What Will Andy Burnham Do Next As UK Prime Minister? | The Pulse 7/20/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 20, 2026 at 12:17  |  48:54  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Isabelle Mateos y Lago — Group Chief Economist, BNP Paribas
Kelly Ortberg — CEO, Boeing
Neil — CFO, Ryanair
Matt Bloxham — Head of Research, The Block
Paul Wallace — Team Leader/Senior Editor, Bloomberg

Summary

The episode covers Andy Burnham becoming UK prime minister amid domestic challenges, the US-Iran conflict driving energy price risks, Boeing's CEO discussing the company's recovery and timeline for a next-generation aircraft, Ryanair's CFO highlighting fuel hedging advantages and expected capacity exits, and Bloomberg Intelligence analyzing the rapid rise of competitive open-source Chinese AI models from Alibaba and Moonshot that threaten US hyperscalers' market share.

  • Andy Burnham set to become UK PM with focus on fiscal rules, energy costs, and bond market scrutiny.
  • US-Iran conflict escalates, Strait of Hormuz traffic plunges, driving diesel and jet fuel spreads to record highs.
  • BNP Paribas chief economist warns of energy price spikes and flags a super cycle in defense, aerospace, and AI infrastructure.
  • Boeing CEO says company is turning the corner, ramping production, but next-generation aircraft unlikely until late next decade.
  • Ryanair CFO notes fuel hedging advantage, expects capacity exits and market share gains as oil spikes.
  • Alibaba and Moonshot release AI models near Anthropic's performance, open-source and 90% cheaper, raising questions for US hyperscalers.
Ideas
Isabelle Mateos y Lago Group Chief Economist, BNP Paribas 5:56
Energy prices poised to spike higher
Diesel and jet fuel spreads are at record highs, reflecting physical market tightness and depleted inventories. With no clear de-escalation path in the US-Iran conflict, energy prices are at significant risk of moving much higher to destroy demand, tightening markets further.
Kelly Ortberg CEO, Boeing 8:04
Boeing recovering on strong demand, backlog
Boeing is turning the corner, ramping up production on 737 and 787 lines, with very strong market demand and record backlogs. Execution on deliveries and improving financials will support the recovery.
Isabelle Mateos y Lago Group Chief Economist, BNP Paribas 18:34
Super cycle in defense, aerospace, AI
A broad-based super cycle is underway in AI, defense, aerospace, and manufacturing, driven by infrastructure spending, electrification, and strong capex. The resilience is wider than most assume, supporting continued dynamism in these sectors.
Neil CFO, Ryanair 44:16
Ryanair gains as fuel costs crush rivals
Ryanair is better hedged than competitors on fuel. High oil prices will force capacity out of the market, allowing Ryanair to gain share and benefit from higher fares as weaker airlines struggle.
Matt Bloxham Head of Research, The Block 46:19
Alibaba AI cheap, competitive, open-source
Alibaba's new AI model is highly competitive, claimed to be second only to Anthropic's top model, yet is open-source and up to 90% cheaper than US models. This gives Alibaba a strong position to gain adoption and threaten US dominance.
Matt Bloxham Head of Research, The Block 47:38
Watch US AI hyperscalers, Chinese threat
Chinese AI models are closing the performance gap with US leaders quickly, while being significantly cheaper and open-source. This raises a real risk to US hyperscalers' AI market share and warrants caution on their premium valuations.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published July 20, 2026, features Isabelle Mateos y Lago, Kelly Ortberg, Neil, Matt Bloxham discussing BNO, CRAK, BA, ITA, ESA, AIQ, RYAAY, BABA, GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Isabelle Mateos y Lago, Kelly Ortberg, Neil, Matt Bloxham  · Tickers: BNO, CRAK, BA, ITA, ESA, AIQ, RYAAY, BABA, GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT