Bloomberg Previews Jackson Hole Symposium

Смотреть на YouTube ↗  |  22 августа 2026, 20:07  |  8:47  |  Bloomberg Markets
Спикеры
Lisa Abramowicz — Ведущий, Bloomberg Television and Radio
Tracy Alloway — Co-Host, Bloomberg Odd Lots
Joe Weisenthal — Соведущий, Odd Lots (Bloomberg)
Tom Keene — Ведущий, Bloomberg Surveillance
Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal, Lisa Abramowicz, Tracy Alloway and Tom Keene preview the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium. They discuss Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's likely communication style, tensions between the Fed and Treasury, and the drivers of rising long-end yields. The panel also debates structural inflation pressures, strong nominal GDP, and the unusual divergence of rising real rates with a weaker dollar. They do not expect the event to produce much clarity on the Fed's reaction function. - Panel previews Jackson Hole and debates whether the new Fed chair will deliver a meaningful policy speech. - Discussion highlights tension between Fed policy and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's actions. - Lisa Abramowicz attributes rising long-end yields mostly to term premium and reluctant buyers of US debt. - The panel cites structural inflation drivers such as resource nationalism, AI buildout, and reduced trade freedom. - Tom Keene warns that a later pullback in boom-level nominal GDP could stress rates and foreign exchange. - Tracy Alloway notes the unusual combination of rising real rates and a weakening US dollar. - The group does not expect Jackson Hole to clarify the Federal Reserve's reaction function.
Идеи
Lisa Abramowicz Ведущий, Bloomberg Television and Radio 2:27
Term premium driven by debt supply.
The rise in long-end US yields is mostly a term premium story: investors are demanding extra compensation to hold US debt because there is more debt supply and buyers are more reluctant. Real-rate increases have been driven by term premium, not inflation breakevens, which points to continued upward pressure on long-term Treasury yields.
Tracy Alloway Co-Host, Bloomberg Odd Lots 7:16
Dollar weak despite rising real rates.
The unusual current setup is that US real rates are rising while the dollar is weakening. Normally higher real rates attract inflows into dollar assets and lift the dollar; that is not happening, which suggests unfavourable investor appetite for dollar assets and argues for watching or avoiding the dollar.
Далее

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 22, 2026, features Lisa Abramowicz, Tracy Alloway discussing U.S. Long-End Treasuries, UUP. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lisa Abramowicz, Tracy Alloway  · Tickers: U.S. Long-End Treasuries, UUP