Chinese Economy Blows Past Growth Forecasts Despite Mideast War | The China Show 4/16/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  April 16, 2026 at 06:27  |  1:32:58  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Mark Mobius — Founder, Mobius Capital Partners
Jesse Liu — Rivet Capital

Summary

The China Show covers the latest developments in the Chinese economy and global markets, including the potential extension of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire and its impact on oil prices. Key topics include China's Q1 GDP beating expectations, earnings from CATL and TSMC, the rise of Taiwan's stock market, and investment insights from guests on energy, gold, metals, robotics, ETFs, and private credit. The episode also pays tribute to emerging markets investing pioneer Mark Mobius.

  • U.S. and Iran consider extending ceasefire amid Strait of Hormuz tensions.
  • China's Q1 GDP grows 5%, above forecasts, but retail sales miss.
  • CATL reports strong Q1 earnings and lobbies for removal from Pentagon list.
  • Taiwan stock market cap surpasses the U.K., driven by AI boom.
  • JPMorgan discusses growth of active ETFs in Taiwan.
  • HSBC sees ongoing energy price pressure and gold as a strategic asset.
  • ACG Metals CEO bullish on copper and gold, cautious on aluminum.
  • Goldman Sachs emphasizes long-term role of private credit in portfolios.
Trade Ideas
Energy prices to remain high due to supply disruptions.
Supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz closure are causing destruction in the supply of oil, jet fuel, LNG, and fertilizer, which will keep pressure on energy markets and derivatives, keeping prices elevated.
Gold to rise as strategic diversification asset.
Gold has become a strategic asset for diversification, driven by central bank accumulation, and despite recent overcrowding, it should resume an upward trend as a hedge against uncertainty and for portfolio diversification.
Mark Mobius Founder, Mobius Capital Partners 68:18
Invest in emerging markets and commodity companies.
With markets high, investors should keep some cash to take advantage of downturns, and allocate half of the remaining portfolio to emerging markets for growth and half to commodity companies for diversification and upside.
ACG Metals well-positioned for gold and copper boom.
ACG Metals is transitioning from gold production to copper, with low production costs, significant cash on hand, and plans to acquire more gold and copper assets, positioning it to benefit from high metal prices.
Silver to perform strongly on industrial demand.
Silver has strong industrial demand in addition to following gold prices, and it should continue to perform strongly as both a precious and industrial metal.
Copper prices to rise on constrained supply.
Copper supply is constrained by lack of new discoveries and declining existing mines, while demand from AI, data centers, and traditional sectors grows, likely driving prices to $15,000 in a couple of years and $18,000 in five years.
Aluminum faces long-term price pressure.
Aluminum prices may see short-term support from Strait of Hormuz disruptions, but in the long term, idle capacity in China and state control over production will keep prices under pressure.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published April 16, 2026, features Patrick George, Mark Mobius, Artem Volynets discussing WTI, LNG, CF, CRAK, GOLD, EEM, XME, ACG Metals, SILVER, COPPER, JJU. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Patrick George, Mark Mobius, Artem Volynets  · Tickers: WTI, LNG, CF, CRAK, GOLD, EEM, XME, ACG Metals, SILVER, COPPER, JJU