ARS Argentine Peso Loading... : Bullish and Bearish Analyst Opinions

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21:30
Aug 13
José Carlos Carvalho Sócio e estrategista da Vinicas Market Makers
Avoid peso; real rates deeply negative
Com inflação esperada de 30% em 2026 e 22% no ano seguinte, juro básico de 20% e depósitos bancários ao redor de 15%, a taxa real em pesos é fortemente negativa. Por isso, poupar em peso destrói poder de compra e os argentinos preferem dólar. José Carlos cita o histórico de calotes e de tentativas fracassadas de usar juro real negativo para sustentar que a moeda local deve continuar sendo evitada.
ARS 1ST
HIGH
19:49
Dec 24
1. THE FACT: Argentina is experiencing "Triple-digit GDP growth" composed of "1% real growth +.
1. THE FACT: Argentina is experiencing "Triple-digit GDP growth" composed of "1% real growth + 99% inflation," with "Chronic deficits help accelerate the process." 2. THE BRIDGE: This scenario describes hyperinflation and a rapidly devaluing currency, despite nominal GDP growth. Chronic deficits further exacerbate the problem, indicating a fundamentally unstable economic environment. 3. THE VERDICT: Short Argentina (or its currency, ARS) due to hyperinflation, minimal real growth, and chronic deficits.
ARS 1ST
HIGH

About ARS Analyst Coverage

Buzzberg tracks ARS (Argentine Peso) across 2 sources. 0 bullish vs 0 bearish calls from 2 analysts. Sentiment: evenly split. 2 total trade ideas tracked. Latest voices: José Carlos Carvalho, @burggrabenh.