#786 Alpha Score 1.4

Peter L. Brandt

Commodity trader / author
@PeterLBrandt · tracked since Nov 2025
786
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 1.4
Calls 32 1418 Posts tracked · 7.2/day
Calls
7d 2
30d 3
90d 12
Best Calls
USO long +48.9%
BTC short +15.0%
SCHA long +10.6%
Worst Calls
XMR long -51.2%
LULU long -42.6%
BTC long -31.8%
Most Mentioned
SILVER ×11
BTC ×9
BNO ×9
Recent Calls
DBA short 6 days ago
GLD short 6 days ago
USO short 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 39% Long 25 Short 7
Win Rate
7d 64%
30d 46%
90d 37%
Average Return -6.6% Long Return -9.1% Short Return +2.0%
Average Return
7d +0.4%
30d +1.4%
90d -5.7%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Dec 26
$25.97
-22.8%
1. THE FACT: If we were to think "log" scale, then the move in Silver is in its infancy. PSLV is my choice. 2. THE BRIDGE: Viewing Silver's price action on a logarithmic scale suggests the current rally is just beginning, implying significant long-term upside. PSLV is a recommended vehicle. 3. THE VERDICT: Long PSLV (Silver) for a long-term move.
1. THE FACT: If we were to think "log" scale, then the move in Silver is in its infancy. PSLV is my choice. 2. THE BRIDGE: Viewing Silver's price action on a logarithmic scale suggests the current rally is just beginning, implying significant long-term upside. PSLV is a recommended vehicle. 3. THE VERDICT: Long PSLV (Silver) for a long-term move.
Other
Long
Mar 03
$90.20
+48.9%
A long position on crude oil is warranted as prices are at the mid-point of a 20-year range, with a potential target of $150 within the next couple of years.
A long position on crude oil is warranted as prices are at the mid-point of a 20-year range, with a potential target of $150 within the next couple of years.
Energy
Long
Nov 27
$90429.90
-31.8%
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt tells crypto traders not to despair and states there are two coins he thinks could do quite well in the months to come. 2. THE BRIDGE: This indicates a bullish outlook on specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies, suggesting potential for significant gains. 3. THE VERDICT: Long specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies that Peter Brandt believes will perform well.
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt tells crypto traders not to despair and states there are two coins he thinks could do quite well in the months to come. 2. THE BRIDGE: This indicates a bullish outlook on specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies, suggesting potential for significant gains. 3. THE VERDICT: Long specific, unnamed cryptocurrencies that Peter Brandt believes will perform well.
Crypto
Long
Feb 20
$468.70
-20.1%
The new all-time high weekly close for Gold is a significant technical breakout, suggesting the uptrend will continue and that short positions are vulnerable.
The new all-time high weekly close for Gold is a significant technical breakout, suggesting the uptrend will continue and that short positions are vulnerable.
Macro
Long
Mar 03
$27.46
+2.1%
The author is signaling a strong bullish conviction on the US Dollar, likely based on a technical chart pattern indicating continued strength.
The author is signaling a strong bullish conviction on the US Dollar, likely based on a technical chart pattern indicating continued strength.
Macro
Short
Jan 12
$87.31
+2.8%
1. THE FACT: Most U.S. speculators are betting on either lower or unchanged rates ahead. The speaker is willing to take the other side of that bet, staking money on higher rates, especially on the long side of the yield curve. 2. THE BRIDGE: A contrarian view against the majority of speculators, betting on higher long-term interest rates. This implies a short position in long-term bonds (ZB_F) or a long position in instruments that benefit from rising rates (e.g., short TLT, or direct long on rates). 3. THE VERDICT: Contrarian long position on higher long-term U.S. interest rates.
1. THE FACT: Most U.S. speculators are betting on either lower or unchanged rates ahead. The speaker is willing to take the other side of that bet, staking money on higher rates, especially on the long side of the yield curve. 2. THE BRIDGE: A contrarian view against the majority of speculators, betting on higher long-term interest rates. This implies a short position in long-term bonds (ZB_F) or a long position in instruments that benefit from rising rates (e.g., short TLT, or direct long on rates). 3. THE VERDICT: Contrarian long position on higher long-term U.S. interest rates.
Macro
Long
Jan 05
$156.26
-26.2%
1. THE FACT: $BABA is set for a breakout from a falling wedge. 2. THE BRIDGE: A falling wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting potential for an upward price movement after a period of decline. 3. THE VERDICT: Long BABA based on a bullish chart pattern.
1. THE FACT: $BABA is set for a breakout from a falling wedge. 2. THE BRIDGE: A falling wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting potential for an upward price movement after a period of decline. 3. THE VERDICT: Long BABA based on a bullish chart pattern.
Consumer
Short
Jun 05
$26.41
+0.3%
Short agricultural commodities ETF as seasonal patterns favor a top in corn and beans, no weather catalyst is present to sustain the bull case, and the recent crowded "BUY BUY BUY" consensus from retail/newcomer accounts is a classic contrarian fade signal per a 50-year veteran.
Short agricultural commodities ETF as seasonal patterns favor a top in corn and beans, no weather catalyst is present to sustain the bull case, and the recent crowded "BUY BUY BUY" consensus from retail/newcomer accounts is a classic contrarian fade signal per a 50-year veteran.
Other
Short
Jun 05
$399.31
+6.2%
Short gold as PeterLBrandt β€” a well-known technical analyst β€” issues an explicit bearish call targeting the lowest closing price of 2026, implying meaningful downside from current levels based on chart structure.
Short gold as PeterLBrandt β€” a well-known technical analyst β€” issues an explicit bearish call targeting the lowest closing price of 2026, implying meaningful downside from current levels based on chart structure.
Macro
Short
May 25
$140.92
+4.7%
Short crude oil based on completed rising wedge pattern and gap down, indicating bearish technical breakdown despite potential near-term political noise.
Short crude oil based on completed rising wedge pattern and gap down, indicating bearish technical breakdown despite potential near-term political noise.
Energy
Long
May 10
$68.10
-5.1%
Peter Brandt endorses Aksel Kibar's bullish chart analysis on EEM, expecting further upside in emerging markets.
Peter Brandt endorses Aksel Kibar's bullish chart analysis on EEM, expecting further upside in emerging markets.
Macro
Long
Apr 30
$34.83
+5.5%
Long Yen based on historical Plaza Accord precedent, unfilled gaps, and completed H&S bottom pattern, indicating potential sustained upside against USD.
Long Yen based on historical Plaza Accord precedent, unfilled gaps, and completed H&S bottom pattern, indicating potential sustained upside against USD.
Macro
Short
Apr 29
$709.56
-2.2%
Sell SPY into strength due to personal risk management and expectation of a lost decade, implying bearish view on broad equity market.
Sell SPY into strength due to personal risk management and expectation of a lost decade, implying bearish view on broad equity market.
Macro
Long
Apr 27
$18.49
-7.7%
Peter Brandt outlines three ways to play the ongoing bull market in U.S. grain prices, signaling a sustained bullish outlook for corn, soybeans, and rapeseed.
Peter Brandt outlines three ways to play the ongoing bull market in U.S. grain prices, signaling a sustained bullish outlook for corn, soybeans, and rapeseed.
Other
Long
Apr 22
$655.06
+5.9%
Buy QQQ because a rare second V-extended bottom pattern in the Nasdaq within one year signals a bullish reversal, with a defined initial price target.
Buy QQQ because a rare second V-extended bottom pattern in the Nasdaq within one year signals a bullish reversal, with a defined initial price target.
Macro
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