US30Y US 30-Year Treasury Yield Загрузка... : Бычьи и медвежьи мнения аналитиков
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Лента
17:11
01 авг
01 авг
The author argues that historically low interest rates are abnormal and that the 30-year.
The author argues that historically low interest rates are abnormal and that the 30-year Treasury yield belongs at 6-7%, implying a bearish bond outlook but without an explicit position or trade call.
Низ.
06:45
22 июн
22 июн
Рост доходности казначейских облигаций США приостановит ралли на фондовом рынке.
Доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций США приближается к 5%, что станет сдерживающим фактором для ралли на фондовом рынке. Цены на нефть вряд ли упадут значительно ниже 80 долларов, что не позволит инфляционным ожиданиям существенно снизиться, а резкое повышение прогнозов ФРС по базовому индексу PCE способствует росту доходности.
Сред.
09:53
20 мая
20 мая
Long-end U.S. Treasuries are attractive but wait.
30-year U.S. Treasury yields have reached levels not seen since the Global Financial Crisis, making the long end increasingly attractive. However, we are patient and not yet buying, monitoring for further fiscal and inflation dynamics. The setup is worth watching for a potential entry point.
Сред.
15:57
18 мая
18 мая
30-year yields headed well above 5%.
The 30-year US Treasury yield has broken above 5% and is likely to continue significantly higher, potentially toward 6%, driven by a strong economy that precludes Fed rate cuts (and could lead to hikes), a shift in foreign demand from price-insensitive buyers (e.g., Brazil, India, China) to more price-sensitive financial centers, and no technical anchor above 5% similar to the 2023 transition from 4% to 5%. The bond market remains vulnerable to further sell-offs.
Выс.
14:35
28 апр
28 апр
Long-term yields too low, need higher
The long end of the U.S. yield curve is too low given term premium, inflation premium, and growth premium; interest rates need to go higher. This implies selling long-dated bonds.
Выс.
11:01
20 мар
20 мар
A user (u/SanchoVilla91) noted with concern that the 30-year Treasury yield is "about to hit 5." This implies rising long-term interest rates. Rising bond yields are typically bearish for equities and the broader economy, as they increase borrowing costs and signal inflation or risk-off sentiment. The user's tone suggests this is a negative economic indicator. The trade is to short 30-year Treasury bonds (e.g., via futures or inverse ETFs), betting that yields will continue to rise past the 5% mark due to economic instability and inflationary pressures from the geopolitical crisis. In a severe "flight to safety" scenario, investors might rush into US Treasuries, pushing yields down (and bond prices up), which would work against this trade.
Низ.
23:55
13 дек
13 дек
1. THE FACT: Conventional wisdom suggests interest rates are heading lower.
1. THE FACT: Conventional wisdom suggests interest rates are heading lower, but charts tell a different story. The trend of the quarterly chart of US30Y (price inverted) is up. An inverse H&S pattern is forming on the daily chart.
2. THE BRIDGE: An inverted price chart of US30Y trending up implies bond yields are rising, meaning bond prices are falling. The inverse H&S pattern on the daily chart could lead to further declines in bond prices (and thus higher yields).
3. THE VERDICT: Short US30Y (implying higher interest rates).
Выс.
Об аналитическом покрытии US30Y
Buzzberg отслеживает US30Y (US 30-Year Treasury Yield) в 3 источниках. Бычьих сигналов: 2, медвежьих: 2, от 7 аналитиков. Сентимент разделён поровну. Всего отслеживается 7 торговых идей. За последние 7 дней: наблюдение: 1. Последние спикеры: Peter L. Brandt, Ven Ram, Rufaro.