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Premarket Alpha Midday Alpha Post-Market Alpha

Daily Alpha · Reddit

Reddit flagged NextDC's power-works setback, rising Fed discount-window borrowing and $21 billion of Q3 insider selling.

188threads

Themes on this desk

Tesla into earnings

One r/stocks author argued Tesla's earnings numbers matter more than the flying-car reveal shown before them, while a r/wallstreetbets user is holding a near-full-portfolio Roth IRA Tesla position into earnings.

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r/stocks

NextDC shares collapsed about 40% after Melbourne residents blocked power-pole works and FY27 EBITDA guidance was cut

The author highlights NextDC's roughly 40% share collapse after residents blocked power-pole works, cutting FY27 EBITDA guidance.

Nextlevel NextDC For anyone from the US or any country that is not Australia you need to hear about a

The author presents it as exposing fragility in AI data-centre buildouts.

Watch Progress on NextDC's blocked power works.

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r/ValueInvesting

Banks borrowed $11.04 billion from the Fed's discount window in the week to October 14

Borrowing passed the $10 billion line in a third straight weekly rise and is up 126% since late August.

Banks borrowed $11.04bn from the Fed's emergency window in the week to 14 October, past the $10bn line.

The author flags it as a possible early stress signal for regional banks, though not yet systemic.

Watch Next weekly Fed discount-window borrowing figure.

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r/wallstreetbets

Insiders sold $21 billion of stock in Q3 and bought $923 million

The author analyzes Q3 insider buying and selling data and backtests insider purchases after large drawdowns, flagging BSX and DKS as insider-buy setups.

Insiders dumped $21B of stock in Q3 and bought $923M **"Insiders are selling":** $21.0B sold, $923M bought.

The backtest focuses on insider purchases made after large drawdowns.

Watch BSX and DKS after the flagged insider purchases.

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r/IndianStockMarket

79% of India's MTF equity positions trade below their average price

The post says the MTF book is ₹1.48 lakh crore and warns that most margin-financed equity positions are underwater.

79% of MTF equity positions now trading below their Average price The MTF book is ₹1.48 lakh crore and 79%

The post flags a rising risk of forced margin-call selling.

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r/wallstreetbets

A Reddit user is short 400 Moderna shares from $160 with the stock at $240

The author opened a 400-share Moderna short at $160 and is deeply underwater with the stock at $240.

I shorted Moderna, I’m cooked I opened a short position at $160 for 400 shares it’s at foookhin $240!!!

The author is asking what to do with the losing short.

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r/IndianStockMarket

An author values Cyient DLM at ₹550-700 against a roughly ₹757 price

The provisional fundamental valuation finds Cyient DLM expensive on normalized earnings, but the author says that does not justify an immediate short.

Cyient DLM Analysis: The perfect short candidate **My provisional fundamental valuation for Cyient DLM is ₹550–700 per share, with a

The author separates an overvaluation call from a short trigger.

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r/ValueInvesting

I like Netflix: Entering into value territory

Author argues Netflix looks cheap on earnings growth and low churn but is not yet in, planning to accumulate under $60.

I like Netflix: Entering into value territory I know Netflix is selling off right now, but isn’t this exactly when Source →
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r/ValueInvesting

A cash-flow valuation puts Ulta at about $473 a share against a $603 price

The author values Ulta at about $473 a share on cash flow versus $603 and concludes the stock offers a return below their 8.75% hurdle.

I backed out what Ulta's $603 assumes.

The author flags capex and forward guidance as the swing factors.

Watch Ulta's capex and forward guidance.

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r/AMD_Stock

AMD consolidates near support under a large $550 call wall into earnings

The technical read sees AMD consolidating near support after a rejection at the 50-day EMA, with a large $550 call wall that may cap price.

Technical Analysis for AMD 10/21------Pre-Market I don't hate the consolidation around this specific area here.

The author expects earnings to act as the catalyst.

Watch AMD's earnings and the $550 call wall.

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r/StockMarket

An r/StockMarket author is gradually adding SOXX, AIP, SKHY, SPCX and NBIS

The author remains constructive on the AI trade, reports gradually adding SOXX, AIP, SKHY, SPCX and NBIS, and stays patient on the broad market.

AI Fundamentals Strengthen, but Market Positioning Calls for Patience Yesterday, markets bounced pretty much as expected, with SpaceX earnings being

The author flags META earnings as a catalyst, with options flow leaning bullish.

Watch META earnings.

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