Paul Wallace
Team Leader/Senior Editor, Bloomberg
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 20
$243.65
-7.7%
The US is deploying "two aircraft carriers, fighter jets, and refueling tankers" to the Middle East. Additionally, 5 European nations are joining forces to develop drones based on Ukraine battlefield learnings. Kinetic military buildups directly benefit defense primes and logistics providers. The specific mention of drone proliferation in Thailand, Russia, and Europe highlights a secular growth trend in unmanned systems. LONG. Government spending is actively flowing into hardware deployment and R&D. De-escalation of the Iran conflict or budget constraints in Europe.
The US is deploying "two aircraft carriers, fighter jets, and refueling tankers" to the Middle East. Additionally, 5 European nations are joining forces to develop drones based on Ukraine battlefield learnings. Kinetic military buildups directly benefit defense primes and logistics providers. The specific mention of drone proliferation in Thailand, Russia, and Europe highlights a secular growth trend in unmanned systems. LONG. Government spending is actively flowing into hardware deployment and R&D. De-escalation of the Iran conflict or budget constraints in Europe.
NatSec
Long
Feb 19
$34.01
+59.1%
Reports indicate the US is considering military options in Iran; Polymarket odds of a strike by June 2026 have jumped to 70%. Oil prices rose 4% on the news. The market is re-pricing geopolitical risk into energy assets. If kinetic action occurs or tensions escalate further, supply disruption fears will drive crude prices significantly higher from the psychological $70 level. LONG Oil futures as a geopolitical hedge. Diplomatic de-escalation or "false alarm" reports causing a rapid price retracement.
Reports indicate the US is considering military options in Iran; Polymarket odds of a strike by June 2026 have jumped to 70%. Oil prices rose 4% on the news. The market is re-pricing geopolitical risk into energy assets. If kinetic action occurs or tensions escalate further, supply disruption fears will drive crude prices significantly higher from the psychological $70 level. LONG Oil futures as a geopolitical hedge. Diplomatic de-escalation or "false alarm" reports causing a rapid price retracement.
Energy
Long
Feb 20
$658.26
-22.0%
The US is deploying "two aircraft carriers, fighter jets, and refueling tankers" to the Middle East. Additionally, 5 European nations are joining forces to develop drones based on Ukraine battlefield learnings. Kinetic military buildups directly benefit defense primes and logistics providers. The specific mention of drone proliferation in Thailand, Russia, and Europe highlights a secular growth trend in unmanned systems. LONG. Government spending is actively flowing into hardware deployment and R&D. De-escalation of the Iran conflict or budget constraints in Europe.
The US is deploying "two aircraft carriers, fighter jets, and refueling tankers" to the Middle East. Additionally, 5 European nations are joining forces to develop drones based on Ukraine battlefield learnings. Kinetic military buildups directly benefit defense primes and logistics providers. The specific mention of drone proliferation in Thailand, Russia, and Europe highlights a secular growth trend in unmanned systems. LONG. Government spending is actively flowing into hardware deployment and R&D. De-escalation of the Iran conflict or budget constraints in Europe.
NatSec
Long
Feb 20
$204.92
-15.8%
The US is deploying "two aircraft carriers, fighter jets, and refueling tankers" to the Middle East. Additionally, 5 European nations are joining forces to develop drones based on Ukraine battlefield learnings. Kinetic military buildups directly benefit defense primes and logistics providers. The specific mention of drone proliferation in Thailand, Russia, and Europe highlights a secular growth trend in unmanned systems. LONG. Government spending is actively flowing into hardware deployment and R&D. De-escalation of the Iran conflict or budget constraints in Europe.
The US is deploying "two aircraft carriers, fighter jets, and refueling tankers" to the Middle East. Additionally, 5 European nations are joining forces to develop drones based on Ukraine battlefield learnings. Kinetic military buildups directly benefit defense primes and logistics providers. The specific mention of drone proliferation in Thailand, Russia, and Europe highlights a secular growth trend in unmanned systems. LONG. Government spending is actively flowing into hardware deployment and R&D. De-escalation of the Iran conflict or budget constraints in Europe.
NatSec
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