[26.01.12. 오후 방송 전체보기] 스페이스X 상장, 왜 ‘우주 산업의 판’이 바뀌나

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 12, 2026 at 13:09  |  6:28:06  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Lee Jae-kyu — PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities
Park Geun-hyung — Director
Kim Jang-yeol — Reporter, The Bell
Ryu Jong-hoon — Reporter
Park Kwang-nam — Team Lead, Mirae Asset Securities Research Center
Kim Joon-song — CEO

Summary

The episode covers the January 12, 2026 KOSPI close at a record 4,624, CES 2026 humanoid and physical AI developments, a Daily Hint on defense, nuclear, power equipment, memory chips, construction machinery and China-reopening themes, a deep interview on SpaceX's IPO and the space industry, and a macro interview forecasting dollar strength and higher USD/KRW. Guests broadly favor KOSPI 5,000, memory semiconductors, defense, nuclear/power equipment, shipbuilding, and selected construction and China-reopening names. The FX interview argues the dollar and USD/KRW will stay strong, with USD/KRW seen at 1,550-1,600.

  • KOSPI closed at a record 4,624 with rotation into non-semiconductor large caps; guests see 5,000 as possible.
  • CES 2026 focused on physical AI and humanoids; Hyundai Motor and Atlas drew attention while LG's home robot demo disappointed.
  • Daily Hint favored memory semiconductors, defense, nuclear/power equipment, shipbuilding, construction machinery, and China-reopening content and cosmetics themes.
  • Batteries, petrochemicals, and space valuations were treated as attractive but uncertain or stretched.
  • SpaceX's expected IPO was framed as a benchmark that could re-rate the wider space industry.
  • Kim Jun-song forecast a stronger dollar, USD/KRW at 1,550-1,600, and gradual USD/JPY upside on capital outflows and rate differentials.
  • The episode also included non-investment segments on exercise and children's brain development.
Ideas
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 5:59
KOSPI large-cap laggards attract rotation flows.
Money is rotating from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix into lagging KOSPI large caps like Hyundai Motor, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, Hanwha Aerospace, and Doosan Enerbility as investors who missed semiconductors buy. Short-term momentum can continue.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 8:08
If confused, buy the index.
If uncertain, buy the index. Structural shipbuilding and defense plus a balanced barbell portfolio justify broad KOSPI exposure rather than chasing Samsung Electronics and SK hynix.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 8:58
Defense is structural; buy pullbacks.
Defense is a structural growth area due to geopolitical conflict and Trump-driven momentum. Buy on pullbacks and keep it in a balanced portfolio.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 8:58
Shipbuilding structural change supports buy-on-dips.
Shipbuilding is structurally changing, supported by US-Korea cooperation and defense demand. Buy on pullbacks and keep exposure.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 10:25
Buy nuclear and power equipment dips.
Include nuclear and transformer/power equipment on pullbacks as part of a balanced portfolio. Structural energy demand supports the group.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 33:58
KOSPI upside to 5,000 on cheap valuation.
KOSPI is still cheap on forward P/E, around 10x versus a 10-year average of 10.5x and developed-market average of 15x. Samsung Electronics and SK hynix earnings upgrades imply about 15% index upside to roughly 4,700, and 5,000 is possible.
Lee Jae-kyu PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities 62:10
Buy Alteogen dips; prefer Samsung Biologics, Celltrion.
Bio remains positive. UBS's sell report on Alteogen looks overdone; the company's explanation on SC conversion rate is more persuasive, so Alteogen is a buy on dips. However Samsung Biologics and Celltrion may be more attractive because they lagged last year.
Ryu Jong-hoon Reporter 81:11
Hyundai could lead humanoid mass production.
Hyundai Motor's Boston Dynamics Atlas is mass-production ready with Google DeepMind AI, and Hyundai plans 2028 mass production and 2030 factory deployment. Hyundai could become the TSMC of humanoid manufacturing, a much bigger value than autos.
Battery rebound attractive but uncertain.
Battery stocks fell to attractive levels and rebounded on low-price buying, but Q4/Q1 earnings and 2026 guidance uncertainty limit conviction.
Deposits and earnings support KOSPI 5,000.
Customer deposits near 93 trillion won and foreign selling absorbed by individuals and institutions make the market resilient. KOSPI 5,000 in the first half has high visibility despite sector rotation.
Shipbuilding gains from defense and US ties.
Shipbuilding benefits from US-Korea cooperation, defense momentum, and a potential 60 trillion won Canadian submarine order. Hanwha Ocean, Samsung Heavy, and HD Hyundai Heavy are positive.
AI grid spending lifts power equipment.
AI data center and grid investment boost transformer and power equipment demand. Hyosung Heavy has ultra-high-voltage transformer strength and a large order backlog; HD Hyundai Electric and LS Electric also benefit.
Robot components hot; watch pullbacks.
