Daily Alpha · Reddit
· Midday Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Reddit argued over whether Alphabet's drop is a buying chance, alongside standalone theses on SoFi and FTAI and a short case on eHealth.
Themes on this desk
Alphabet dip debate
r/wallstreetbets split between a commenter citing Alphabet's forward P/E of 20-22 as below its historical average and a 200-share holder expecting the stock to stay down until capex slows; an r/stocks post notes search fell under 50% of rev
Highest engagement
by score · day changer/AMD_Stock bull cites CPU growth, GPU momentum and the MI500 design
The author argues CPU volume and ASP growth, GPU momentum, the MI500 design and the near-term EPS estimate give AMD a valuation cushion.
So buy companies that can outrun CPI like AMD CPU volume x ASP going gangbusters GPU on fire MI500 in
The author frames AMD as a company that can outrun CPI.
Source →r/wallstreetbets commenter calls Caterpillar's drop a massive overreaction
The commenter says the drop seems like a massive overreaction and is thinking of starting a position.
CAT seems like a massive overreaction. Thinking of starting a position now.
The commenter treats the drop as an entry point.
Source →r/ValueInvesting post says 45% SoFi EPS growth through 2030 is possible
The author argues marketing spend can fall from 32% to 23% of revenue through cross-sell and revenue growth.
SoFi: The Earnings Compounder I posted this in a r/SoFiInvest and got a lot of positive feedback.
The case depends on marketing spend falling as a share of revenue.
Watch SoFi's marketing spend as a share of revenue.
Source →FTAI bull cites a buyback doubled to $1 billion after a solid Q3
The author notes maintained 2026-2027 guidance, a Mod-1 testing pass and a buyback doubled to $1 billion including a $500 million accelerated repurchase, targeting $200 by year end.
FTAI !banbet FTAI 200 9w FTAI Q3 was solid.
Capital return and maintained guidance anchor the author's case.
Watch Whether FTAI reaches the author's $200 year-end target.
Source →r/smallcaps short thesis sees eHealth falling toward $0.40
The author argues eHealth's Q4 strategy is operationally flawed and that cash burn and a 2027 debt maturity overwhelm a weak sales operation.
$EHTH THESIS $EHTH Make no mistake!!
The thesis hinges on cash burn ahead of the 2027 debt maturity.
Watch eHealth's 2027 debt maturity.
Source →Most argued
by comments per upvoter/IndianStockMarket post asks what could break the Jio growth story
The author asks whether subscriber growth converts into ARPU, cash flow and margins amid capex, competition and regulation.
What could go wrong with the Jio growth story? Every growth story has assumptions behind it.
These are the conversion tests for the Jio growth case.
Watch Jio's ARPU, cash flow and margins.
Source →Bausch Health bull says Q3 beats, debt paydown and buybacks are not priced in
The author argues the flat share price ignores Q3 earnings beats, debt paydown and buybacks, and expects a multi-day post-earnings run.
Bausch Health Companies Inc - Q3 Earnings $BHC Bausch Health Companies develops, manufactures, and markets products primarily in the therapeutic
The author sees a gap between results and the share price.
Watch The share-price reaction in the days after Q3 earnings.
Source →r/stocks post maps sector rotations under midterm gridlock or a sweep
The post outlines how different midterm election outcomes could drive sector rotations and cites historical Q4 midterm-year S&P 500 gains, without a committed directional call.
The Midterms Are Days Away: Gridlock vs.
The midterms are days away, per the post.
Watch Midterm election results.
Source →