Hackers Target Hedge Funds, Iran Says Deal Reached with Oman | The Opening Trade 8/6/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 06, 2026 at 11:23  |  1:36:11  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Aneeka — Director of Macroeconomic Research, Wisdom Tree
Luis Costa — Head of Emerging-Market Strategy, Citi
Mark Cudmore — Executive Editor, Bloomberg Live / Macro Strategist
Erik — EMEA Head of Investment Strategy, J.P. Morgan Private Bank
Lizzy Burden — Crypto Reporter, Bloomberg News
Anna Edwards — Anchor, Bloomberg TV (London)

Summary

The episode focuses on an Iran‑Oman deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, easing oil and supporting European equities, while weak Sandisk guidance weighs on chip stocks. Softbank beats profit estimates but raises circular debt concerns. Guests discuss European fiscal‑driven broadening, UK defense spending, a weaker dollar favor EM currencies, a bullish gold view on Fed credibility, and a strong US earnings case for staying long equities.

  • Iran and Oman finalising a temporary shipping route deal through the Strait of Hormuz, pressuring oil below $80.
  • Sandisk and Western Digital weak guidance hits Samsung, SK Hynix and Asia tech, raising near‑term AI demand worries.
  • Softbank beats profit estimates but Vision Fund borrowing against its OpenAI stake raises circular funding questions.
  • Wisdom Tree’s Aneeka sees European equity broadening from multi‑year fiscal stimulus and is buying UK defense on higher spending.
  • Citi’s Luis Costa expects Brent crude to decline to $60, sees EUR/USD upside with the Fed on hold, and is actively buying Egypt and Turkey.
  • Bloomberg’s Mark Cudmore turns bullish on gold after the Fed’s credibility question lowers real yield expectations.
  • J.P. Morgan Private Bank’s Erik favours long US equities, citing seven quarters of double‑digit earnings growth and reasonable valuations.
  • SpaceX multi‑stage lockup unlocks 900M shares; uncertainty over selling pressure but the structure may be replicated by future mega‑IPOs.
Ideas
Aneeka Director of Macroeconomic Research, Wisdom Tree 16:35
European equities broaden on fiscal stimulus.
Clarity on a memorandum of understanding for the Strait of Hormuz is reducing the energy overhang on European equities. Coupled with a €2 trillion multi‑year fiscal spending cycle, this is driving a broadening of earnings away from AI capex into cheaper, under‑owned cyclical sectors such as construction, building materials, defense and supply chains, supporting a value rotation and stronger overall equity performance.
Aneeka Director of Macroeconomic Research, Wisdom Tree 20:07
UK defence stocks benefit from spending.
The move of John Healey, a proven defense advocate, to Chancellor under the new Burnham government puts a defense‑focused decision maker in charge of budgets. This is translating past spending pledges into real execution, with UK defense companies already reporting very strong earnings and expanding backlogs.
Luis Costa Head of Emerging-Market Strategy, Citi 28:47
EUR/USD to rally to 1.17.
The Fed is unlikely to hike at the next FOMC meeting, which will steepen the curve and weaken the dollar. Near‑term, the euro can appreciate from 1.15 to 1.17 against the dollar as rate expectations adjust and risk appetite improves on a Strait of Hormuz deal.
Luis Costa Head of Emerging-Market Strategy, Citi 29:08
Brent oil to decline to $60.
A temporary, partial deal on the Strait of Hormuz will ultimately bring oil prices down towards $60 as the geopolitical risk premium recedes. Both Iran and the US need a deal for financial and political reasons, and the status quo is changing, so the initial bullish reaction on oil will fade.
Luis Costa Head of Emerging-Market Strategy, Citi 31:39
Egypt and Turkey benefit from EM flows.
Global flows are returning to emerging markets, and when sentiment improves on Strait of Hormuz progress, the most sensitive and previously under‑owned parts of EM offer the most upside. Egypt and Turkey are being bought explicitly for that reason, as they are the high‑sensitivity pockets that rally hardest on a deal.
Mark Cudmore Executive Editor, Bloomberg Live / Macro Strategist 42:21
Gold benefits from lower real yields.
The Fed’s loss of credibility last week has lowered expected real yields and weakened the dollar outlook. Historically gold has been driven by the dollar and real yields, so the recent breakout is valid and likely to continue as those macro supports remain in place.
Erik EMEA Head of Investment Strategy, J.P. Morgan Private Bank 56:39
US equities supported by strong earnings.
US equities are delivering a seventh consecutive quarter of double‑digit earnings growth with margin expansion across 10 of 11 S&P 500 sectors. Valuations are near five‑year averages, AI adoption is widening the profitability spread, and the robust earnings delivery makes a healthy long position in the US market very reasonable.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 06, 2026, features Aneeka, Luis Costa, Mark Cudmore, Erik discussing VGK, UKAV, EUR/USD, BNO, TUR, EGPT, GLD, SPY. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Aneeka, Luis Costa, Mark Cudmore, Erik  · Tickers: VGK, UKAV, EUR/USD, BNO, TUR, EGPT, GLD, SPY