China Starts Hoarding Gold Again, What Happens Next To Price? | Gwen Preston

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 11, 2025 at 03:32  |  32:02  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Gwen Preston — VP Communications, West Red Lake Gold Mines
David Lin — Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News

Summary

Gwen Preston, VP Communications of West Red Lake Gold Mines, discusses why gold has been strong and why she expects support in 2025, focusing on Chinese central bank and Asian/Middle Eastern buying, Western investor risk awareness, and gold's changing correlation with the S&P 500. She also expects more M&A in the gold mining sector, potentially drawing investors to junior miners, and details West Red Lake Gold's pre-feasibility study, funded path to production, and upcoming bulk-sample catalysts.

  • China's central bank resumed gold purchases in December, extending reserve increases.
  • Gwen argues non-Western buyers have been less price-sensitive and are driving gold, while Western investors may add hedges on debt and geopolitical risks.
  • Gold has outperformed the S&P 500, but Gwen says correlation is not causation and does not give a clear relative trade.
  • She expects stronger M&A in gold mining in 2025 as majors and mid-tiers have strong cash flows and balance sheets.
  • Junior gold miners could attract interest if majors or mid-tiers acquire development projects.
  • West Red Lake Gold released a PFS for Madsen with a 7.2-year mine life, about 70,000 oz/year, roughly $70 million average annual free cash flow, and a 25% IRR.
  • WRLG says it is funded to production and expects bulk-sample and reconciliation results as next catalysts.
Ideas
Gwen Preston VP Communications, West Red Lake Gold Mines 4:09
Gold remains supported by non-Western buying.
Gold is likely to stay supported in 2025 because the forces that drove it higher remain in play: the People's Bank of China and other Asian/Middle Eastern buyers have become less price-sensitive and are diversifying away from US dollars, a shift that will take a long time; the Chinese central bank has resumed buying; and Western investors/institutions are increasingly aware of debt, dollar, and geopolitical risks and may add small gold hedges to a tiny market.
Gwen Preston VP Communications, West Red Lake Gold Mines 12:22
Junior gold miners benefit from M&A.
She expects more M&A in the gold mining sector in 2025 as majors and mid-tiers have strong cash flows and balance sheets after a period of conservative balance-sheet repair and non-core divestitures. If majors/mid-tiers start buying development projects or moving down the food chain, investors should become more interested in junior gold equities because those smaller companies become takeover candidates.
Gwen Preston VP Communications, West Red Lake Gold Mines 20:19
WRLG PFS de-risks near-term production.
West Red Lake Gold Mines is transitioning from explorer to producer, and its newly released PFS gives analysts a full discounted cash flow model. The initial Madsen mine plan has a 7.2-year mine life, six years of full production, nearly 70,000 oz/year, average annual free cash flow of about $70 million, and a 25% IRR, using conservative gold prices of $2,200 in the financial model and $1,680 for reserves. The company says it is funded through production via a late-2024 financing and a $35 million debt facility, with only about $44 million remaining to reach cash flow. Management has mine-building experience, costs are based on actual realized costs, and upcoming bulk sample/reconciliation results are the next key catalysts.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published January 11, 2025, features Gwen Preston discussing GLD, GDXJ, WRLG. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Gwen Preston  · Tickers: GLD, GDXJ, WRLG