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15:35
Apr 16
@finphysnerd
@stoked_on_waves It looks choppy, feel like it's running out of momentum. You can get about 5% on 5% otm ones so you get a bit of upside pro…
15:20
Apr 16
@finphysnerd
And it just went limit up, how good am I🙄
15:14
Apr 16
@finphysnerd
Sold a 1dte covered put on $CAR. This could go bad, we'll see.
13:50
Apr 16
@finphysnerd
Stock I am trying to build a large position in went up 5% today on nothing. Ugh
11:43
Apr 16
@finphysnerd
@Kreuzmann13 It's pretty rough. I have a small position in $ANY if you've checked them out. Neat lil business.
03:23
Apr 16
@finphysnerd
@bowtiedstocks About 200% gross, don't have exact numbers for net but probably around 20-40% if I had to guess
00:25
Apr 16
@finphysnerd
@AndrewRangeley @ToluCola Id love to hear him address the growth of prediction markets as competition. I'm pretty bearish $DKNG but would lo…
DKNG
MED
00:23
Apr 16
@finphysnerd
@lingams @BerkelKip Correct. I'm based in Australia where I get the foreign income tax offset, so I don't have to worry about that for US st…
23:38
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@TraderOver1 I've been managing some external money for the last 6 months ish.
23:37
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@BerkelKip I love the way the CEO talks. And it's not just Karp/Musk style pretending to be a straight shooter. There's real substance behin…
23:36
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@SW_Resurgo I would be covered by then. I'm pretty quick to cover shorts that move against me. Also the .5% ones are my low risk ones, my hi…
17:21
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@SW_Resurgo My largest individual short position is .5%, I'm very diversified. Just today everything is up. And it's less about moving the n…
15:26
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
More stressful. I think I handled it alright, but with a lot of room for improvement.
15:26
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
This recent drawdown was my first time experiencing a drawdown a. Managing a much larger amount of money and b. Managing a significantly lev…
14:16
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@cowboybeeshop Haha nah looked at my short book.
13:53
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
Welcome back to shitco land, where all of the worst stocks in the world get bid up relentlessly. I've missed it here so much /s
12:19
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@shravanrayhaan Founder is still around on the board and owns 7% of the company. CEO owns a reasonable chunk of shares. Haven't looked at co…
11:49
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
I should add that this is both an installed based and a hardware/software business which makes it very attractive. You pay for the hardware,…
11:48
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
New bone marrow product coming to market soon. No position but have added it to my watchlist and will probably pick up some if it continues …
11:48
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
With the software selloff, along with the healthtech selloff in sweden and broader competitive fears the company has sold down to a reasonab…
11:48
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
An interesting stock I've stumbled upon is Cellavision $CEVI.st. The company creates blood tests that use AI to analyse the results. They ha…
11:26
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@JasonPhill40479 Interesting, I really worry about the capital allocation here. A lot of cash built up on the balance sheet. Dirt cheap thou…
11:22
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@JasonPhill40479 It looks cheap, but gives value trap vibes. What's the catalyst?
10:20
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
$MDV is probably my highest conviction position in my portfolio rn. However due to liquidity constraints I can't size it up as large as I wo…
MDV
HIGH
06:38
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@ValinClub This is a super interesting idea. An otherwise very reasonably priced stock as well.
04:29
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
@stkmstr22 I haven't looked too closely at $UPS, but $AMZN has a far better track record of innovation and integrating new technology.
01:45
Apr 15
@finphysnerd
$AMZN makes a lot of sense to me. AWS continues to dominate, while they are an obvious robotics and AI beneficiary all over the company. I t…
AMZN
HIGH
03:30
Apr 14
@finphysnerd
@MikeFritzell This plus fertiliser shortages will potentially lead to a brutal harvest this year.
03:20
Apr 14
@finphysnerd
@CDInewsletter The discount retailer space in Mexico is seeing a lot of competition atm compared to the US. A few different companies invest…
WMT
MED
02:30
Apr 14
@finphysnerd
@david_katunaric To be fair, in 2020 cash was yielding like .5% and in 2023 it was yielding 4%, so it's not actually that unreasonable a tak…
07:35
Apr 13
@finphysnerd
Link in bio
07:34
Apr 13
@finphysnerd
large discount to NAV and a 10% underlying earnings yield in spite of long, inflation protected leases, good tenants and stable cash flows. …
07:34
Apr 13
@finphysnerd
New writeup on the other website - Modiv Industrial: “Too F***ing Cheap” I look at $MDV, an underfollowed small cap in the beaten down REIT…
MDV
MED
06:20
Apr 13
@finphysnerd
@MikeFritzell People do the same with Australia. There's a lot of doomerism and complaining (with varying degrees of validity), but in reali…
09:27
Apr 12
@finphysnerd
@SebKrog Having that kind of experience early to shake your confidence is only a good thing. I had a similar experience in 2023. Building th…
03:08
Apr 12
@finphysnerd
@orrdavid It's a stain. I don't think that there's an industry I despise more. https://t.co/Mn9MFhdxmL
15:44
Apr 08
@finphysnerd
Ended up not buying $WEAT but have opened up a 2% long in $CANE.
14:09
Apr 08
@finphysnerd
Update. Was overhedged (hindsight is great), have trimmed a lot of hedges and am now modestly long, with a focus on quality and durable stuf…
13:40
Apr 08
@finphysnerd
I kind of wanna go long $WEAT and $CANE (Wheat and sugar futures). Thesis is that Aussie harvest gets stuffed by lack of fertiliser, and Bra…
02:24
Apr 08
@finphysnerd
Am shorting $QLYS, $RPD and $TENB, potentially going to size this one up a bit. What I like about this short is that U like a lot of the oth…
23:56
Apr 07
@finphysnerd
Ouch, got this one very wrong.
15:54
Apr 07
@finphysnerd
Tried Claude properly recently, previously had just been using Chatgpt or Gemini. Wow Claude was light years better than both, for the finan…
13:26
Apr 07
@finphysnerd
Am long a fair amount (5%) of oil going into today. I think it's an asymmetric bet here. Best case scenario I think is Trump delays, I don't…
USO
MED
03:29
Apr 07
@finphysnerd
I'm a bit late to this one but Norbit ASA $NORBT is interesting. They make ocean sonar and defence communication equipment and are currently…
03:29
Apr 07
@finphysnerd
earnings at double digits. Need to do more work qualitatively but they look very cheap on the numbers.
12:50
Apr 02
@finphysnerd
Added more Halyk Bank $HSBK here. Kazakhstan economy is a direct oil beneficiary. Russia risk is way overblown since Ukraine is kicking thei…
12:14
Apr 02
@finphysnerd
Man I was so close to taking my hedges off and following the market. This one was brain and logic coming out over gut. I actually added yest…
04:13
Apr 01
@finphysnerd
Add $REXR to the list of REITs I like here. Also am shorting a bit of $WELL. Maybe I'm missing something, but the puke that's happened in hi…
REXR WELL
02:14
Apr 01
@finphysnerd
price underperformance has them at the cheapest valuation in recent history for what is a super high quality, defensive stock. https://t.co/…
02:14
Apr 01
@finphysnerd
I really like the look of Steris $STE. Leaders in medical sterilisation services with 75% of their revenue from services with an installed b…
STE