CES physical AI and Boston Dynamics IPO expectations are driving robot component multiples, including Mando and actuator/sensor makers. After a sharp rally, watch for pullbacks.
JPM healthcare dip is buying opportunity.
JPMorgan Healthcare Conference pre-rally often fades into the event, and this pullback in Korean biotech and healthcare is a buying opportunity because historically the dip around JPM was a low.
Memory shortage drives long upcycle.
Memory is being re-rated versus CSP/XPU. Wells Fargo sees a super memory cycle to first half 2027, and Q1 DRAM/NAND ASP may jump 40-50% versus consensus, pointing to continued upside for Samsung Electronics and SK hynix.
Defense budgets rise on geopolitical risk.
Geopolitical conflicts and Iran tensions push countries to raise defense budgets. JP Morgan prefers Hanwha Aerospace, Korea Aerospace Industries, Hyundai Rotem, and LIG Nex1 into earnings.
AI power demand lifts nuclear names.
Meta's 6.6GW nuclear contracts, AI power demand, US nuclear expansion, and SMR policy support Korean nuclear names with cheap construction and technology. Doosan Enerbility, Hyundai E&C, LS Electric, and Hyosung Heavy are highlighted.
Space stocks hot but stretched; watch.
SpaceX Starlink approvals and IPO expectations have driven Korean space and aerospace stocks. Momentum is strong but valuations are stretched after sharp gains, so watch rather than chase.
Petrochemical recovery is early and uneven.
Synthetic rubber cycle recovery, NCC restructuring, BD price spikes, and MB latex turnaround could help petrochemicals, but earnings remain weak and only some names benefit.
Reconstruction and AI lift construction machinery.
Ukraine reconstruction, AI data centers, energy projects, and supply-chain reshoring drive construction equipment demand. LS Securities sees earnings and valuation rising. HD Hyundai Construction Equipment, Doosan Bobcat, and Hyundai E&C are beneficiaries.
China content thaw helps Korean media.
China's reopening to Korean content, including a My Mister remake on Youku and a Korea-China duet agreement, signals a gradual thaw that benefits Korean content and media.
Medical tourism boom lifts cosmetics/beauty devices.
Record medical tourism and 108% year-over-year growth in skin-care tourism spending show strong inbound demand. The recent pullback in cosmetics and beauty-device stocks is an opportunity.
China tax change may aid Korean solar/battery.
China's removal of export tax rebates on solar and battery products could provide a reflexive benefit to Korean solar and battery names.
Park Kwang-nam Team Lead, Mirae Asset Securities Research Center 190:34
SpaceX IPO re-rates space industry.
SpaceX's expected IPO will provide a valuation benchmark and re-rate the space industry. Falling launch costs open downstream satellite internet, space manufacturing, and defense-driven demand.
Dollar strength beats weak-dollar consensus.
Consensus expects a weak dollar, but US investment inflows from AI capex and Trump-era onshoring, stronger US growth versus emerging markets, and already-priced Fed cuts argue the dollar will stay strong.
Rate gap supports gradual USD/JPY rise.
The US-Japan rate differential remains wide even as Japan yields rise. The BOJ will be cautious, so USD/JPY likely grinds higher rather than reversing.
Capital outflows push USD/KRW higher.
Structural Korean capital outflows from individuals, emigration, corporates, and government US investment commitments, plus limited FX borrowing and ineffective intervention, should keep USD/KRW elevated. Forecast is 1,550-1,600 with 1,430 as floor.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published January 12, 2026, features Lee Jae-kyu, Kim Jang-yeol, Ryu Jong-hoon, Park Geun-hyung, Park Kwang-nam, Kim Joon-song discussing 005380.KS, 329180.KS, 079550.KS, 012450.KS, 034020.KS, EWY, Korean defense sector, Korean shipbuilding sector, URA, Power equipment/transformers, 196170.KQ, 207940.KS, 068270.KS, KARS, 042660.KS, 010140.KS, 267260.KS, 204320.KS, Robot components (actuators/sensors), Korean healthcare/biotech sector, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SMH, 047810.KS, Hyundai Rotem, 064350.KS, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, Korean space/aerospace sector, KOREAN PETROCHEMICAL SECTOR, HD Hyundai Construction Equipment, Doosan Bobcat, Hyundai E&C, KOREAN CONTENT/MEDIA SECTOR, KOREAN COSMETICS/BEAUTY DEVICES SECTOR, KOREAN SOLAR/BATTERY SECTOR, SPACE, DXY, USD/JPY, USD/KRW. 27 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Jae-kyu, Kim Jang-yeol, Ryu Jong-hoon, Park Geun-hyung, Park Kwang-nam, Kim Joon-song  · Tickers: 005380.KS, 329180.KS, 079550.KS, 012450.KS, 034020.KS, EWY, Korean defense sector, Korean shipbuilding sector, URA, Power equipment/transformers, 196170.KQ, 207940.KS, 068270.KS, KARS, 042660.KS, 010140.KS, 267260.KS, 204320.KS, Robot components (actuators/sensors), Korean healthcare/biotech sector, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SMH, 047810.KS, Hyundai Rotem, 064350.KS, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, Korean space/aerospace sector, KOREAN PETROCHEMICAL SECTOR, HD Hyundai Construction Equipment, Doosan Bobcat, Hyundai E&C, KOREAN CONTENT/MEDIA SECTOR, KOREAN COSMETICS/BEAUTY DEVICES SECTOR, KOREAN SOLAR/BATTERY SECTOR, SPACE, DXY, USD/JPY, USD/KRW