institute for Economic Research
The episode covers the latest US inflation data, with PPI coming in cooler than expected, fueling debates over the Federal Reserve's rate path. Guests discuss the broadening equity rally, the impact of AI infrastructure spending on corporate debt and earnings, and the structural risks posed by growing US deficits. Additionally, experts analyze geopolitical tensions affecting global supply chains, defense stockpiles, and energy markets. - Cooler-than-expected PPI data gives the Fed breathing room, though core components remain sticky. - The equity rally is expected to broaden beyond tech into sectors like industrials, utilities, and equal-weight indices. - AI infrastructure build-out is driving massive capital expenditure, boosting corporate debt issuance and semiconductor demand. - Growing US fiscal deficits are raising concerns about the long end of the Treasury yield curve. - Global energy markets face tightening supplies, with natural gas, gasoline, and copper poised for price increases. - The US defense industrial base is urgently ramping up production to rebuild depleted missile stockpiles.
Идеи
Max Kettner Главный стратег по мультиактивным портфелям, HSBC 5:27
Lower rate volatility boosts US growth equities.
A dovish repricing of front-end US rates and lower fixed-income volatility will provide a strong tailwind for US equities, particularly the tech, growth, and momentum complexes, as the US exceptionalism narrative unwinds.
Wayne Sanders Старший аналитик оборонного сектора, Bloomberg Intelligence 18:02
Rebuilding US missile stockpiles drives defense growth.
The US faces an urgent need to rebuild its missile stockpiles across exquisite munitions, low-cost interceptors, and directed energy, pushing prime contractors like Lockheed to triple or quadruple their capacity for systems like THAAD and precision strike munitions.
Angelo Zino Старший аналитик по акциям, CFRA Research 33:06
AI server demand keeps memory supply constrained.
The memory chip market will remain in a supply deficit over the next six to eight quarters as content requirements for next-generation AI servers grow exponentially, driving prices higher.
Angelo Zino Старший аналитик по акциям, CFRA Research 33:10
Cerebras is overvalued and should be avoided.
Cerebras has insane expectations and an insane valuation, making it a unique piece of the market that investors should stay away from.
Robert Kaplan Заместитель председателя, Goldman Sachs; бывший президент ФРБ Далласа 51:26
AI adoption drives S&P 500 earnings growth.
The broader S&P 500 earnings story is alive and well as companies across the board adopt AI to improve margins and productivity, but structural deficits make the long end of the US Treasury curve concerning.
Erica Najarian Аналитик финансового сектора, UBS 78:36
Robust capital markets activity benefits large banks.
Global Systemically Important Banks (GSIBs) remain the leadership sector in financials due to robust capital markets activity driven by the AI hyperscaler trade and corporate M&A, with Morgan Stanley particularly favored for its ability to capture flow-through into wealth assets.
Brad Rogoff Barclays 88:53
Data center debt issuance is rapidly expanding.
The investment-grade and high-yield corporate debt markets are seeing a massive influx of issuance from hyperscalers and data centers, with data center-backed bonds expected to grow from nearly zero a year ago to 10% of the high-yield market by 2030.
Liz Young Thomas Глава инвестиционной стратегии, SoFi 101:07
Equal-weight S&P 500 offers better broader exposure.
The equal-weight S&P 500 is preferred over the market-cap-weighted index to gain broader economic representation in sectors like healthcare and industrials, while the energy sector remains a strong multi-year trade due to structural changes in global energy consumption.
Francisco Blanch Глава отдела глобальных исследований сырьевых товаров и деривативов, Bank of America 112:12
Tight supplies will drive global commodities higher.
The global commodity complex is set to return to the forefront over the next three months, driven by a severe global gas shortage exacerbated by heatwaves, low fuel inventories pushing gasoline and diesel prices higher, and super-tight copper supplies facing depleting global inventories.
Stephen Parker Руководитель направления консультационных решений, J.P. Morgan Private Bank 137:57
The AI trade expands into broader infrastructure.
The AI trade is expanding beyond hyperscalers into infrastructure, industrials, and utilities, making semiconductors a buy-on-the-dip opportunity, while real assets and infrastructure should be used to complement fixed income as a hedge against inflation.
Далее

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 13, 2026, features Max Kettner, Wayne Sanders, Angelo Zino, Robert Kaplan, Erica Najarian, Brad Rogoff, Liz Young Thomas, Francisco Blanch, Stephen Parker discussing TECH, Growth, Momentum, SPY, ITA, LMT, DRAM, CBRS, Long-end US Treasuries, KBE, MS, Data center-backed bonds, IG Corporate Market, RSP, XLE, UGA, CRAK, DBC, COPPER, UNG, PAVE, XLI, UTILITIES, GLD, SMH. 10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Max Kettner, Wayne Sanders, Angelo Zino, Robert Kaplan, Erica Najarian, Brad Rogoff, Liz Young Thomas, Francisco Blanch, Stephen Parker  · Tickers: TECH, Growth, Momentum, SPY, ITA, LMT, DRAM, CBRS, Long-end US Treasuries, KBE, MS, Data center-backed bonds, IG Corporate Market, RSP, XLE, UGA, CRAK, DBC, COPPER, UNG, PAVE, XLI, UTILITIES, GLD, SMH