Calls
6
#1493
Alpha Score 18.3
Tom Keene
Host, Bloomberg Surveillance
Win Rate
33.3%
return
-5.9%
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Feb 28
$66973.26
-14.4%
Tom Keene notes that Bitcoin is trading down (under the 63k/59k level) as the news breaks. Despite the "digital gold" narrative, Bitcoin often correlates with risk assets (Nasdaq) during initial geopolitical shocks. Liquidity is pulled to cover margin or flee to fiat/sovereign bonds. SHORT/AVOID in the immediate aftermath of the attack. Bitcoin decoupling and acting as a censorship-resistant store of value if the banking system is threatened.
Tom Keene notes that Bitcoin is trading down (under the 63k/59k level) as the news breaks. Despite the "digital gold" narrative, Bitcoin often correlates with risk assets (Nasdaq) during initial geopolitical shocks. Liquidity is pulled to cover margin or flee to fiat/sovereign bonds. SHORT/AVOID in the immediate aftermath of the attack. Bitcoin decoupling and acting as a censorship-resistant store of value if the banking system is threatened.
Crypto Assets
Long
Feb 28
$90.82
-10.0%
Amidst the chaos of the attacks, Tom Keene explicitly states, "When in doubt, follow the Swiss Franc. That will be the meter here." In times of geopolitical crisis involving nuclear powers and major oil chokepoints, capital flees risk assets and moves to traditional safe havens. The Swiss Franc and Gold are the primary beneficiaries of this fear trade. LONG Safe Havens (CHF, Gold, USD, Treasuries). If the conflict is contained quickly, the risk premium will evaporate, reversing these trades.
Amidst the chaos of the attacks, Tom Keene explicitly states, "When in doubt, follow the Swiss Franc. That will be the meter here." In times of geopolitical crisis involving nuclear powers and major oil chokepoints, capital flees risk assets and moves to traditional safe havens. The Swiss Franc and Gold are the primary beneficiaries of this fear trade. LONG Safe Havens (CHF, Gold, USD, Treasuries). If the conflict is contained quickly, the risk premium will evaporate, reversing these trades.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Feb 28
$27.08
+4.8%
Amidst the chaos of the attacks, Tom Keene explicitly states, "When in doubt, follow the Swiss Franc. That will be the meter here." In times of geopolitical crisis involving nuclear powers and major oil chokepoints, capital flees risk assets and moves to traditional safe havens. The Swiss Franc and Gold are the primary beneficiaries of this fear trade. LONG Safe Havens (CHF, Gold, USD, Treasuries). If the conflict is contained quickly, the risk premium will evaporate, reversing these trades.
Amidst the chaos of the attacks, Tom Keene explicitly states, "When in doubt, follow the Swiss Franc. That will be the meter here." In times of geopolitical crisis involving nuclear powers and major oil chokepoints, capital flees risk assets and moves to traditional safe havens. The Swiss Franc and Gold are the primary beneficiaries of this fear trade. LONG Safe Havens (CHF, Gold, USD, Treasuries). If the conflict is contained quickly, the risk premium will evaporate, reversing these trades.
FX & Currencies
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Tom Keene has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #1493 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: DXY, BTC, GOLD.
Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology
